2009 Fantasy Football Running Back Forecast: AFC West

Michael Whooley by Senior Writer Written on May 08, 2009
OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 30:  Devard Darling #81 of the Kansas City Chiefs tackles Darren McFadden #20 of the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game on November 30, 2008 at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images) (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)
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Bruno Boys Greg's Take: While the situation is a bit murky in Kansas City, Larry Johnson comes in with little to no competition unless he gets traded away. 

 

Johnson hasn’t been himself the last two seasons, failing to reach 1,000 yards both times. Though, he will get a ton of opportunities in 2009 as long as he stays healthy. 

 

His backups will be Jamaal Charles, Kolby Smith, and Javarris Williams, who the Chiefs selected in the seventh round of the draft out of Tennessee State. Johnson should be a RB2 this season with upside if he stays healthy. His backups should all be RB4 at best.

FANTASY DEPTH CHART: Larry Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Kolby Smith

 

2009 SCHEDULE: @ BAL (1), OAK (2), @ PHI (3), NYG (4), DAL (5), @ WAS (6), SD (7), BYE (8), @ JAX (9), @ OAK (10), PIT (11), @ SD (12), DEN (13), BUF (14), CLE (15), @ CIN (16), @ DEN (17)

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OAKLAND RAIDERS

 

Bruno Boys Ziza's Take: When healthy, it is Darren McFadden's gig to lead the silver and black out of the backfield. Unfortunately, his first season in the NFL was loaded with injuries which kept him from achieving solid results on the field.

 

Nonetheless, if he were to take his stats from last season and average it over a 225 carry year, he very well could top the 1,000 rushing mark and double-digit touchdowns.

 

And that is a pretty conservative prediction on my behalf. He has the tools to be very successful in the NFL. The question is, does his body have what it takes to withstand the daily beatings that players at his position garner. Look for him to be a mid-late RB2 in deeper leagues or a solid RB3 in smaller leagues.

 

As for the other two backs, Justin Fargas is the man that will get most of the carries if McFadden does go down with injury. He is a solid handcuff for McFadden  and is a low-end RB3, high-end RB4 when McFadden gets the majority of the touches.

 

Watch this closely though as when Fargas is the main back his value rises to low-end RB2. Michael Bush is nothing more than waiver wire fodder unless both McFadden and Fargas go down.

 

Bruno Boys Greg's Take: The Oakland Raiders have been a laughing stock in the NFL the last few seasons and will continue to be that way. One thing they do well, though, is run the ball. 

 

They have a strong three-headed horse in Darren McFadden, Justin Fargas, and Michael Bush. While there will be a bit of a timeshare here, it seems that you may be able to figure out who will see the bulk of the carries. 

 

McFadden was brought in to be a difference maker and could be considered a RB3 come draft time. Fargas will be No. 2 in line as far as productivity and should be a RB4. 

 

Bush will be the odd man out when it comes to touches and can be considered an RB5 unless an injury occurs to one of the two guys previously listed.

 

FANTASY DEPTH CHART: *Darren McFadden, Justin Fargas, Michael Bush

 

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written on May 08, 2009 Preview/Prediction

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