Seattle Seahawks vs. Houston Texans: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistSeptember 24, 2013

SEATTLE, WA - SEPTEMBER 22:  Quarterback Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks looks downfield to pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars at CenturyLink Field on September 22, 2013 in Seattle, Washington. The Seahawks defeated the Jaguars 45-17.  (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

Seattle has been dominant since a lame Week 1 victory, while the Texans have pulled two Houdini acts to avoid being 0-3. Houston opened as a small home underdog, and deservedly so. But is there a rebound from the Texans in what could be a statement game?

Point spread: The Seahawks opened as three-point favorites; the total was sitting at 42.5 early Tuesday. (Line updates and Matchup report) computer says: 39-17 Seahawks

Why the Seahawks can cover the spread

Seattle brings a swarming defense that battered the 49ers and cruised against the Jaguars, and the offense has been dynamic the past two weeks as well. They have been dominant in the role of favorite and rank No. 1 in the power ratings.

Why the Texans can cover the spread

The Texans have a problem with Andre Johnson’s leg injury, but they are another team that has bitten very hard as a home underdog (10-3 ATS in this role since 2006), according to the NFL database. They have played well in spurts, but have the team to upset Seattle.

Smart Pick

The computer predicts a high-scoring game and an easy win for Seattle. The computer is putting too much weight on the past two weeks in our opinion and this will be a much closer game. Houston on the moneyline could be good value for NFL bettors.


Texans 10-3 ATS past 13 as home dog since 2006

Seahawks 9-2 ATS past 11 as chalk

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Sharkfollow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates