While it is never easy to pick games against the spread, a few teams are making it impossible heading into Week 4 of the NFL season.
In most cases, the question is: Will the favorite win and will it be by enough to cover the spread? However, a few unpredictable teams could easily win or lose by 20, and neither result would be surprising.
If you are making bets for this week, it might be a smart move to avoid these games altogether, because picking would be too hard.
Note: All spread info courtesy of Vegas Insider as of Sept. 25.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
Despite all of this, the team is somehow favored to beat the Arizona Cardinals.
Bucs have made the move: Benching Josh Freeman for Mike Glennon, per league source.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 25, 2013
In reality, Mike Glennon does provide some serious arm strength that could open up the offense. The change under center could also boost the team after a terrible start, similar to what Brian Hoyer did to the Cleveland Browns last week.
On the other hand, you have no idea what to expect out of Glennon in his first career start. The young player struggled in his decision making last year at North Carolina State as well as in the preseason when he got onto the field.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals are led by a quarterback who is equally inconsistent. Carson Palmer has been progressively worse in each game this year.
It is hard to guess what you will see out of either player, which makes this a nearly impossible game to predict.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Steelers have started 0-3 because the offensive line cannot block anyone. As a result, Ben Roethlisberger has been under constant pressure, while the rushing attack has been nonexistent.
Of course, he might finally have some success against a Vikings defense that allowed 31 points and more than 400 yards to the Browns, who were playing without Trent Richardson and Brandon Weeden for the first time this season.
Additionally, these teams rank second and third in the NFL in giveaways, which is certain to create an ugly game between them.
Finally, this contest will be played in Wembley Stadium in London, giving neither side a home-field advantage.
The Steelers have looked slightly better in the past few weeks and would be the pick if you needed to make one, but you are better off avoiding this game entirely.
Washington Redskins (-3) vs. Oakland Raiders
The downside is that he took a hard hit against the Denver Broncos on Monday and is now questionable with a concussion. He tweeted this the day after the game:
Whether his lack of memory was a joke or not, his availability against the Redskins remains in doubt. His absence would leave the team in the hands of Matt Flynn, the high-priced backup who has failed to earn a starting role despite getting multiple opportunities.
Sorry about the loss RaiderNation. I don't remember much ! Good hit by whoever it was. I heard our team fought well .. We will be back!— Terrelle Pryor (@TerrellePryor) September 24, 2013
That being said, it is also hard to trust the Redskins to play well. The defense has given up the most yards in football, while Robert Griffin III still looks rusty after missing the entire preseason.
Washington is better than it has played to start the year, but you should not trust a turnaround just yet.
|Home Team||Spread||Away Team|
|San Francisco 49ers||-3||St. Louis Rams|
|Minnesota Vikings (in London)||+2||Pittsburgh Steelers|
|Buffalo Bills||+3||Baltimore Ravens|
|Cleveland Browns||+4||Cincinnati Bengals|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||+8.5||Indianapolis Colts|
|Houston Texans||+2.5||Seattle Seahawks|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-2.5||Arizona Cardinals|
|Detroit Lions||-3||Chicago Bears|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-4||New York Giants|
|Tennessee Titans||-3.5||New York Jets|
|San Diego Chargers||+2||Dallas Cowboys|
|Oakland Raiders||+3||Washington Redskins|
|Denver Broncos||-10.5||Philadelphia Eagles|
|Atlanta Falcons||-2||New England Patriots|
|New Orleans Saints||-6.5||Miami Dolphins|
via Vegas Insider
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