BCS Rankings: Predicting Top 25 Teams After Week 4

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BCS Rankings: Predicting Top 25 Teams After Week 4
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The AP Top 25 teams took care of business in Week 4.

No. 23 Arizona State was the only ranked team to fall, as powerful Stanford exerted its dominance over the Sun Devils in California.

But how will the Top 25 look when the first BCS rankings are released in Week 8 this season a month from now? Will Alabama still be on top? Will some bubble teams sneak into the Top 25?

Here's a look at my projected top three teams headed into Week 8, as well as my projected Top 25 when the initial BCS rankings are released on Oct. 13.

 

*Statistics courtesy of CFBStats.com

 

3. Clemson

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Clemson will play Wake Forest, Syracuse and Boston College before the BCS rankings are released. Considering that I don't see the Tigers losing to any of these three teams, I have them remaining among the top three.

Clemson (3-0) ranks 34th in points per game and 44th in average points allowed so far this season. That includes a thrilling 38-35 victory over Georgia in Week 1.

Dual-threat quarterback Tajh Boyd has been splendid for the Tigers, tossing six touchdowns to no interceptions while rushing for 90 yards and three scores. He excelled when it really mattered, too, passing for 270 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 42 yards and two scores against Georgia.

 

2. Oregon

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Oregon plays Cal, Colorado and Washington over the next three weeks. 

Washington, currently ranked No. 16 in the country, is the only opponent that figures to pose any sort of challenge to the Ducks.

The Huskies rank 18th in the nation in points per game and eighth in average points allowed. Still, the only team worth mentioning that they defeated was Boise State, and Chris Petersen's squad has proven it was overrated in the preseason.

Few teams in the country can keep up with the Ducks' high-powered offensive attack. Add the fact that Oregon ranks fifth in the nation in points allowed per game and I don't see how Washington will keep the Ducks from being undefeated headed into Week 8.

Oregon remains at No. 2.

 

1. Alabama

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Alabama's defense may not be the same as it was in the past, but that's not going to keep the Crimson Tide from rolling over Ole Miss, Georgia State and Arkansas in the next three weeks.

No. 21 Ole Miss figures to be Alabama's best challenge, but—with all due respect to the vast improvement that Ole Miss has made under Hugh Freeze—the Rebels aren't at the Crimson Tide's level.

In Freeze's first season as head coach at Ole Miss last year, the Rebels were handled by Alabama in Tuscaloosa, 33-14. Considering that next week's game against Alabama will be in Tuscaloosa again, I don't see that changing much.   

Alabama's defense may not be as strong as last year, having allowed 42 points to Johnny Manziel's Texas A&M Aggies, but it's good enough to limit Ole Miss' offense. Ole Miss also allowed 35 points to Vanderbilt in Week 1, which could be a sign of things to come in Tuscaloosa.

 

Here are the rest of my projected Top 25 for Week 8.

 

Projected Top 25: Week 8

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. Clemson
4. Ohio State
5. Stanford
6. Georgia
7. Florida State
8. LSU
9. Louisville
10.  Texas A&M
11. Oklahoma State
12. South Carolina
13. UCLA
14. Oklahoma
15. Miami (FL)
16. Michigan
17.  Baylor
18.  Florida
19.  Wisconsin
20. Texas Tech
21. Washington
22. Northwestern
23. Ole Miss
24. Notre Dame
25. Fresno State

 

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