The Toronto Blue Jays have had a lackluster July, especially compared to their June. The beginning of July showed so much promise and hope for the rest of the season, but many have eschewed those possibilities out the door.
As we do every month by looking over the team, July seems to paint just as pessimistic a tune as April did.
At the time of this article, the Jays have an 8-16 record, quite similar to their 9-18 April.
In 12 games decided by three runs or less, the Blue Jays went an astounding 2-10.
Need I say more?
Let us see how every player fared in July.
Note: We will not be giving a grade to players who have barely played this season. We will grade some on the bench and all of the main relievers, but guys who barely played will not be mentioned in this piece other than, of course, in this corresponding blurb.
Also, please note that this article does not take into account the Blue Jays 4-0 win yesterday.
Arencibia improved on his paltry June numbers and hit .235 in July. However, with only five runs scored and two home runs versus 21 strikeouts, it was another disappointing month for the supposed offensive catcher. Three extra-base hits in a month won’t cut it when you are that bad at framing pitches and calling games.
Lind had a pretty terrible July, batting .193 with only two home runs in 23 games. He still managed eight doubles but less RBI than that. His K/BB ratio, which started off very well at the beginning of the season, has hit the proverbial wall and he has 10 walks to 48 strikeouts over the past two months.
Izturis has had a decent July, batting .274 with a 8/11 K/BB ratio. He had more RBI than Lind or Arencibia, yet still had only six runs on the month. That being said, you expect more than two extra-base hits (both doubles) from any player, unless they steal bases at a premium (Izturis was 0-2 on stolen-base attempts).
Reyes got back to his old ways while hitting .305 over the month of July. Couple that with four home runs (the same amount as Lind and Arencibia combined), an outstanding 19 runs scored and six stolen bases. I’d be worried to see what the Jays' record would have been without JR in the lineup.
Lawrie continues to struggle, and it was apparent all month long as Lawrie hit only .204 over 14 games in July. That being said, he was still able to hit three home runs, have a decent K/BB ratio of 8/6 and score eight runs.
Melky only played in eight games in July and hit .303 with two doubles. He managed five runs scored and only three strikeouts. It's tough to grade a player on such a short stint in the month, but Melky looks much healthier than he did pre-injury.
Rasmus had a great month of July, hitting .359 with 15 RBI and 13 runs scored. He had 11 doubles, 33 hits and lowered his monthly strikeout total. Rasmus has been steadily improving all season and now has his average up to .272 on the season. He should get further chances at the top of the order.
Bautista hit a mere .242 in July while hitting six home runs and 15 RBI. He scored 16 runs in the month and got his K/BB back to what we expect from Jose (17/14). Although the average was a bit low, Bautista still continues to produce.
Edwin had a great month hitting .321 with a very strong .432 OBP. Edwin slugged six home runs and had 18 RBI, but what really stood out was his 6/16 K/BB ratio. Edwin also totaled 14 runs, five doubles and a triple in the month. Don’t forget the three stolen bases either.
Dickey had a down month to the tune of a 5.34 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. The WHIP wasn’t terrible, and what that tells us is that the gopher problem struck again (seven HR allowed in 32 IP). His strikeout numbers rose once again (30 in 32 IP), yet winning only one game in the month is not good enough for the ace of a playoff team.
The worst of them all. In five starts in July, Johnson had a 7.71 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He averaged just under one HR per every three innings pitched and did not show any signs of having a strong second half. The only number that is intriguing is the 28 strikeouts in 25.2 innings pitched. Johnson has given up 19 earned runs in his last three starts (13.2 IP).
Buehrle had his best months as a Blue Jay. Buehrle won three of his five starts and had an ERA of 2.75 and a sparkling 1.03 WHIP. Take away his terrible start on July 12th and Buehrle gave only three runs (all on July 20) in 27 innings. Buehrle gave up zero runs in three starts and has clearly become comfortable in Toronto.
After a strong start to his career as a starter, Rogers plummeted in July, going 0-2 in five starts with a 7.07 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. The most alarming stat is the .336 batting average against (BAA). Rogers struck out as many men as he allowed to score. Perhaps he is tired after so many starts. Whatever it is it needs to be fixed quickly before he loses his spot in the rotation.
For someone that was expected to make one last-minute start, Redmond has shown that he can be successful at the major league level. In four starts in July, Redmond is 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Batters are hitting a paltry .222 against him and he has 28 strikeouts in 23.2 IP. Surprisingly lucky, five of his nine earned runs in the month came via the long ball.
After such a darling first three months to the season, Janssen had an off July. Janssen only saved one game (granted he only had two chances) and thus blew the other. His ERA for the month grew to 4.05 and his WHIP was a horrible 1.65. He clearly is having some trouble locating his pitches, which is usually one of his strengths, as he has walked five in 6.2 innings (over the course of the rest of the season he only has four walks in 26.2 IP). Surprisingly his BAA was still only .222.
The old lefty had an odd month of July. His ERA was a terrible 4.09, but his WHIP was under 1.00 (0.91). Four of the five runs he let up this month came on the 23rd when the bullpen blew a huge lead to the Dodgers. Adrian Gonzalez hit a three-run homer off of Oliver. Take that one pitch out and Oliver pitched well this month.
As per usual, Loup had a solid July. After an amazing June where he yielded zero earned runs, Loup gave up three in 11.2 innings to the tune of a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Loups is still very underrated and one of the brightest spots of the Blue Jays. These are his WHIP numbers for May, June and July respectively: 0.88, 0.68, 0.94.
Perez has had a pretty disappointing month. His 5.40 ERA won’t cut it, nor will his six walks in 10 innings pitched. Looking at the totals is a bit unfair however, as five out of the six runs he gave up came in one game against the Dodgers (sounds like Oliver doesn’t it?). All five of those runs came off of home runs (a three-run shot to Yasiel Puig and a two-run bomb to Mark Ellis). Other than that, he has given up one run in six outings. That is why we must always look under the hood and not just at the total numbers.
Maybe the All-Star call was premature or maybe it went to his head. Either way, Cecil has been terrible in July. Cecil gave up more runs in July (eight) than he did in April, May and June combined. His 2.36 WHIP was a team worst and he gave up nine walks in 9.1 innings. The funniest stats to look at are his pre All-Star versus post All-Star ERA: 1.94 vs. 11.25.
Maybe like Cecil, Delabar took his foot off the pedal following the All-Star Game. Delabar gave up one less run in July than he did in April, May and June combined. He has continued his strikeout dominance with 16 in nine innings while only giving up two walks, but his .294 BAA really needs to improve. It could be argued that the All-Star relievers cost the team at least two wins in July.
McGowan had a great first full month back in the show. McGowan pitched in 10 games and maintained his strikeout per inning ratio (10 in 10.2 innings). His 1.69 ERA seems a little low considering his 1.22 WHIP, but that is the magic of the strikeout. He will need to improve his walk rate, as he gave up six on the month and now has given up nine in 17 innings.
DeRosa played in 11 games in July and had a solid .294 AVG and .351 OBP. He hit more home runs than Arencibia or Lind and also chipped in with a double and triple. It is tough to ask for any more from your utility elder statesman who is a borderline player/coach.
Davis struggled in July once he started to receive extra playing time with Melky’s injury. Davis hit .203 in the month but still managed to steal a ridiculous 12 bases in 13 attempts. He score on half of the times he got on base (8-for-16), so think of how much better a month he could have had if he hit for a higher average.
Bonifacio has really lost his job due to his .215 AVG on the season. July was much improved however, as he hit .308 and had a .400 OBP, albeit in only 26 at-bats in July. That being said, he didn’t steal any bases and was caught twice. His 5/3 K/BB ratio was definitely his best month of the season.
Emilio is a curious case, as he has only 11 stolen bases this season in 85 games while having 30 in 64 games last season.
I am surprised Thole is still up with the team. He is batting .128 on the season and only hit .160 in July. He had a decent 5/6 K/BB ratio, however. Not much else to say other than his defense hasn’t been that overwhelming either, so why not go grab Jeff Mathis once again?
Thanks for the read. Let me know if you disagree with my grades below!
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