Vincent Jackson and Doug Martin's Updated Fantasy Outlook with Mike Glennon
The question fantasy owners are asking today is simple: How will this affect Vincent Jackson and Doug Martin?
First, here's the news of Freeman's benching, via Adam Schefter of ESPN:
Bucs have made the move: Benching Josh Freeman for Mike Glennon, per league source.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 25, 2013
Alex Marvez of Fox Sports 1 has more:
Source tells me Bucs HC Greg Schiano finally lost patience with Freeman & decided to make move with Glennon now before season slips away— Alex Marvez (@alexmarvez) September 25, 2013
The move makes sense. The Bucs are 0-3 and Freeman has completed just 45.7 percent of his passes, with 571 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions.
Then, there's this from Pro Football Focus:
Josh Freeman has the lowest adjusted accuracy percentage (counting drops as completions etc) of all QBs so far (Peyton Manning tops)— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) September 25, 2013
It's unlikely the move will have that big of an effect on Martin's production, unless Glennon is so impotent throwing the ball that defenses constantly stack the box and force the Bucs to beat them through the air.
That certainly is a possibility.
It's just as likely, however, that the Bucs will lean even more heavily on Martin now. Martin could also become more involved in the passing game, as Glennon looks to dump off to his running back rather than take risks down the field.
As Alen Dumonjic of The Score notes, Glennon had a tendency to check down coming out of college.
Glennon is in? Something to watch for: checkdowns. He was like Nick Foles coming out. A ton of checkdowns. Didn't see field well at times.— Alen Dumonjić (@Dumonjic_Alen) September 25, 2013
Martin remains a RB1 in all formats, but this is where Jackson enters the conversation.
Talking about the ramifications for both Jackson and Mike Williams, Mike Clay of Pro Football Focus offered the following assessment:
Hope now for Williams/Jackson owners is Glennon will rely heavily on these 2 guys like Freeman did. Chance he dumps it off more is concern.— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) September 25, 2013
Of course, not everyone is worried about the move. After all, it's hard to imagine Glennon being much worse than Freeman was to start the season, and as Will Brinson of CBS Sports notes, he has a big enough arm to feed Jackson down the field.
Glennon made major strides with footwork + pocket presence in preseason. Has howitzer + deep targets in VJax/MW + run game.— Will Brinson (@WillBrinson) September 25, 2013
The main concern for Jackson owners is that Freeman had an obvious connection with his top receiver. Jackson was targeted 30 times this season with Freeman under center, which is tied for 10th among all wide receivers.
Will Glennon look his way as often? Even with his big arm, will he take many shots down the field?
At this point, it's probably safe to consider Jackson a WR2 or flex in shallow leagues, at least until we see Glennon in action. Jackson is a dangerous weapon and has the ability to take the top off a defense, so Glennon would be crazy not to look his way frequently, but it's fair to expect an adjustment period that somewhat limits his fantasy production.
Don't panic-sell Jackson because of this move. Temper your expectations slightly for the moment, but keep him in your lineup. Like Martin, he remains a viable fantasy option.
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