Marlins Are Floundering – Florida Vs. Milwaukee

Greg RiotAnalyst IMay 13, 2009

MILWAUKEE - SEPTEMBER 03:  Starting pitcher Scott Olsen #34 of the Florida Marlins blocks the plate and successfully tags out Bill Hall #2 of the Milwaukee Brewers in the 7th inning September 3, 2006 at Miller Park  in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins defeated the Brewers 10-3.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Florida Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers 8:05 ET

In Tuesday night’s sports betting affair, the Florida Marlins (17-16, +$130) were beaten by the Milwaukee Brewers (19-14, +$487) by the count of 6-3. On Wednesday night, BetUS Sportsbook offers up all of the baseball betting options you could dream of in the second game of this series. The Fish will be hoping for a better outing from their starter, as LHP John Koronka was lit up for five runs in 4.2 innings yesterday. The Brew Crew picked up a tremendous game from 1B Prince Fielder in the victory, as he went 3/4 with two dongs and four ribbies. The first six hitters in Milwaukee’s lineup all reached base at least once, and combined to go 9-for-24 with all six runs and all six RBIs.

Will the same hold true tonight? The oddsmakers think so, as the Brewers are -135 favorites, while the ‘total’ comes in at 9.5 over +100.

There’s clearly something wrong with Florida’s starter for tonight, Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco was the best money pitcher in the National League last season (+$1,394), but he is only 4-3 at +$49 in his first seven starts of this season. Don’t let that plus money number put the wrong idea in your head. Nolasco has been a gas can this season. He has an ERA of 6.63, which is almost double what it was a year ago, and opposing batters are hitting 80 points higher against him this season (.319) than they did in ’08 (.239). He’s given up at least three earned runs in every start this season, and hasn’t gone deeper than the 6th in any of those outings. Nolasco’s career against Milwaukee isn’t exactly stellar either, as he’s got a 7.71 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in a pair of starts against the Brew Crew.

Meanwhile, RHP Braden Looper has been pretty darn effective this season. He’s led the Brew Crew to a 4-2 record, and has a very respectable profit of $232 this season. His last two outings have been rather shaky though, as he has allowed nine runs in just 10.1 combined innings of work. The righty’s strikeout totals are still a tad low (5.85 K/9), but the fact that he is limiting walks (2.17 BBs per start) is keeping his team in games. Looper has only started four games in his career against the Fish, but he has made his share of appearances as a relief pitcher. In 42.0 career IPs against the Marlins, Looper has a 3.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Neither starting pitcher screams that this should be an ‘under’ game, but both bullpens do. Yesterday, we called for two iffy outings by the starters and a good showing by the bullpens, and that’s exactly what happened, as Koronka and Manny Parra combined to give up eight runs in 10.2 innings. Meanwhile, the pens combined to throw 6.1 innings and allowed just one run. Nolasco and Looper are better than Koronka and Parra, and the bullpens should put forth another good effort tonight to keep this game from going past the hefty total.

MoneyMakers Recommendation: 2* Under 9.5 -120

(Rating Scale: 1* - 5*)