The Houston Texans beat the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC South title in 2012 by a mere one game. The Texans won 12 games and the Colts won 11.
But that one-game margin was a lot bigger than it looked.
With a point differential that ranked 21st of the 32 teams in the league, and an expected record of approximately 7 wins and 9 losses, the Colts were a mediocre team that masqueraded itself as a good team.
The Texans, meanwhile, ranked eighth in point differential despite playing a much more difficult schedule than the Colts (per ESPN), and possessed superior talent on both sides of the ball. They stood three games ahead of the Colts heading into Week 16 before losing their last two games, while the Colts won their last two.
In 2013, the Colts look to provide a better challenge to the Texans, talent-wise. The Colts were very active in free agency and made some schematic changes that should help the offense flourish.
Let's look at how the two teams match up at all the major position groups, as well as coaching.
Position depth will be taken into account, as will the talent at the starting position(s).
Note: All stats are from Pro-Football-Reference, unless otherwise indicated.