MLB Handicapping: Top 5 Left-Handed Pitchers on the Money Line
The second half of the 2013 Major League Baseball regular season got underway this past Friday after last week’s All-Star break. Most teams have actually played close to 100 games of the 162-game schedule, so we have plenty of statistical information when it comes to wagering on MLB. This is especially true when trying to assess what kind of return on investment all the starters in both the American and National League have provided so far.
For the purpose of this discussion, we want to focus in on the year-to-date money line returns for the top five left-handers in the majors through this past weekend’s games, according to stats compiled by Covers.com.
At the top of the list is Arizona’s Patrick Corbin. He is not only the top left-handed pitcher this season when it comes to his team’s return on the money line, but he is the No. 1 ranked pitcher overall in the majors with a +$1445 return through his first 19 starts. Corbin boasts an 11-1 win/loss mark and a 2.35 ERA. The Diamondbacks have gone an impressive 17-2 in those 19 starts and have also been profitable on the total line as well recently with six of his last eight starts staying “under” the closing line.
The second-most profitable lefty this season has been Tampa Bay’s Matt Moore, with a +$941 return on an overall team record of 15-4 in his first 19 starts this year. His personal record is 13-3, and he has now won his last five starts after the Rays posted a 4-3 win over Minnesota on July 11 as a -228 home favorite. This followed a rough patch in mid-June in which Moore lost three consecutive starts that cost $400 on the money line. However, he has appeared to have regained that winning form in his last few outings. The total has stayed under in three of his last four starts.
Los Angeles Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is third on our list at +$645 on the year. This lefty is 7-3 this season in 18 previous starts, and his team is 12-6 over the same stretch of games. He has just one win in his last seven starts along with a loss and five no-decisions, but the Dodgers won five of those games for a return of +$302. The total has gone “over” in five of his last six outings after Los Angeles outscored its opponents 34-25 during this run.
The fourth-most profitable left-hander in the majors this season has been Houston’s Dallas Keuchel at +$610. Much of this has to do with the high money lines the Astros routinely attract as the worst team in baseball. He has made 12 starts this season. And while he has a personal record of 4-5, his team is 6-6 in those games. That is quite an accomplishment when you consider that Houston is already over 15 games below .500 on the year at 33-64. Over his last five starts the Astros are just 1-4 and -$112 on the money line, so the tide may be turning quickly on Keuchel’s future earning potential.
The final left-hander on our list is Colorado’s Jorge De La Rosa. He is coming off a no-decision this past Friday against the Chicago Cubs, but his team lost 3-1 as a -150 home favorite to drop his total return on the year to +$597. He has made a total of 20 starts this season, and the Rockies have gone 13-7 in those games. De La Rosa is 9-5 on the year and 3-2 in his last 10 starts. Colorado has gone 6-4 in those 10 games with a +$108 return on the money line.
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