Tim Hardaway Jr., New York Knicks: 36-1
The Knicks could always use shooters. Unfortunately, they have enough perimeter-oriented scoring guards in the rotation. Pablo Prigioni, J.R. Smith and Iman Shumpert are all expected to see minutes at the 2; add Mike Woodson's distaste for rookies, and Hardaway's suit game better be up to par.
Shane Larkin, Dallas Mavericks: 36-1
With Dallas inking Jose Calderon, Devin Harris and Monta Ellis, Larkin will be lucky to see the floor as a rookie. The fact that he broke his ankle days before summer league won't help his cause either.
Sergey Karasev, Cleveland Cavaliers: 33-1
Karasev isn't physically ready to make an impact with the Cleveland Cavaliers. He'll be used as a shot-maker in a minor role as a rookie. I like Karasev's long-term outlook—just not his chances at winning Rookie of the Year.
Dennis Schroeder, Atlanta Hawks: 33-1
It's unclear how Atlanta plans on using Dennis Schroeder with Jeff Teague. Chances are Teague plays heavy minutes and puts up big numbers this year, with the Hawks sprinkling Schroeder in as a backup. There's no real shot here for Schroeder to win Rookie of the Year, though he could end up being the top point guard from this draft.
Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers: 33-1
Who even knows if Nerlens Noel is going to play this season? With the Sixers in tank mode, they might not even risk it. Noel won't be an impact player until his second year in the league.