It's Eary, But Things Don't Look Good For Ball's Odds Of Starting In September
The run on wide receivers really starts in the fourth round of 10-team standard scoring league mock drafts. One of the names below that obviously will drop going forward is Percy Harvin, as recent news about a hip injury he suffered a week ago could sideline him for the entire season.
A big blow to the Seahawks offense and another reminder of why Harvin wasn’t worth a top-10 pick at the receiver position. If you draft based on talent and per-game production, Harvin is one of the better options at his position for fantasy leagues.
Problem is, health is a major concern—from his concussion problems in the early portion of his career to a leg injury that cost him half of last season and his hip injury now.
31. Roddy White
While Julio Jones is the top receiver off the board out of Atlanta, White is still in his prime and should have another terrific season as a low-end WR1.
32. Percy Harvin
Obviously Harvin’s draft status has changed since we learned about his hip injury a few days ago. Now that we know Harvin will need surgery, it's time to avoid him in redraft leagues this summer.
33. Lamar Miller
Expect Miller to be the uncontested starter come Week 1, as rookie Mike Gillislee has struggled in camp and Daniel Thomas continues to have fumbling issues. Miller has the tools to be a starter in a zone-blocking offense, which the Dolphins happen to run.
34. Victor Cruz
It was Cruz (not Hakeem Nicks) who was the first Giants receiver re-signed to a new contract. Now that we know Cruz will be around for awhile, consider him a low-end WR1 or a terrific high-end WR2 option. Nicks has the ability to produce at the same level as Cruz, but it is Cruz who has proven to be durable while Nicks has struggled with health problems throughout his career.
35. Andre Johnson
The Texans drafted DeAndre Hopkins in the first round, but I still expect Johnson to haul in around 100 receptions in 2013. Hopkins can mature into a No.1 receiver in the NFL, but as long as Johnson is around he will be the top option for Matt Schaub.
36. DeMarco Murray
Health will be a concern and likely a problem for Murray, as he’s struggled to stay on the field not only with the Cowboys but back in college as well. Unlike Ryan Mathews last season, when Murray is actually on the field he will produce as a RB2 option.
37. Montee Ball
Who Will Have The Better Season In Denver?
Expect Ball to drop from the fourth round as we move through the month of August. Ronnie Hillman is running with the first team, and while Ball will likely beat Hillman out for early-down work at some point, that may not happen in 2012.
This will be Ball’s first year running in a zone-blocking scheme (and he’s struggled early in camp), while Hillman’s game is perfect for this blocking (last year the Broncos ran a power-blocking scheme, not as good for an excellent jump-cut back like Hillman).
38. Darren Sproles
Not a fan of Sproles in the fourth round of standard-scoring leagues. At best the Saints will give him no more than 90 carries on the season, and I would like to see him close to 130 carries to justify grabbing him at this point.
In PPR leagues, Sproles is still a quality option, but in standard leagues we should leave him off our draft boards until the sixth round.
39. Vincent Jackson
Jackson will benefit from having Mike Williams on the other side of the field and Doug Martin at running back. With Josh Freeman looking for a new contract, expect the young quarterback to lean on his talented No. 1 receiver throughout the season for big plays.
40. Marques Colston
Colston is as steady as they come. He won’t give you WR1 upside because of how the Saints spread the football around to different receivers. Heck, he may end up third on the team in receptions after Jimmy Graham and Darren Sproles, but Colston is worth a WR2 selection.