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Week 4 Fantasy Football Predictions: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Garrett BakerSenior Analyst ISeptember 23, 2013

Week 4 Fantasy Football Predictions: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

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    Adam Bettcher/Getty Images

    Three exciting weeks of professional football are behind us, and the fantasy football landscape is really starting to take shape. 

    Last week was a particularly interesting one, with the trade of Trent Richardson and Andy Reid's return to Philadelphia kicking off a good weekend of football.

    We always have to be looking forward in fantasy football, however, so here are stat predictions and rankings for Week 4. 


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    Patrick Smith/Getty Images
     Player, TeamOpp.Comp.Pass Yds
    Pass TDsINTsRush Yds
    1.Peyton Manning, DENPHI 293953 0 0
    2.Drew Brees, NOMIA25393 3 0 0
    3.Andrew Luck, INDJAX273554 1 28
    4.Mike Vick, PHIDEN24 323 3 1 52
    5.Tony Romo, DALSD283682 0 0
    6.Matt Ryan, ATLNE25325 1 0
    7.Tom Brady, NEATL 26320 1 0
    8.Matthew Stafford, DETCHI253022 1 0
    9.Alex Smith, KCNYG232852 0 19
    10.Robert Griffin III, WASOAK27290 1 14
    11.Colin Kaepernick, SFSTL212562 1 22
    12.**Terrelle Pryor, OAKWAS 19 208 1 64
    13.Russell Wilson, SEAHOU23 2501 0 33
    14.Andy Dalton, CINCLE212382 0 8
    15. Ryan Tannehill, MIANO23 2542 1 13

    After three straight very productive fantasy games, Andrew Luck has shown he can contribute through the air and ground. He gets a great matchup against Jacksonville in Week 4, with Trent Richardson likely taking some pressure off as well.

    What's up with the Niners and their offense? Colin Kaepernick has looked weak so far. He doesn't have great targets to throw to, and the running game can't get going. But St. Louis has looked porous, so there's a chance Kaepernick gets back in gear.

    Ryan Tannehill has the Dolphins at 3-0, and he's put up some quietly big numbers in the process. He's got 827 passing yards already, and Miami could get into a shootout in New Orleans. Tannehill has emerged as an intriguing play in Week 4.

    **Pryor is likely not playing this Sunday. Philip Rivers would move in as the 15th quarterback for Week 4.

Running Back

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    Patrick McDermott/Getty Images
      Player, TeamOpp. Rush YdsRec. Rec. Yds Total TDs 
     1. Adrian Peterson, MINPIT 117 2 24 2
    2.  Matt Forte, CHIDET 98 4 50 2
    3.  Jamaal Charles, KCNYG 109 4 47 1
     4. Doug Martin, TBARI 83 5 35 2
    5.  LeSean McCoy, PHIDEN 102 2 18 1
    6.  Alfred Morris, WASOAK 100 0 0 2
    7.  DeMarco Murray, DALSD 99 4 26 1
    8.  Bernard Pierce, BALBUF 98 2 20 1
    9.  Trent Richardson, INDJAX 87  2 14 1
    10. Reggie Bush, DET CHI 55 6 68 0
    11. Marshawn Lynch, SEAHOU 84 0 0 1
    12. Darren McFadden, OAK WAS 67 3 32 0 
    13. C.J. Spiller, BUF BAL 58 5 41 0
    14. Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX IND 45  1 10 1
    15. Darren Sproles, NOMIA 18 7 64 0 
    16. Lamar Miller, MIANO 67 3 24 0
    17. Chris Johnson, TENNYJ 69 2 20 0
    18. Knowshon Moreno, DENPHI 58  2 21 0
    19. Jacquizz Rodgers, ATLNE 54 1 17 0
    20. Arian Foster, HOU SEA 54 1 10 0
    21. Ben Tate, HOU SEA 45 3 11 0
    22. Fred Jackson, BUF BAL 48 2 14 0
    23. Stevan Ridley, NEATL 51 0 0 0
    24. Frank Gore, SFSTL 44 1 7 0
    25. Ryan Mathews, SDDAL 47 0  0 0 

    Matt Forte has really looked great in Chicago's new offense and has been a threat in both the rushing and passing games. The Bears are looking to get Forte the ball a lot, and he should be able to run wild on Detroit's defense in Week 4.

    It's hard to gauge how much action Trent Richardson will get in Week 4, but he has a really juicy matchup against a brutal Jacksonville defense. 

    Bernard Pierce played well as the starter in Week 3, and he has some legitimate potential as a workhorse back. He isn't anywhere near the threat that Ray Rice is in the passing game, but he's a bigger and more physical runner who could gash Buffalo up the middle in Week 4.

    In Week 4, Jacquizz Rodgers and the Falcons smashed the ball right through Miami's defensive line, who was depleted by the loss of nose tackle Paul Soliai. He has some explosiveness and is hard to catch in the open field, so if he can get to the second level against New England, expect some big runs.

    Stevan Ridley has really been a huge disappointment this season. LeGarrette Blount got 14 touches in Week 4 while Ridley only had 12, which is a major concern. But he is still the most talented back on the Patriots, so he's worth a start in deeper leagues. 

Wide Receiver

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    Hannah Foslien/Getty Images
     Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
    1. Calvin Johnson, DETCHI 123 
    2. Brandon Marshall, CHIDET 11 101 
    3. Dez Bryant, DALSD 7120 
    4. Demaryius Thomas, DENPHI 113 
    5. Julio Jones, ATLNE 110 
    6. Wes Welker, DENPHI 11 129 
    7. Dwayne Bowe, KCNYG 101 
    8. A.J. Green, CINCLE 100 
    9. Julian Edelman, NEATL 989 
    10. DeSean Jackson, PHIDEN 101 
    11. Reggie Wayne, INDJAX 90 
    12. T.Y. Hilton, INDJAX 91 
    13. Larry Fitzgerald, ARITB 85 
    14. Roddy White, ATLNE 94 0
    15. Victor Cruz, NYGKC 91 
    16. Vincent Jackson, TBARI 61 
    17. Andre Johnson, HOUSEA 70 
    18. Eric Decker, DENPHI 68 
    19. Josh Gordon, CLECIN 71 
    20. Antonio Brown, PITMIN 63 
    21. Kenbrell Thompkins, NEATL 38 
    22. Torrey Smith, BALBUF 61 
    23. Anquan Boldin, SFSTL 68 
    24. Mike Wallace, MIANO 70 
    25. Pierre Garcon, WASOAK 63 
    26. Cecil Shorts, JAXIND 64 
    27. Marques Colston, NOMIA 59 0
    28. Stevie Johnson, BUFBAL 55 
    29. Brian Hartline, MIANO 49 
    30. Emmanuel Sanders, PITMIN49 

    T.Y. Hilton is an up-and-down type of player who lit up the Dolphins in Week 2 and then was nursing a groin injury in Week 3, when he had just two catches. But if he heals up, he could torch the Jaguars for a couple of big gains.

    Unluckily for Andre Johnson and his fantasy owners, the Seahawks and Richard Sherman are waiting in Week 4. Sherman has been on fire this year and has blanketed everyone he's faced so far.

    How about Josh Gordon's season debut in Week 3? Unfortunately, he still plays for the Browns. Don't expect a repeat after a very good Cincinnati defense has a week to prepare for him.

    On a depleted Baltimore offense, Torrey Smith remains the only steady talent who can be relied on each week. He could find some room in Buffalo's secondary and pull in a couple of long grabs.

    Brian Hartline has actually been better than Mike Wallace this season so far, although Miami's passing game has really been unpredictable. Ryan Tannehill rides the hot hand, whether that be Wallace, Hartline, Brandon Gibson or even Charles Clay. But Hartline will always get his targets, and he never drops the ball.

Tight End

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    Jim Rogash/Getty Images
     Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
    1.Jimmy Graham, NOMIA  7134 
    2.Rob Gronkowski, NE ATL  8120 
    3.Tony Gonzalez, ATL NE  6101 
    4.Jason Witten, DAL SD  899 
    5.Julius Thomas, DEN PHI  464 
    6.Jordan Cameron, CLE CIN  555 
    7.Martellus Bennett, CHI DET  668 
    8.Coby Fleener, INDJAX  665 
    9.Vernon Davis, SFSTL  471 
    10.Brandon Myers, NYGKC  566 
    11.Antonio Gates, SDDAL  565 
    12.Owen Daniels, HOU SEA  459 
    13.Jared Cook, STLSF 551 
    14.Charles Clay, MIA NO  550 
    15.Scott Chandler, BUFBAL 448 

    Jimmy Graham has been on fire as the primary weapon in New Orleans' offense. They get the Dolphins, who haven't been very good at covering tight ends, on Monday night at home. 

    This should be the week that Rob Gronkowski comes back, which is a great thing for Tom Brady and Gronk's fantasy owners. They have had some cupcake games so far, and they'll need Gronk in full force against Atlanta this Sunday night.

    Jordan Cameron was shockingly productive with Brian Hoyer as his quarterback in Week 3, which really says a lot more about Cameron than Hoyer. He may not put up three touchdowns every week, but he's proven he's talented enough to make a consistent impact.

    It feels a little like the late 2000s again, as Antonio Gates is proving to be a reliable fantasy option. The Chargers could get into a shootout with the Cowboys, so Gates looks like he has some value again.


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    Justin Edmonds/Getty Images
     Player, TeamOpp.Makes40+XP
    1. Matt Prater, DEN PHI2
    2. Stephen Gostkowski, NE ATL 
    3. Matt Bryant, ATL NE4
    4. Justin Tucker, BAL BUF 
    5. Adam Vinatieri, IND JAX 2
    6. Dan Bailey, DALSD 41
    7. Greg Zuerlein, STL SF 
    8. Garrett Hartley, NOMIA 
    9. Caleb Sturgis, MIANO 1
    10. Steven Hauschka, SEA HOU 

    Matt Prater should benefit from the ridiculous amounts of points that Denver will probably put up on Philadelphia's weak defense. Five extra points may even be six.

    Everyone has to take notice of Caleb Sturgis down in Miami. If he's still on your waiver wire, grab him ASAP. He already looks like one of the best kickers in the league, starting the year with six straight makes, two of which were more than 50 yards.


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    Elsa/Getty Images
     TeamOpp.Points AllowedSacksTurnovers
    1. CincinnatiCLE 10 3 2
    2. Kansas CityNYG  14 5  2
    3. Seattle HOU  13 3 1
    4. Chicago DET  17 2 2
    5. San FranciscoSTL  10 2 1
    6. Baltimore BUF  14 3 1
    7. IndianapolisJAX  13 1 2
    8. ArizonaTB  17 2  1
    9. TennesseeNYJ  10 2 0
    10. DallasSD 20 2 2

    Oh man, Kansas City is going to have a field day this week against the New York Giants' porous offensive line. Tamba Hali and Justin Houston have to be licking their chops.

    Tennesse's defense has been quietly effective this season, and while they aren't the type to create a lot of havoc, they also have the potential to mostly squash Geno Smith and the Jets and dominate the field-position battle.

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