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Calm down everyone. We got this.
Just look to the stoic Bochy for guidance. He's not worried in this press conference about Cain, and neither should we be.
Let's go back to Cain's FanGraphs page one last time.
There are some numbers that really jump out. Specifically Cain's home run rate, his strand rate and his ERA to xFIP ratio.
First, the home run rate. His career average home run-per-fly-ball rate is about 7 percent, but this year it's a monstrous 12.8 percent. This adds up to a whopping 16 home runs allowed, good for third in the NL.
Then his left-on-base percentage. Normally it's in the mid-to-high 70s. This year it's 64.5 percent. Is that bad? It's certainly not good.
Also his xFIP hasn't really deviated in comparison to other years. This year it's 3.85, which is negligibly higher than the last two years. The fact that his ERA is a full run higher tells us that he's actually getting unlucky.
Finally, thanks to Chris Jaffe of FanGraphs for pointing this last bit out. Cain has been horrible with men on base. Batters are hitting .308 against him with men on, which is .78 higher than his career average of .230.
Bringing it all together, Matt Cain will be fine. He had a rough first half. He isn't the first and won't be the last baseball player to have a putrid stretch of games.
His underlying numbers look fine. He's way off some key career numbers, so look for those to regress back toward what he does on a year-in, year-out basis. Take a deep breath, and trust in Bochy and Cain. They got this.