Cubs Facing Phillies' Pitcher Cole Hamels on Saturday

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Cubs Facing Phillies' Pitcher Cole Hamels on Saturday
Cole Hamels, one of the best young pitchers in the game, will try and give the Phillies a second straight win against the Cubs. Using over 800 pitches from July 2007 thru last week, I'm able to pick out three pitches in the PITCHf/x data. More than half of what he throws are fastballs, around 90mph, touching 95 on occasion (if you believe the data). 32% of his pitches are the change-up, which is a nasty pitch, and the rest curves.

There was a lot of noise from park-to-park, and Philly looks messed-up this year. I haven't looked at the Friday night game at this writing, but I will before Hamels takes the hill tomorrow against Ted Lilly.





 BCSSSFXHR
CH77415836551
CU49281411250
FA1318829109793




 BCSSSFXHR
CH28.7%15.3%21.6%13.4%20.5%0.4%
CU38.6%22.0%11.0%8.7%19.7%0.0%
FA29.8%20.0%6.6%24.8%18.0%0.7%





 Swing RateWhiff RateB:CS
CH56.0%38.7%1.9
CU39.4%28.0%1.8
FA50.1%13.2%1.5


Spin Movement chart:


larger

ESPN's scouting report shows the same three pitches and Gameday 2008 agrees with the these pitch IDs, with one exception. Gameday gave an FC to less than 10 pitches in his 4/2/08 start, but that one game had to be adjusted a few inches. So, I'll see if there's more of those in 2008 (e.g. new pitch from '07) after/during tomorrow's game. Also, ESPN says he throws a slider to LHH 1% of the time, but, otherwise, they list the same three pitches. Fangraphs matches ESPN, too.

Should be a tough match-up for the Cubs tomorrow. Forecast indicates around 70°, windy with some rain showers possible.
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