2013 Fantasy Football: Predicting Best Value Pick for Each Position
When it comes to drafting in fantasy football, fantasy owners are looking for the best value pick in every round.
If you can get a quarterback that throws for nearly 5,000 yards in the eighth round, why waste a first- or second-round pick on another quarterback, when you could load up at the running back or wide receiver position?
With the 2013 NFL season about a week away, here are predictions for the best value picks at the four most important positions in fantasy football.
Quarterback: Tony Romo
For as much criticism as Tony Romo receives for not being able to win games in December, when it comes to fantasy football he certainly gets the job done.
Last year, Romo had one of his best seasons yet, throwing for over 4,900 yards and 28 touchdowns. In 2013, chances are Romo matches those numbers again. He simply has too much talent—Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Jason Witten—around him to not put up huge numbers.
At worst, Romo should throw for at least 4,500 yards and 25 touchdowns. To be able to get a quarterback like Romo in the middle-to-late rounds is an absolute steal. Use the earlier rounds to load up on running backs and receivers and try to get Romo in the seventh or eighth round.
Running Back: Maurice Jones-Drew
One year of injuries and all of a sudden Maurice Jones-Drew has gone from being one of the best players in fantasy football to being considered a No. 2 running back.
Right now, MJD has been going in the second-to-third round in most fantasy football drafts, which is extremely low. Before the 2012 season, MJD was a top-five draft pick. He had three straight seasons of running for at least 1,300 yards and scored 34 touchdowns.
If you can get Jones-Drew as your No. 2 running back in the second or third round, then chances are your team's running back position will be dominant. Look for MJD to have a bounce-back season the same way Adrian Peterson did last year.
Wide Receiver: Miles Austin
Uncertain health and the rise of Dez Bryant have caused Miles Austin to go from once being a top-10 fantasy receiver to now getting drafted closer to the 10th round.
If you can get Austin in the 10th round, then you'll have a legit No. 3 fantasy receiver. Although his stats weren't overly impressive last season, Austin still managed to record 66 catches for 943 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
Austin still has the ability to be a dominant receiver. He has terrific chemistry with Tony Romo, and it's not like Romo is going to just forget about his former top-receiving target. Austin could easily have 1,000 receiving yards and seven touchdowns in 2013, which is terrific for a receiver you can get in the eighth-to-10th round.
Tight End: Fred Davis
Heading into the 2012 season, you could have made the argument that Fred Davis was on the verge of becoming one of the top fantasy football tight ends in the league. After recording nearly 60 receptions for close to 800 yards in 2011 in only 12 games, fantasy owners thought for sure that the arrival of Robert Griffin III would make Davis a top-five tight end.
However, Davis' season was cut short last year due to an Achilles injury, and he never had an opportunity to develop chemistry with RG3. So far, Davis appears to be going in the last couple of rounds in fantasy drafts.
If you miss out on the elite tier of tight ends, including Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski, hold out to grab Davis in the later rounds. There is no reason why he can't go for over 800 receiving yards and catch at least five touchdowns.