College Football Week 4 Picks: Bold Selections That Will Shake Up Top 25

Tyler BrookeSenior Analyst IISeptember 18, 2013

Sep 14, 2013; West Point, NY, USA; Stanford Cardinal quarterback Kevin Hogan (8) fumbles the ball as he's dragged down by Army Black Knights linebacker Dalton Mendenhall (7) during the first half at Michie Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports
Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

Week 4 of the college football season is going to feature some big games that will have a number of Top 25 teams falling, causing the next AP poll to look much different than it does now.

Last week we saw four AP Top 25 teams fall in Texas A&M, TCU, Nebraska and Wisconsin.  Based off of the schedule for this week, it's not crazy to think that we could see anywhere from three to six ranked teams fall.

Here are my picks for possible games to shake up the Top 25 poll, based off of the current matchups and overall level of play from these teams through the first three weeks.

Note: All rankings are based off of latest AP Top 25 Poll


No. 23 Arizona State at No. 5 Stanford

One ranked team is guaranteed this week due to the fact that these two teams are playing each other, and there's no guarantee that the No. 5 Stanford Cardinal walk away with a win on Saturday.

The passing attack of the Arizona State Sun Devils has been led by junior quarterback Taylor Kelly, who has been building off of his solid 2012 season.  Through the first two games, Kelly has completed 63.4 percent of his passes for 652 yards along with five touchdowns and one interception.

The passing game has helped open the field for Marion Grice, who is becoming one of the more appealing NFL prospects at the running back position this season.  He helped lead the upset over then-ranked No. 20 Wisconsin by putting up 84 yards and an incredible four touchdowns on the ground.

Meanwhile, the Cardinal have had their own balanced offensive attack led by Kevin Hogan and Tyler Gaffney.  The offense has averaged 34 points and 403 yards of offense per game.  The team is coming off of a closer-than-expected 34-20 win over Army.

The two Pac-12 teams will start conference play against each other, and I'm really feeling the upset in this one.  Grice is one of the most exciting running backs I've seen in college over the past two seasons, and I truly think that their high-powered offense will make some big plays and escape Stanford with a huge road win.

Prediction: Arizona State 38, Stanford 31


Tennessee at No. 19 Florida

The Florida Gators may be ranked, but they may not be so lucky after this week's game against the Tennessee Volunteers.

Jeff Driskel has been a big question mark already this season.  In their game against the Miami Hurricanes, Driskel and the offense struggled, with the junior QB throwing two interceptions and the offense committing five critical turnovers.  The Gators' defense kept them in the game, however, allowing just 212 yards of offense.

The ground game for the Volunteers has been incredible through three games.  They're averaging 244.3 yards per game on the ground, along with eight rushing touchdowns.

This is going to be a very close, gritty game, especially if Driskel has another off game.  Still, the Gators don't look as good as we were expecting, and this could wind up being a rough season for Florida fans.

Prediction: Tennessee 17, Florida 14


Michigan State at No. 22 Notre Dame

The Fighting Irish found a way to stay in the Top 25 after narrowly avoiding an upset against the Purdue Boilermakers.

After being down 17-10, the Fighting Irish game back with a 21-point fourth quarter to give them the 31-24 win.  After losing to the Michigan Wolverines the week before, it certainly isn't a good sign for the rest of the season, especially after coming off of a 12-0 regular season and national championship appearance in 2012.

The Michigan State Spartans have started off the season with three easy wins over Western Michigan, South Florida and Youngstown State.  None of those teams are very strong, but they won easily enough to prove that they're still a good football team.  

A possible win for the Spartans would shake things up quite a bit, with the possibility of Michigan State climbing into the Top 25 and the Irish falling out.

This is going to be the game for Tommy Rees to prove himself, but I don't think he can do it.

Prediction: Michigan State 30, Notre Dame 24