The state of Florida is a college football recruiting hotbed, and it's also one of the most competitive states to recruit in.
Consider that the state boasts the mighty Florida Gators of the SEC and two big-time ACC programs in Florida State and Miami, and you can see why it could be hard to reach into the sunshine state and snag a high-profile recruit.
Even the coaches within the state have enough of a hard time competing with each other...
With that said, elite recruits leave their home state all the time, and sometimes it's hard to blame them. Going away to college is an experience that most have only once in their life, and even fewer have the chance to go away to college to play major college football. Sometimes, out of state schools just provide a better opportunity or fit.
Examples of state of Florida recruits who committed to leave the state are 5-star running back Sony Michel, who committed to Georgia, and Tennessee commitment, 4-star linebacker Dillon Bates, among others.
With that in mind, here are three recruits who are most likely to leave the state:
Keyon Brown, 4-star WDE, Hardee County High School (Wauchula, Fla.)
Georgia generally has success when it comes to recruiting in the state directly south of it. For instance, Mark Richt's 2014 class currently features four players from Florida. The Bulldogs may add a fifth, represented by Keyon Brown.
Brown is No. 9 weak-side defensive end nationally and the No. 16 player from Florida, both per the 247Sports Composite rankings. Defensive end is a deep position, so being nine deep means Brown is a talented player, and he would be a big pickup for the Bulldogs.
All 22 experts on Brown's 247Sports Crystal Ball predict that he'll commit to Georgia. In fact, he named Georgia as one of his leaders early in July, and he has an official visit to Athens scheduled for September 21, according to his 247Sports timeline.
Brown definitely seems like a lean to go out of state, specifically to Georgia.
Johnnie Dixon, 4-star WR, Dwyer High School (Palm Beach Gardens, Fla.)
At least according to Johnnie Dixon's 247Sports interest list, there's a 66 percent chance he'll end up going out of state. According to his 247Sports Crystal Ball though, there's a 95 percent chance he'll stay in-state and play for Miami.
Alabama, Miami and Ohio State are currently on top of Dixon's interest list, so for our purposes, he'll fit the likely to leave category.
The odds of him leaving the state to go to one of those other two programs goes up drastically if either 'Bama or OSU wins a championship. Again, there's a good chance that will happen (See: Alabama football or Urban Meyer), so keep an eye on Dixon if you're rooting for the state of Florida here.
Dixon is the No. 23 wideout in the 2014 class, per the 247Sports Composite.
Tony James, 4-star APB, Gainesville High School (Gainesville, Fla.)
Tony James is from the home of the Gators, which is something that Florida has going in its favor. That said, the odds seem to be stacked up against both the Gators and the state of Florida here.
At 5'10'', 170 pounds, James is the No. 7 all-purpose back and the No. 41 player from Florida, according to the 247Sports Composite. His 247Sports interest list features five schools ahead of the rest, and only one of those schools is from Florida.
Auburn, Florida, Kentucky, Ohio State and Oregon are those five teams, so the state of Florida currently has a one-in-five chance to keep James.
Will the Gainesville tie be enough to keep James in state? Not according to the 247Sports Crystal Ball. Both recruiting insider Justin Hopkins and 247Sports' director of recruiting JC Shurburtt believe James will end up at Auburn.