Some will worry about Arian Foster's current injury, but he's expected to play in Week 1. He may not produce quite as much as we were hoping for, but he's easily a top-10 back anyway. If you feel nervous, draft an extra back or Ben Tate, who will fill in for him if he does get hurt.
While he started slowly last season, Andre Johnson still ended up as a top-10 receiver. As much as the Texans want to run the ball, they still need to throw it. Plus, Johnson finally has another receiver who can draw coverage off of him in rookie DeAndre Hopkins.
While some might fear that will limit Johnson, the truth is that if Hopkins does well, it will free Johnson up for bigger plays by leaving him in single coverage more frequently.
Now that he's cleared through the NFL's concussion protocols, Hopkins is poised to start his NFL career in Week 1. We saw how effective he was in preseason, and while we know the regular season can be much different, Hopkins' great hands and concentration were on display. He's going to have rough patches—rookies do—but overall, he should be a very good No. 3 fantasy receiver with the upside to maybe be even more.
While his production has been up and down overall, Owen Daniels is a solid No. 2 tight end. He might see some slippage in numbers if Hopkins lights defenses up, but he's going to produce his usual numbers.
The Texans defense was hit or miss last season. While it was fifth in the NFL in sacks (thanks J.J. Watt!), it was only 14th in interceptions. It's unlikely Watt repeats the numbers he had last season, but at the same time, the interceptions should go up this year, especially with Brian Cushing back in the mix.
Maybe you bump him up to a "must have" if you have Foster and feel a bit nervous about it. Tate will get some carries as the Texans try to preserve Foster, but his greatest value might be if Foster gets dinged up.
Given his weapons, Matt Schaub should be a much bigger fantasy factor than he is. On paper, he should be a top-10 quarterback.
The reality is much different. Schaub is no more than a bench player over the last two years, partly because the focus shifted to the run game and partly because he's an OK quarterback—not a great one. He's a very good No. 2, though, and if things click, he could be so much more. So really, this is an upside pick—pure and simple.
The Texans look like a potentially high-powered offense and there is a lot of talent there. In fact, looking at the list above, you can tell because most of the main starters are listed.
In terms of fantasy, the only starter I am truly hesitant about is Schaub. He seems to have the ability to do very well but often disappears against top competition.
Yes, last year, Schaub dropped four touchdowns and 290 yards on Denver on September 23. Two weeks later, against Green Bay, he threw for 232 yards and two picks. Against the Jets in Week 5, he had 209 yards, a pick and a touchdown. The, Schaub had 232 yards and an interception over New England on December 10.
He didn't have one touchdown from Week 16 to the second round of the playoffs. Three weeks. Now, the only time that hurt you was Week 16, but as that's Championship Week for most teams, that was the one which hurt.
The above doesn't mean "don't draft at all costs." It's more like "buyer beware."