Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
The Falcons are without Steven Jackson, the kind of bruising back that could leave half a defense in shambles. But the silver lining for Atlanta is that Jacquizz Rodgers acquitted himself nicely in Week 3, with a 4.8 yards per carry average and 93 total yards.
While New England has improved steadily in the passing game, they've had a few minor struggles against the run this season. Doug Martin racked up 88 yards on 20 carries last week against the Pats, who rank just 16th overall in rush defense by DVOA. Rodgers isn't Doug Martin, but he'll get enough chances to put up 70-75 yards against a Patriots defense that will likely spend plenty of time in sub packages to counter the Falcons passing attack.
In addition to the run game, Rodgers possesses the kind of short-area quickness as a receiver that could be a problem for the Pats. They'll likely need consistent bracket coverage underneath on Tony Gonzalez and/or Roddy White, meaning Rodgers should see some pass-catching opportunities out of the backfield one-on-one with linebackers.
Overall, Rodgers should total something in the area of 100 to 115 total yards in Week 4. The Falcons simply have too many weapons for the Pats to stop everybody, and Rodgers should be one of the players who slips through the cracks to some degree.