Josh Holmberg-USA TODAY Sports
Brendan Schaub has said he wants to be the talk of UFC 165, or some such. OK, I'll bite. Put your metaphorical money where your boasts are, Brendan. Yes, Schaub is chinny, and that's always risky. But I think he'll have a speed and technique advantage on the powerful but plodding Matt Mitrione, and he should be able to effectively operate from the perimeter or get a takedown and go submission hunting. Don't let me down, Schaub.
Schaub, Submission, Rd. 2
It's possible Schaub comes out looking to wrestle Mitrione just as he did Lavar Johnson in February. That would probably be the safe play against a hard-hitting opponent with little experience on the ground. At the same time, Mitrione doesn't need to hit Schaub too many times to bring this fight to an early end. He'll keep it standing long enough.
Mitrione, TKO, Rd. 2
Schaub's glass jaw always makes it difficult to pick him, especially when he's faced with an opponent who hits like Mitrione. However, Schaub showed terrific awareness in his match with Johnson, sacrificing excitement and familiarity for the win, relying on wrestling and pinning rather than letting his hands go. While I'm not sure he'll be able to take Mitrione down at will, I do think he will play it cautious on the feet and pick his spots to positive effect.
Schaub, Unanimous Decision
You gotta love the bad-blood fights. Mitrione and Schaub have a legit beef that has gotten really serious and personal. Schaub's takedowns may be the deciding factor here, but Mitrione is more athletic, stronger and quicker. If Mitrione can evade the takedown, he has enough power to break through the questionable chin of Schaub.
Mitrione, TKO, Rd. 1
I’m not convinced that the beef between these two gents is genuine. Though amusing, it seems a little forced. That being said, Schaub’s inflated sense of his own standing within the MMA world is bizarre. He has been strolling around like Floyd Mayweather, talking about giving Matt Mitrione "the rub” by virtue of allowing his fellow TUF 10 castmate to breathe the same air as him. When you have a chin like candy glass, it’s perhaps not wise to overhype yourself. And Mitrione is good enough on the feet to catch Schaub and send him to sleep.
Mitrione, TKO, Rd. 1