LSU Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistSeptember 24, 2013

A Top 10 battle of SEC contenders highlights Week 5 college football betting. The No. 6 LSU Tigers visit ninth-ranked Georgia in a critical matchup where one-loss Georgia has big motivation and is a small favorite.

Point spread: The Bulldogs opened as three-point home favorites; the total was 62 early Tuesday (Line updates and Matchup report).

OddsShark.com computer says: 53-41, LSU

Why LSU can cover the spread

LSU brings a pounding ground game that can grind the Georgia defense while it grinds the clock. They have not excelled against the spread versus SEC opponents lately, but will the Bulldogs feel the pressure of needing to avoid their second loss? The Tigers have won nine of 10 road games.

Why Georgia can cover the spread

Georgia has not lost as a home favorite since 2010 (Arkansas) and proved its mettle against South Carolina. They are motivated to win here to keep conference and BCS title hopes alive and should rise to the occasion. They have covered five straight against tough SEC competition, and have won nine of 10 at home within the conference since 2010.

Smart Pick

The computer likes a high-scoring game won by LSU, but we see this game going under the total (which was 62 early in the week at most sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com). The Bulldogs almost always win as a favorite, and almost always win at home within the conference.

Trends:

LSU just 3-7 ATS vs SEC foes dating back to last season

Georgia 27-3 SU past 30 games as a favorite

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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