Sometimes you just gotta like an idiot. Otherwise betting on the Premier League wouldn't be any fun.
Sure, you could accumulate a some money over time by just making a bunch of safe bets. If you want to get that hefty payout, sometimes you've got to go out on a limb and bet on something like Cardiff City beating Manchester City 3-2.
It's a high-risk, high-reward strategy. When it doesn't come off, you look foolish, and all that money goes right down the drain. When it pays off, though, it's a feeling like no other.
Why not take some risks this weekend? If you're in the mood, here are four bets you should think about taking a look at for this weekend's Premier League action.
All odds courtesy of SkyBet.
Papiss Cisse to Score a Hat-Trick vs. Hull: 40/1
It's quite shocking how Papiss Cisse has fallen off since that brilliant second half in the 2011/12 season. He was inconsistent at best last year and has no goals and one assist through Newcastle's first four matches of the 2013/14 campaign.
You get the feeling that when the Senegalese striker finds the back of the net, he's going to start scoring in bunches again. He just needs that one goal to end this slump and get the supporters off his back.
If there was ever a time for Cisse to break that scoring duck, then it's playing at home against Hull City. The Tigers look sure to be in a relegation scrap this weekend. There are some major questions at the back from Steve Bruce's side. In terms of competition, it doesn't get much easier than this for a striker.
Should Cisse get one goal against Hull, he's going to get at least a brace, so you might as well just go all out and predict the hat-trick.
Peter Crouch to Score a Brace vs. Arsenal: 25/1
Peter Crouch has had a lot of success against Arsenal in the past, at least relative to his career. His seven goals against the Gunners are the second-most for him against any other club (h/t Opta via Eurosport).
Stoke City aren't going to be able to play the ball on the ground and expect to break down Arsenal. The Potters have become more fluid in the attack, but they're not that good yet.
Their best chance to score will still be playing a direct game and taking advantage of set pieces, both of which play right into Crouch's hands.
He has yet to score a goal this season, so he's going to be due sooner or later. With his size combined with Stoke's style, a brace isn't out of the question.
Sunderland to Win 3-0: 50/1
Sunderland have been really bad this season, but so have West Brom. The Baggies just scored their first goal of the season, and it only took them four matches to do so.
The Black Cats have too much talent to be sitting in the relegation zone. With the number of signings they made during the summer, it shouldn't come as a huge shock that they're struggling to start the season. All those players need time to bed in.
This is the perfect time for Sunderland to play up to their potential and give the supporters some hope. Jozy Altidore and Steven Fletcher up top are more than capable of putting a couple of goals on the board. Then there's Emanuele Giaccherini and Adam Johnson on the wings, where Sunderland can do their most damage.
While Paolo Di Canio is a madman, sometimes it's an approach that pays off, and he adds extra motivation to his players. Although they're playing away, Sunderland should be able to assert themselves in this fixture.
Manchester City to Win 4-2: 50/1
Every once in a while, you get that crazy result in the Manchester Derby. There was the 6-1 at Old Trafford in 2011, the 4-3 United win in 2009 and then City's 3-1 and 4-1 wins at home in consecutive seasons. Sometimes logic goes out the window.
Manchester City is playing at home, so you'd have to give them the edge. Vincent Kompany is back in the side, and Manuel Pellegrini won't worry too much about playing a defensive style. Likewise, David Moyes was always quick to revert to a pragmatic style when he took on bigger sides at Everton.
Everything leads you to believe this will be a hard-fought affair, with only a couple of goals scored.
However, as previously noted, crazy things can happen in this derby. If either club can get on the scoresheet early, things will open up a lot more.