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Why He’ll Win
If Tiger's overwhelming victory at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational is any indication, the world’s top-ranked player is more than poised to win his first major championship since 2008.
Unlike the U.S. Open at Merion Golf Club, Woods heads into the PGA Championship healthy. Unlike the British Open, he arrives at Oak Hill Country Club on a wave of momentum after his eighth victory at the Bridgestone.
Albeit not necessarily with his driver, Woods is finding fairways more often than not, and that is increasing his scoring opportunities. His iron play is dialed in, and his putter was spicy hot at Firestone.
If that dangerous concoction of dominance remains in play at Oak Hill this week, Tiger could very well waltz to his 15th major the same way he did his 18th World Golf Championship triumph this past Sunday.
Why He Won’t
Pure and simple, Tiger isn't the closer he once was. In fact, he’s not even close.
In the past seven majors, Tiger is a combined 13 under par in the first the two rounds. In eight of those 14 starts, he shot under par.
By stark contrast, Woods is a cumulative 23 over in the third and fourth rounds, a troubling reality that has absolutely kept him from winning that elusive 15th major championship.
There’s no denying the pressure to win a first major since the 2008 U.S. Open is taking its toll on Woods as recent majors have worn on.
Until he proves otherwise, it's fair to assume it will remain a significant hurdle to overcome if, as expected, he finds himself in contention for a fifth PGA Championship this weekend.
The Better Bet
Woods is too good not to get his weekend woes figured out. Given the way he played at Firestone, our treasured cash is on him to get it right at Oak Hill this coming weekend.