Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Middleweight challenger Chris Weidman
Odds: Anderson Silva (-240) vs. Chris Weidman (+190)
If you were waiting on some betting value from Anderson Silva, the past two lines gave it to you.
At UFC 148 against Chael Sonnen, Silva was less than a 3-to-1 favorite, which gives pretty strong value for arguably the greatest fighter in history. Now, heading into UFC 162, Silva sits at just -240.
And the predictions—from fans, analysts and fighters alike—seem to favor Weidman. The contender appears to be the exact type of fighter to beat Silva.
That said, "The Spider" has never lost in the UFC, and he's the most dominant fighter in the promotion's history. Weidman's task is more than a tall one.
But the challenger boasts a strong wrestling base, solid submissions and intimidating power. He effortlessly walked through Munoz to earn the shot at the middleweight gold, and as a 2-to-1 underdog, the odds definitely respect his abilities.
Basically, he's a better version of Sonnen, the man who almost beat Silva at UFC 117.
However, Sonnen's rematch at UFC 148 ended in devastating fashion, as Silva battered him en route to a technical knockout victory.
Weidman is almost certainly going to have to fight through at least a few dangerous moments Saturday night if he wants to win. Trouble is, Silva usually only needs one opening to finish a fight.
At the moment, this fight is being billed as the toughest of Silva's career, and I'm not sure that's just hype. Weidman is a dangerous threat and probably the last man who can beat this version of "The Spider."
But Silva's value here is probably the best it's ever going to be until he is defeated, if he's ever defeated. I like him to win and, in the process, provide a good payout to those who stayed true to him.
Betting Line Assessment:
This line is very close for a Silva fight, and I suppose it should be. I'm not sold that Weidman deserves the +190, as he hasn't exactly defeated a top middleweight in his career. Silva should be closer to a 3-to-1 favorite, so take advantage if you believe he will win this fight.