The Ashes 2013 Scorecard: Projections for Day 2 Based on Day 1's Events

Ben SnowballContributor IJuly 18, 2013

LONDON, ENGLAND - JULY 18:  Matt Prior of England hits out watched by wicketkeeper Brad Haddin of Australia during day one of the 2nd Investec Ashes Test match between England and Australia at Lord's Cricket Ground on July 18, 2013 in London, England.  (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)
Mike Hewitt/Getty Images

The Australians have a slight advantage over England after day one of the second Test, with the hosts 289-7 at stumps.

The day threw up plenty of twists and turns, with both sides battling for the ascendancy before England lost three late wickets.

After mulling over the action, we’ve forecast how day two will play out.


Australians Batting By Lunch

Lords is meant to be a batting wicket, but England made it look nightmarish when they lost the three early wickets of captain Alastair Cook, Joe Root and Jonathan Trott.

England’s first innings total now hinges on whether new boy Tim Bresnan and Stuart Broad can form a solid partnership, assuming nightwatchman James Anderson is dismissed in the first few overs.

The hosts need their remaining batsman to put on at least 50, although the fact Cook sent Anderson into the action late in the day to protect Broad suggests he wants closer to 100. Graeme Swann is also still to feature and is capable of adding 30, but he only scored ten runs last time out and looked out of sorts at the crease.

Given their erratic form with the bat, it seems unlikely England will post a total much over 300 which should lead to the Australians getting their turn very early on day two.


Shane Watson and Chris Rogers Make Century Partnership

We saw glimpses of the pair’s ability in the second innings of the first Test, as they put on 84 before Watson was trapped lbw by Broad.

Ian Bell’s century knock demonstrated that by not forcing the issue, the runs will slowly rack up. The duo know they can’t collapse like they did in the first innings—they can’t always rely on a No.11 to bail them out—but will be encouraged by their rival’s score.

James Anderson can’t keep us his relentless streak forever and if he's slightly off-form Watson and Rogers will take full advantage and put their nation in a winning position.


The Ashton Agar Lottery

Agar will either go for a duck or post a half-century given the way this series has gone, assuming the latest Australian hero gets his chance on day two.

Cook will likely hand the ball to Anderson or Broad to pepper the teenager as soon as he arrives at the crease, with a series of bouncers and pacey deliveries aimed at unnerving the 19-year-old.

If he can play with the same verve as the opening Test though, the England attack won’t get near him as he clumsily makes his way towards another big total.

An abundance of boundaries and near misses should give the Lords crowd plenty of excitement as day two draws to a close.