Ole Miss vs. Alabama Football: Betting Odds Preview, Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistSeptember 25, 2013

TUSCALOOSA, AL - SEPTEMBER 21:  DeAndrew White #2 of the Alabama Crimson Tide celebrates his touchdown reception from AJ McCarron #10 against the Colorado State Rams at Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 21, 2013 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Alabama is still the top-ranked team in the land, but it didn't look all that good last week against Colorado State.

The Tide expects to roll back in Saturday when it runs into the 3-0 Rebels of Ole Miss in Tuscaloosa.

In the early betting on this SEC border battle, Alabama was favored by as many as 17 points over Mississippi, according to most sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. But by midweek, that number had been bet down to -15.5 points at most college football betting outlets.

Was last week just a letdown spot after Alabama's emotional revenge game victory over Texas A&M? Or are they not as good as they think?

The two-time defending national champs opened this season with a 35-10 win over Virginia Tech in Atlanta. The Tide then held off Johnny Football 49-42, and last week defeated Colorado State 31-6.

But while 'Bama covered as 21-point chalk over the Hokies, it couldn't cover nine points against the Aggies and came nowhere near covering 39 points against the Rams.

Alabama ran for just 66 yards last week, and only led CSU 17-6 through three quarters.

The Tide is only averaging 132 YPG on the ground this season; however, it's also scored five touchdowns on defense and special teams.

The Rebels covered at -3 over Vandy, couldn't cover 49 points against the Redhawks, but won outright as field-goal dogs against the Longhorns.

Ole Miss, which is averaging 38 points and 251 yards rushing per game, had last week off to prepare for Saturday night.

Last year, also in Tuscaloosa, the Rebs led the Tide 7-6 in the second quarter before 'Bama went on a 21-0 run on its way to a 33-14 victory. Ole Miss held Alabama to a season-low 305 yards, but gave up a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown and turned the ball over three times.

Still, Ole Miss managed to hang on for the cover as 30-point underdogs.

Also, even though Mississippi has lost nine in a row in this series, it's 6-3 ATS in that span.

The last time Ole Miss beat Alabama, Eli Manning accounted for four touchdowns in a 43-28 Rebs victory back in 2003.

ESPN will carry the events from Bryant-Denny Stadium live Saturday, with kickoff slated for 6:30 pm ET.

Computer Prediction: 45-41 Alabama (via OddsShark.com computer)

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