Free agency is like a game of minesweeper.
Remove all rookie deals, which are the best value contracts in the game. Then, get rid of the one or two true superstars, who only make themselves available to a select group of teams.
Then what's the landscape like for everyone else? Players who have to be overpaid for that are highly capable of blowing up a franchise's hopes and dreams.
Whether it's a young team pushing in way too early (like the Detroit Pistons), or a terrible team that just wants to be slightly more respectable (like the Charlotte Bobcats), overspending is bound to happen in free agency. Here are the most likely candidates to be on the receiving end of that equation.