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NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 4: Best Bets to Cover This Weekend

SEATTLE, WA - SEPTEMBER 22:  Tight end Zach Miller #86 (R) of the Seattle Seahawks celebrates with tackle Breno Giacomini #68 after scoring a touchdown to take a 6-0 lead against the Jacksonville Jaguars at CenturyLink Field on September 22, 2013 in Seattle, Washington.  (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images
Mike HoagCorrespondent IISeptember 26, 2013

If you’re looking for a solid week of NFL gambling, you’re in luck in Week 4.

Several top teams are modestly favored to win on the road this week, and they should get it done.

Beyond that, there are plenty of other intriguing spreads to choose from as well. Are you all-in on the Seattle Seahawks as Super Bowl contenders? If so, their 2.5-point advantage over the Houston Texans looks like a sure thing.

We’ll look at that matchup a little bit more in detail later, but first, here are the picks against the spread for every Week 4 game: 

 

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-7.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars are something awful in 2013. Whether they’re intentionally tanking for a top quarterback in next April’s draft or not, that’s where they are headed.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis has been impressive despite dropping a close game against Miami two weeks ago. Their rushing game exposed San Francisco’s defense last week. The tandem of Trent Richardson and Ahmad Bradshaw will run wild on a Jags defense that is the worst in the NFL, allowing 167.7 yards per game on the ground.

If you look at most team statistics in the NFL after three weeks, chances are the Jaguars are either the worst or pretty close to that spot.

 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-2.5) at Houston Texans

"Dominant" is a word that gets thrown around a lot at times. When looking at the current NFL landscape, there are maybe two teams you can describe with that adjective. The Seattle Seahawks are one of them.

Through three weeks, the Hawks are outgaining opponents in total yardage, 1,139-725, and outscoring them, 86-27. Seattle put up 17 of those points last week in the second half against Jacksonville after the Seahawks were already leading, 31-0, and had replaced a lot of their starters.

Sounds kind of like a college football game, no?

This endorsement isn’t as much about the Houston Texans as it is the Seahawks. They’re just too well-rounded and playing at too high of a level to not win by at least a field goal on the road in Week 4.

 

MIAMI DOLPHINS (+6.5) at New Orleans Saints

If you weren’t a believer already in Miami, winning their first two road games and edging Atlanta in Week 3 should convince you that the Dolphins are a legitimate team in 2013.

Heading into the Bayou to take on Drew Brees will be their toughest test of the season, though. Brees will benefit from Cameron Wake being slowed by injury, if he plays at all. But with the game being on Monday night, the dominant pass-rusher will have extra time to get healthy.

The Fins’ offense is proving to be more than capable, too. Ryan Tannehill is emerging as a big league quarterback, as he displayed in leading a game-winning drive against the Falcons.

Is he capable of outdueling Brees on his home turf? That’s the million dollar question. Chances are, probably not. But the Fins should be able to keep it close enough to cover against a beatable Saints' defense.

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