Vincent Jackson and Doug Martin's Updated Fantasy Outlook with Mike Glennon

Timothy RappFeatured ColumnistSeptember 25, 2013

After a wretched start to the 2013 NFL season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have decided to make a change at quarterback, benching Josh Freeman in favor of rookie Mike Glennon.

The question fantasy owners are asking today is simple: How will this affect Vincent Jackson and Doug Martin?

First, here's the news of Freeman's benching, via Adam Schefter of ESPN:

Alex Marvez of Fox Sports 1 has more:

The move makes sense. The Bucs are 0-3 and Freeman has completed just 45.7 percent of his passes, with 571 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. 

Then, there's this from Pro Football Focus:

It's unlikely the move will have that big of an effect on Martin's production, unless Glennon is so impotent throwing the ball that defenses constantly stack the box and force the Bucs to beat them through the air.

That certainly is a possibility. 

It's just as likely, however, that the Bucs will lean even more heavily on Martin now. Martin could also become more involved in the passing game, as Glennon looks to dump off to his running back rather than take risks down the field. 

As Alen Dumonjic of The Score notes, Glennon had a tendency to check down coming out of college.

Glennon is in? Something to watch for: checkdowns. He was like Nick Foles coming out. A ton of checkdowns. Didn't see field well at times.

— Alen Dumonjić (@Dumonjic_Alen) September 25, 2013

Martin remains a RB1 in all formats, but this is where Jackson enters the conversation.

Talking about the ramifications for both Jackson and Mike Williams, Mike Clay of Pro Football Focus offered the following assessment:

Of course, not everyone is worried about the move. After all, it's hard to imagine Glennon being much worse than Freeman was to start the season, and as Will Brinson of CBS Sports notes, he has a big enough arm to feed Jackson down the field. 

The main concern for Jackson owners is that Freeman had an obvious connection with his top receiver. Jackson was targeted 30 times this season with Freeman under center, which is tied for 10th among all wide receivers.

Will Glennon look his way as often? Even with his big arm, will he take many shots down the field? 

At this point, it's probably safe to consider Jackson a WR2 or flex in shallow leagues, at least until we see Glennon in action. Jackson is a dangerous weapon and has the ability to take the top off a defense, so Glennon would be crazy not to look his way frequently, but it's fair to expect an adjustment period that somewhat limits his fantasy production. 

Don't panic-sell Jackson because of this move. Temper your expectations slightly for the moment, but keep him in your lineup. Like Martin, he remains a viable fantasy option. 


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