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Predicting the Best Value Signings of 2013 NBA Free Agency

Brendan BowersContributor IIJune 29, 2013

Predicting the Best Value Signings of 2013 NBA Free Agency

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    The best value signings of 2013 NBA free agency project to provide the highest on-court production at a salary cap friendly price.

    While the best overall players like Chris Paul and Dwight Howard will be signing max-level contracts, the best value deals will be significantly less expensive. 

    The players acquired through these deals will be capable of starting for a number of teams throughout the league while also being professional enough to make an impact off the bench. 

    Though there will be varied interest and dollars invested in each player highlighted, none of their annual contract values are expected to exceed $7 million. They are also listed according to who is capable of making the biggest impact for the teams they sign with in 2013-14.

No. 5: Corey Brewer

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    Corey Brewer is coming off a season where he earned $3.2 million, according to Hoopsworld.com, as a member of the Denver Nuggets.

    Appearing in all 82 regular-season games, Brewer earned a bulk of those dollars on the perimeter with his ability to defend from the small forward position. His long arms seemed to always find themselves in the passing lanes, and he averaged 1.4 steals because of it.

    In addition to being one of the better overall defenders available in free agency, Brewer posted solid offensive numbers for the Nuggets in 2012-13.

    Playing 24.4 minutes per night for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference, Brewer averaged 12.1 points and 2.1 rebounds. Those totals, according to Basketball-Reference.com, translate to 17.8 and 4.2 per 36 minutes. 

    If he can be acquired in the $4-million range annually, Brewer, an unrestricted free agent, will provide great value for whichever team is able to sign him. 

No. 4: Jeff Teague

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    The knock on Jeff Teague is that as a 25-year-old point guard, he may have already hit his ceiling in terms of NBA production. 

    If this is in fact true, however, there are a number of teams throughout the league who would be thrilled to pencil-in the 14.6 points and 7.2 assists that Teague averaged as a starter for the Atlanta Hawks in 2012-13. 

    After general manager Danny Ferry spent the No. 17 overall pick on point guard Dennis Schroeder, however, uncertainty continues to surround the Hawks long-term plans for Teague.

    As a restricted free agent, he is due a qualifying offer of $4.5 million.

    Whether he eventually receives those dollars from Atlanta or slightly more from someone else, Teague will provide real value at the point guard spot in 2013-14 for a reasonable price. 

No. 3: Gerald Henderson

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    There are two sides to the Gerald Henderson debate. 

    On one hand, it's hard to truly quantify what Henderson's NBA production would look like if he played more meaningful games than the ones he has as a member of the Charlotte Bobcats. 

    On the other hand, however, it is also hard to dismiss the 15 points he's consistently averaged for the last two seasons. 

    The Bobcats, it seems, are betting on the upside related to the latter. According to the Associated Press, they have extended a qualifying offer of $4.2 million to Henderson, making him a restricted free agent.

    It's a smart play for Charlotte, who now has the opportunity to match any offer that comes in for the 25-year-old shooting guard. 

    Assuming the winning bid does not exceed $6 million annually, Henderson is positioned to provide continued value on a reasonable contract. In addition to averaging 15.5 points in 2012-13, Henderson also collected 3.7 rebounds while dishing out 2.6 assists.

No. 2: Jarrett Jack

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    Jarrett Jack may have been a bit overaggressive shooting the basketball for the Golden State Warriors during their second-round series with the San Antonio Spurs, but this shouldn't take anything away from what he accomplished in 2012-13. 

    Jack's ability to play both guard spots effectively made him an ideal backup to Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. In the process, the 29-year-old continued to improve his already solid NBA stock.

    As a starter or the first guard off the bench, there isn't a team in the league that Jack wouldn't make a significant impact for. 

    In only 29.7 minutes per night for the Warriors, Jack averaged 12.9 points, 5.6 assists and 3.1 rebounds during the regular season. He is coming off a year where he earned $5.4 million and could be looking for multiple years in the $6-7 million range.

    As long as a team doesn't get too carried away and signs the unrestricted free agent for less than $7 million, Jack will continued to provide winning production wherever he lands. 

No. 1: J.J. Redick

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    In a free-agent class headlined at the shooting guard position by Andre Iguodala, Monta Ellis, J.R. Smith, Tyreke Evans and O.J. Mayo, J.J. Redick may end up providing the most value in terms of dollars invested. 

    The unrestricted free agent is coming off a season where he earned $6.2 million playing for both the Orlando Magic and Milwaukee Bucks. Redick averaged a combined 14.1 points, 3.8 assists and 2.2 rebounds in 2012-13, along with demonstrating his ability as an underrated defender.

    For the last three seasons, Redick has now averaged double-figure points while also stretching defenses with his ability to connect from long-range. 

    While defensive schemes continue to become more sophisticated throughout the league, the ability to create space with the three-point shot has never been more important. As a 39 percent shooter from long-range for his career, Redick certainly possess that dynamic. 

    If he is able to be acquired between $6-7 million annually for multiple years, Redick could prove to be the most sound investment of the summer. 

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