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Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Week 3: Projecting Impact of Top WR Additions on Waiver Wire

HOUSTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 15:  DeAndre Hopkins #10 of the Houston Texans celebrates with Chris Myers #55 of the Houston Texans after scoring the winning touchdown in overtime against the Tennessee Titans at Reliant Stadium on September 15, 2013 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images
Timothy RappFeatured ColumnistSeptember 22, 2013

No position sees more fluctuation on the waiver wire during the season than wide receiver. With the NFL more of a passing league than ever, weekly fantasy football heroes emerge from unlikely places. 

But just because a player is worth adding on the waiver wire doesn't always mean that player is worth a start in your league. Knowing who to stash and who to start once you've nabbed your receiver can be the difference between winning and losing the week. 

Here, I've tried to help owners decide which of this week's most popular waiver-wire additions at wide receiver are worth playing. 

Note: All rankings and analysis based on standard-scoring leagues.

 

Eddie Royal, San Diego Chargers

PHILADELPHIA, PA - SEPTEMBER 15: Wide receiver Eddie Royal #11 of the San Diego Chargers jumps into the end zone after making a catch for a 24 yard touchdown as cornerback Cary Williams #26 of the Philadelphia Eagles defends during the third quarter at Li
Rich Schultz/Getty Images

Additions: Added in 73.9 percent of ESPN leagues.

Matchup: Tennessee Titans, allowing 24.0 points to opposing wide receivers in ESPN standard-scoring leagues.

Analysis: At this point, Royal's place in San Diego's offense seems pretty secure. While his five touchdowns after two games aren't sustainable, the fact that he has 14 targets—second on the Chargers behind Antonio Gates' 15 targets—means he'll potentially remain a steady source of receptions and yards. With a solid matchup against the Titans, Royal should be rostered across the board this week. 

Thoughtful Verdict: Royal is a viable flex in all formats.

Abrupt Verdict: START

 

DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans

Additions: Added in 25.8 percent of ESPN leagues.

Matchup: Baltimore Ravens, allowing 31.5 points to opposing wide receivers in ESPN standard-scoring leagues.

Analysis: DeAndre Hopkins is second on the Texans with 19 targets (Andre Johnson has 29), making his 12 receptions for 183 yards and a touchdown after two weeks seem plenty sustainable moving forward. While both Johnson and Owen Daniels are probably more likely to be targeted in the red zone—Daniels already has three receiving touchdowns—it's clear that Hopkins will continue to have a big role in this offense.

Thoughtful Verdict: He's a viable flex in all formats, especially if you are weak at receiver or battling early injuries, and a WR2 in deeper leagues. 

Abrupt Verdict: START

 

Julian Edelman, New England Patriots

FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 12: Julian Edelman #11 of the New England Patriots catches a pass in front of Antonio Allen #39 of the New York Jets in the fourth quarter during the game at Gillette Stadium on September 12, 2013 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo
Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Additions: Added in 15.6 percent of ESPN leagues.

Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers, allowing 8.5 points to opposing wide receivers in ESPN standard-scoring leagues.

Analysis: As long as Danny Amendola is out—and seeing as he's listed as doubtful, he'll likely be out this week—Edelman has major value as Tom Brady's slot receiver. Aaron Dobson and Kenbrell Thompkins have proven to be unreliable, making Edelman the primary target in this passing attack assuming Rob Gronkowski remains sidelined. The only thing keeping him from true WR2 status is the fear that Darrelle Revis will shadow him. 

Thoughtful Verdict: He's a worthy flex in all formats, though a trip to Revis Island could cap his performance. If you start him, don't assume double-digit points. 

Abrupt Verdict: START

 

Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks

Sep 15, 2013; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Doug Baldwin (89) celebrates after the Seahawks scored a touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers during the 2nd half at CenturyLink Field. Seattle defeated San Francisco 29-3. Mandatory Cred
Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

Additions: Added in 13.4 percent of ESPN leagues.

Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars, allowing 13.0 points to opposing wide receivers in ESPN standard-scoring leagues.

Analysis: I know a game against Jacksonville is appealing, as is the fact that Baldwin has been Seattle's best receiver thus far. But the Jaguars are allowing 171.3 rushing yards per game, 31st in the NFL. Expect the Seahawks to pound the rock early and often and for Seattle's receivers to have pretty mediocre fantasy outputs across the board. If I was starting a Seattle receiver this week, it would be Golden Tate. 

Thoughtful Verdict: In really deep formats, he's worth flex consideration. Beyond that, I'd look elsewhere.

Abrupt Verdict: SIT

 

Marlon Brown, Baltimore Ravens

Sep 15, 2013; Baltimore, MD, USA; Cleveland Browns defensive back Buster Skrine (22) breaks up a pass intended for Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marlon Brown (14) during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Additions: Added in 11.4 percent of ESPN leagues.

Matchup: Houston Texans, allowing 21.5 points to opposing wide receivers in ESPN standard-scoring leagues.

Analysis: Marlon Brown has had a nice start to the season, catching eight passes for 110 yards and a touchdown. That production seems unstable, however, as he's been targeted just 12 times, fifth on the Ravens. Paint me skeptical, but I don't think Brown can keep up a touchdown-per-every-six-targets pace.

Thoughtful Verdict: Like Baldwin, he's worth a flex spot in deeper formats, but that's about it.

Abrupt Verdict: SIT

 

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy lineup questions, make ill-fated NFL predictions and tweet cheesy jokes. It's fun stuff, people.

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