While college football’s Week 5 slate of games isn’t littered with many matchups that will gravitate you towards a television, courtesy of the betting lines, there are a litany of underdogs that could spark your interest on the gambling front.
After scouring through betting lines, I have identified four underdogs that are a lock to cover the spread in this week’s tilts.
With that said, let’s identify how these underdogs will pull it off, and most importantly, who they are.
Lines courtesy of VegasInsider.com, as of 1 p.m. ET.
Connecticut (+1) at Buffalo
While Buffalo, unlike UConn, actually has a win on its resume, it came in highly unimpressive fashion. If defeating Stony Brook of the FCS by only three points isn't a sin, then only mustering 26 points in that five-overtime game should be.
Yes, UConn actually lost to an FCS team, Towson, by double-digits, but that was the season's opening game. Even though the Huskies' improvement since then hasn't translated into a win, they hung with Maryland for more than half and nearly upset then 15th ranked Michigan just last week.
For this reason, I expect that they'll continue this upward trajectory and win outright against the lowly Bulls of Buffalo.
Prediction: UConn 27 Buffalo 17
Wisconsin (+7) at Ohio State
While Ohio State has slaughtered all oncomers in route to going 4-0 straight up (SU) and 3-1 against the spread (ATS) to open the season, they haven't faced an opponent on caliber with the Wisconsin team they'll battle with Saturday night.
Even worse, in the event he plays, Saturday's bout will be quarterback Braxton Miller's first game action in nearly three weeks.
In last season's 21-14 overtime loss to Ohio State, Wisconsin was able to run at will against the Buckeyes' defense and totaled 206 yards on the ground.
With Wisconsin's rushing attack currently third in the country at 349.8 yards per game, I expect Melvin Gordon and James White to duplicate Montee Ball's performance from a season ago.
Add in the fact that the Badgers handled themselves quite well, and covered, in their road tilt against Arizona State, and I like the Badgers to cover the spread in this one.
Prediction: Wisconsin 23 Ohio State 27
LSU (+3) at Georgia
Talk about disrespect, regardless of who LSU has played this season, it has looked dominant. The opposite holds true for Georgia.
After shrinking in the spotlight against Clemson in the opener, Georgia came storming back and posted an impressive victory over SEC foe South Carolina in Week 2.
Fast forward to Week 4, and this same Bulldogs team that is tied 21-21 early in the third quarter with.......North Texas?
You can holler about how they won that game 45-21 or how they're at home in this contest until you're blue in the face. I'm not buying the Bulldogs!
While Georgia has the horses to put up points on LSU's defense, its young defense hasn't been up to snuff against both the pass and the run.
After witnessing Clemson get 197 yards and South Carolina get 226 yards on the ground against Georgia, I'm expecting Jeremy Hill and company to run wild Saturday afternoon.
Sprinkle in a couple of bombs off of play action from Zach Mettenberger, and not only does LSU cover, it wins outright.
Prediction: LSU 31 Georgia 24
USC (+6) at Arizona State
While USC has disappointed as a favorite, going 1-3 ATS, the underdog role is one they could thrive in, starting with this contest.
Gone are the days in which USC rides its high-powered passing attack to victory. The 2013 edition is instead led by an elite defense and a solid running game.
In some ways, dare I say, USC resembles......Wisconsin?
The same Wisconsin that covered a seven-point spread against Arizona State in Week 2 and would've won outright if not for an officiating snafu.
Furthermore, USC has a weapon that Wisconsin didn't in that contest, Marqise Lee.
Even if USC head coach Lane Kiffin remains hesitant in allowing quarterback Cody Kessler to take shots down the field in Lee's direction, Lee still possesses the talent to take a short pass to the house.
Simply put, Arizona State's two games against Stanford and Wisconsin have exposed the fact that the Sun Devils can't stop the run and that their offense can be disrupted by good defenses.
This might not add up to a win for USC, but it certainly equates to them covering the spread in this one.
Prediction: USC 20 Arizona State 24
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