UFC Fight Night 27: Condit vs. Kampmann Fight Card Betting Odds and Predictions

Sean SmithAnalyst IAugust 24, 2013

UFC Fight Night 27: Condit vs. Kampmann Fight Card Betting Odds and Predictions

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    Both having lost their most recent fights against top welterweight contender Johny Hendricks, Carlos Condit and Martin Kampmann will be looking to return to title contention at UFC Fight Night 27.

    The Top 10 welterweights are set to square off in the main event of the second Fox Sports 1 fight card.

    In addition to the 170-pound main event, UFC Fight Night 27 will feature a matchup between Top 10 lightweights Donald Cerrone and Rafael dos Anjos. Though neither 155-pound competitor is being included in the title-shot conversation, one may vault himself into consideration with an impressive win.

    While this event may not be as stacked as the first UFC event on Fox Sports 1, UFC Fight Night 27 should still showcase some competitive bouts.

    Here are the current betting odds via 5Dimes.eu for every main card matchup.

     

Takeya Mizugaki vs. Erik Perez

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    Betting Odds

    Takeya Mizugaki TBD

    Erik Perez TBD

     

    Analysis

    The betting odds haven't come out on this bantamweight matchup yet, but there's a good chance they will be tight when they do.

    Former WEC fighter Takeya Mizugaki has been competing at a high level for a long time. His experience advantage could be important against the up-and-coming Erik Perez.

    With back-to-back wins, Mizugaki is trying to return to title contention following a rocky start to his UFC career. Undefeated in his first three UFC bouts, Perez is also on the verge of breaking through and battling for a title shot at only 23 years old.

    Although he hasn't faced top-level talent, Perez easily passes the eye test for a young prospect. It's going to be tough for him to finish Mizugaki, but Perez will prove to be the stronger fighter in all areas en route to the biggest win of his MMA career. 

     

    Prediction

    Perez defeats Mizugaki by decision.

Brad Tavares vs. Bubba McDaniel

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    Betting Odds

    Brad Tavares -400

    Bubba McDaniel +325

     

    Analysis

    Despite winning his past three fights, Tavares will take a step down in competition at UFC Fight Night 27.

    In his six Octagon appearances since appearing on The Ultimate Fighter, Tavares has only lost to Aaron Simpson. While he's not shown he can become a contender in the middleweight division, the 25-year-old Tavares should have a long UFC career ahead of him.

    Fellow TUF alumnus Bubba McDaniel recently picked up his first UFC win in a bout with Gilbert Smith. The victory guaranteed McDaniel a spot on the UFC roster, but he's in for a wake-up call against an opponent in Tavares who has proved over time he belongs inside the Octagon.

    Although the return on investment won't be high, a bet on Tavares might not be a bad idea. The only hole he has shown is with his takedown defense, and McDaniel is nowhere near the wrestler that Simpson is.

     

    Prediction

    Tavares defeats McDaniel by (T)KO in the first round.

Court McGee vs. Robert Whittaker

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    Betting Odds

    Court McGee +125

    Robert Whittaker -145

     

    Analysis

    For his second straight fight since winning The Ultimate Fighter: Smashes, Robert Whittaker will meet a fellow TUF winner.

    Whittaker remained undefeated inside the Octagon with a win over Colton Smith in May. However, he'll meet a more experienced UFC opponent in Court McGee at UFC Fight Night 27.

    In his latest outing, McGee dropped down to welterweight from 185 pounds and scored an impressive win over Josh Neer. Despite that strong start to a new chapter in his career, he finds himself an underdog against a less proven fighter in Whittaker.

    he may have a tough time standing with Whittaker, but he has an advantage on the ground that makes him a solid bet in this matchup. 

     

    Prediction

    McGee defeats Whittaker by submission in the second round.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Brian Melancon

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    Betting Odds

    Kelvin Gastelum -230

    Brian Melancon +190

     

    Analysis

    An underdog on TUF, Kelvin Gastelum is now looking like one of the brighter prospects in the welterweight division. The TUF winner is undefeated and stopped the hype of dangerous striker Uriah Hall in his official UFC debut.

    Brian Melancon is also coming off a win in his UFC debut, where he put Seth Baczynski away in devastating fashion. 

    While Gastelum may be carrying a ton of momentum following his win over Hall, he doesn't have any victories that prove his worth as much as Melancon's win over a UFC veteran in Baczynski. Gastelum may have the brighter future of the two, but it's surprising to see him as a favorite when he's making his first cut to 170 pounds.

    There could be some value in Melancon at UFC Fight Night 27.

     

    Prediction

    Melancon defeats Gastelum by decision.

Donald Cerrone vs. Rafael dos Anjos

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    Betting Odds

    Donald Cerrone -165

    Rafael dos Anjos +145

     

    Analysis

    Two Top 10 lightweights not being considered for title shots, Donald Cerrone and Rafael dos Anjos will be looking to make a statement at UFC Fight Night 27.

    Cerrone recently bounced back from a loss to Anthony Pettis with a victory over KJ Noons. However, Cerrone is dealing with distractions heading into his bout with Dos Anjos. The thrill seeker was recently charged with assault while boating in Colorado.

    Dos Anjos has had trouble breaking through in his five years on the UFC roster. However, a win over Cerrone would give the Brazilian five straight victories and a reason to campaign for a spot in a title-shot eliminator.

    While Dos Anjos' wrestling is a concern for Cerrone, "Cowboy" has a significant edge in the stand-up department. The former WEC fighter should find a way to keep this fight standing long enough to score more points with his striking than Dos Anjos can with his grappling.

    Still, this one might be too close to call for gambling purposes.

     

    Prediction

    Cerrone defeats Dos Anjos by decision.

Carlos Condit vs. Martin Kampmann

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    Betting Odds

    Carlos Condit -250

    Martin Kampmann +210

     

    Analysis

    Considering he's already lost to Martin Kampmann inside the Octagon, it's surprising to see Carlos Condit so heavily favored in this main event matchup.

    Yeah, Condit is ranked higher and just took Georges St-Pierre and Johny Hendricks to the scorecards. However, he matches up evenly with Kampmann in almost all areas.

    Kampmann is also coming off a loss to Hendricks. Prior to that, though, Kampmann looked to be on his way to a title shot with stoppages of Jake Ellenberger and Thiago Alves.

    Condit seems to have grown more as a fighter since his 2009 split-decision loss to Kampmann. So, "The Natural Born Killer" may well win, but he's not worth betting on at the current odds. Kampmann, on the other hand, could be worth betting on if gamblers believe he'll come in looking to surprise Condit with wrestling.

     

    Prediction

    Condit defeats Kampmann by knockout in the third round.