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The Report: According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, several baseball personnel people expect Garza to go to the Rangers. He also mentions that young left-hander Martin Perez could be the key piece going back to the Cubs.
Chicago has first baseman Anthony Rizzo in the majors, and outfielders Albert Almora and Jorge Soler and shortstop Javier Baez among the game’s best prospects. So while my panel said the Cubs would take the best prospect they could get, the feeling was that all things being equal, Chicago would favor a pitcher. That is why Martin Perez could be a key element for the Cubs to move Garza to Texas.
Fact or Fiction: Fiction
We know from past experience with Cliff Lee that the Rangers are not shy about acquiring pitching at the deadline. However, based on this particular idea, it doesn't make much sense for them to do it.
First, why would the Rangers trade a young, very talented, cost-controlled and big league ready left-handed starting pitcher for someone who, while pitching well lately, has a long injury history, is not nearly as good as Lee was when the Rangers acquired him three years ago and will be a free agent at the end of the year?
Second, even with Yu Darvish and Alexi Ogando out, Justin Grimm and Nick Tepesch struggling, and Derek Holland possibly pitching a bit over his head, the Rangers are still just two games out in the American League West and lead Baltimore by 1.5 games for the second wild card spot.
The Rangers aren't a team that goes after "good" when they make a trade. To use the old cliche, they are a team that goes big or goes home. Yes, they have players like Perez, Jurickson Profar and, assuming his vision problems are truly a thing of the past, Mike Olt to dangle in a trade.
But they aren't going to package any of them in a trade without getting the highest possible return. If that player isn't out there this year, and it doesn't appear he is, they will stand pat and take their chances.