The Ultimate Meta Big Board

Adam Fromal@fromal09National NBA Featured ColumnistJune 21, 2013

The Ultimate Meta Big Board

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    What good is one big board or mock draft when you can combine 10 of the best to form the Ultimate Meta Big Board? 

    That's exactly what we're doing here, combining 10 mock drafts from around the vast reaches of the interwebs to churn out one product. 

    Let's meet our panel and give you links to their individual mock drafts: 

    1. Jonathan Wasserman, Bleacher Report
    2. Chad Ford, ESPN (subscription required)
    5. Matt Moore, CBS
    6. Gary Parrish, CBS
    7. Chris Mannix, Sports Illustrated
    8. Yannis Koutroupis, HOOPSWORLD
    9. Steve Kyler, HOOPSWORLD
    10. Alex Kennedy, HOOPSWORLD

    With each mock draft, I've looked at the 30 picks and assigned them all values. A player drafted at No. 1 gets 30 points, a guy going at No. 2 gets 29 and so on. No. 30 picks get a single point, and players not projected to be selected in the first round get no score. 

    The scores were added up for the players appearing in the 10 mock drafts, and that's the order in which they'll appear here. A perfect score would be 300, as that means the prospect is the consensus No. 1 pick. 

    This is the Ultimate Meta Big Board. All the others are just less, well, ultimate. 

1. Nerlens Noel (291 Points)

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    Wasserman: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Ford: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    DraftExpress: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers) No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Moore: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Parrish:  No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Mannix: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Koutroupis: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Kyler: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Kennedy: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    There isn't all that much variation at the top of the board. 

    Seven of the 10 analysts in question have Nerlens Noel going to the Cleveland Cavaliers as the top overall selection. Wasserman, and Moore have the Kentucky big man falling a few spots, but I have trouble seeing the flat-top drop low enough to make it to the Phoenix Suns at No. 5. 

    If a high-upside talent like Noel is available to the Charlotte Bobcats, it will be hard for the talent-devoid bottom-feeders to avoid snatching him up with all the greed of a toddler in a candy store. 

    Even if the Cavs have better options at the top—Ben McLemore or Otto Porter—Noel remains the favorite to be the first named called on June 27. 

2. Ben McLemore (283)

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    Wasserman: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Ford: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    DraftExpress: No. 2 (Orlando Magic) No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Moore: No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Parrish: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Mannix: No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Koutroupis:  No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Kyler: No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Kennedy: No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Wasserman has the right idea here. 

    Ben McLemore is the most talented player in the draft class, and the Cleveland Cavaliers, who still haven't reached the level at which they should worry about need more than talent, should recognize that. The Kansas shooting guard might have failed to impress teams during individual workouts, but his larger body of work is more important here. 

    There isn't a particularly wide range of teams, as all 10 analysts have McLemore going in the top five. That said, I'd love to hear Ford, Parrish and Koutroupis justify having him slip past the Orlando Magic at No. 2. 

    Ford at least tries

    McLemore remains in the top 5, but I'm starting to have my doubts. I love the talent. But his lack of preparation for the draft is hurting him. Multiple sources told me that his workout in Phoenix was not impressive; he wasn't in shape, and he struggled to keep up in the workout. I heard similar things in Orlando. McLemore is in a tug-of-war right now between adviser Rodney Blackstock and his agency Rivals. It's kept McLemore out of the gym and for the most part, out of workouts. How much will all of this affect the draft stock? I'm told teams are worried. But how worried? Enough for one of the most talented players in the draft to slide further? 

    Not only does ESPN's leading draft guy think that McLemore will go at No. 5, but he's also actually worried he'll fall farther than that. 


3. Otto Porter (278)

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    Wasserman: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Ford: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    DraftExpress: No. 3 (Washington Wizards) No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Moore: No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Parrish: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Mannix: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Koutroupis:  No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Kyler: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Kennedy: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    The consensus here is clearly that Otto Porter will be going to the Washington Wizards at No. 3. Of the 10 analysts, only Moore and Kyler disagree. 

    Moore has the Georgetown forward rising all the way to No. 1, which would actually be a logical, albeit unlikely, move for the Cleveland Cavaliers. On the other hand, Kyler has Porter falling to the Sacramento Kings at No. 7, which doesn't seem to make much sense. 

    Porter is the perfect fit for the Wizards, whose draft-day decision should come down to either the lanky forward or Anthony Bennett. 

    There's no reason to disagree with the majority here. 

4. Victor Oladipo (267)

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    Wasserman: No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Ford: No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    DraftExpress: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns) No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Moore: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Parrish: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Mannix: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Koutroupis:  No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Kyler: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Kennedy: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    There's a good deal more variation with Victor Oladipo than any other prospect we've seen thus far, as our panel has him going to five different teams: the Orlando Magic, Charlotte Bobcats, Phoenix Suns, New Orleans Pelicans and Sacramento Kings. 

    The majority (four out of 10) says that the talented defensive 2-guard will go to the Phoenix Suns, and that's exactly what I see happening here. He's a natural fit in the desert, as his defensive contributions and perimeter shooting will both help shore up the shooting guard spot. 

    Then again, Mannix has some questions about that shooting stroke from the outside: 

    Why could Oladipo slip? Perimeter shooting, and the fact that several NBA talent evaluators are skeptical that he will be effective enough. "One year as a consistent shooter scares the crap out of me," an Eastern Conference executive said.

    I wouldn't be that concerned if I were drafting Oladipo, though, simply because his defensive ability gives him a remarkably high floor. At worst, he's a rotation mainstay because of his point-stopping prowess. 

    In such a weak draft at the top, that's all you can ask for. 

5. Anthony Bennett (259)

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    Wasserman: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Ford: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    DraftExpress: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings) No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Moore: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Parrish:  No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Mannix: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Koutroupis: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Kyler: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Kennedy: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Based on the predictions of our panelists, it's safe to say that Anthony Bennett won't be a top-three pick, but he also won't fall into the bottom portion of the lottery. 

    Frankly, I'm a little surprised not even a single person predicted Bennett to the Washington Wizards at No. 3, but I would have done the same.

    In my book, the undersized power forward with all the athletic tools you could ask for will start running pick-and-pops for the Charlotte Bobcats next season. That's where Ford,, Moore and Kyler have him going. 

    It's the leading spot, but not by much. 

6. Alex Len (258)

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    Wasserman: No. 5 (Phoenix Suns)

    Ford: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    DraftExpress: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats) No. 1 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Moore: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Parrish: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Mannix: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Koutroupis: No. 4 (Charlotte Bobcats)

    Kyler: No. 3 (Washington Wizards)

    Kennedy: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Now we get some variety. 

    Alex Len is one of the more unpredictable commodities in this draft, as he could legitimately go just about anywhere in the lottery. has him as the top overall selection, while CBS' team has him falling to No. 9 and No. 10. Unfortunately, neither site is required to justify their choices. 

    As B/R's Wasserman says, Len has been rising up the boards, but it's not necessarily because of his own game: 

    Alex Len appears to be gaining steam without even stepping on the floor. He's unable to work out after undergoing surgery to repair a fractured left ankle, but he's allowing his long-term upside to do some of the talking for him.

    It also helps that nobody has stepped up to the plate in Len's absence. No other prospects have really established themselves as can't-miss, which has kept the top five available for Len based on process of elimination.

    We likely won't know what happens with Len until his name is called out by the NBA's commissioner. 

7. Trey Burke (250)

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    Wasserman: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Ford: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    DraftExpress: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans) No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Moore: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Parrish:  No. 2 (Orlando Magic)

    Mannix: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Koutroupis: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Kyler: No. 6 (New Orleans Pelicans)

    Kennedy: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Here's how Ford opens the analysis (subscription required) for Trey Burke: 

    The Pistons are hoping, for a third year in a row, that one of the top seven players on the board slides to them on draft night.

    Detroit can hope all it wants, but that's not going to happen. The best point guard in the NCAA won't be slipping past both the New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings. Quite frankly, he won't make it past No. 6. 

    The Pelicans don't truly need a point guard while Greivis Vasquez is running the show, but the combination of the dearth of quality small forwards in this draft and the talent of Burke will prove too much to pass up.

    Expect Wasserman, DraftExpress,, Moore, Koutroupis and Kyler all to be quite pleased with their predictions. 

8. C.J. McCollum (214)

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    Wasserman: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Ford: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    DraftExpress: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons) No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Moore: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Parrish: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Mannix: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Koutroupis: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Kyler: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Kennedy: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    I have to admit: I'm not really sure what Parrish and Mannix are thinking here. Sports Illustrated's draft guy says the following to justify his pick: 

    The Wolves could opt for a natural shooting guard like Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, but McCollum, who worked out with Minnesota this week, is a dangerous combo guard in the mold of Damian Lillard. McCollum lacks Lillard's point-guard instincts, but the Wolves don't need a natural playmaker with Ricky Rubio around. What they need is a shooter, and McCollum is as good as they get.

    Problem is, Minnesota is looking for size at the 2, not just a shooter. McCollum, a 6'3" combo guard, doesn't fit what they're trying to land in the 2013 NBA draft, while Shabazz Muhammad and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope do. 

    The Detroit Pistons are the most likely landing spot for this sweet-shooting Lehigh product, and he'll start reminding people of Stephen Curry as soon as he gets consistent playing time in the Association.  

9. Cody Zeller (212)

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    Wasserman: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Ford: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    DraftExpress: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers) No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Moore: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Parrish: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Mannix: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Koutroupis: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Kyler: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Kennedy: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    For an enigma like Cody Zeller, I'm surprised to see how little variation there is here. Only four spots separate his best landing spot (No. 7 to the Sacramento Kings) from his worst (No. 11 to the Philadelphia 76ers). 

    Given his immense talent and athleticism, it's not too tough to remember why Zeller was originally predicted to be in contention for the No. 1 spot, but his lack of aggressiveness caused his stock to plummet. 

    Our pundits have nailed the range for Zeller, and Wasserman, Ford, DraftExpress and Kennedy are the ones making the most appropriate calls about where he ends up. The Philadelphia 76ers need a low-post presence who can run the floor, and Zeller fits the need.

10. Michael Carter-Williams (200)

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    Wasserman: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Ford: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    DraftExpress: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks) No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Moore: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Parrish: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Mannix: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Koutroupis: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Kyler: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Kennedy: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    If a team ends up grabbing Michael Carter-Williams in the lottery, it will be a mistake. That said, it looks like a mistake will be made, because all 10 pundits have the Syracuse product going in the first 14 picks. 

    The lanky point guard has too many holes in his game to make much of an impact without drastic improvement. He can't shoot the ball, he struggles to finish when he's not in transition, and his defense was aided by Jim Boeheim's zone schemes. 

    MCW is a great distributor, but he's the fourth-best point guard in this draft class (fifth if you count C.J. McCollum as a 1-guard). Trey Burke, Dennis Schroeder and Shane Larkin will all have better careers. 

    It's a good thing for Carter-Williams that my opinion wasn't included in this big board, or else he would have been dragged down out of the top 10. 

11. Shabazz Muhammad (186)

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    Wasserman: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Ford: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    DraftExpress: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks) No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Moore: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Parrish: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Mannix: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Koutroupis: No. 8 (Detroit Pistons)

    Kyler: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Kennedy: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Shabazz Muhammad is the first prospect who could realistically either be a single-digit draft pick or fall out of the lottery. 

    Mannix, Koutroupis and Kennedy are the only pundits who fall into the former camp, while Wasserman, Ford, DraftExpress and all are in the latter group. The remaining analysts fall somewhere in the middle. 

    Muhammad is a great talent, but he has a bunch of red flags surrounding him. He failed to live up to the hype at UCLA, and his athleticism wasn't all it was formerly cracked up to be. His intensity was often problematic as well. 

    I wouldn't be shocked to see the Minnesota Timberwolves take this swingman, but it's more likely that he falls out of the top 10. 

12. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (185)

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    Wasserman: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Ford: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    DraftExpress: No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves) No. 9 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Moore: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Parrish: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Mannix: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Koutroupis: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Kyler: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Kennedy: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Considering the Minnesota Timberwolves need a shooting guard who can hit from the outside and actually match up against the NBA's regular-sized 2-guards, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a pretty obvious pick for them. 

    Here's Wasserman's analysis

    He is a dynamic athlete who can light it up from distance, and doesn't need the dribble to stay effective, which would complement Ricky Rubio as a drive-and-dish target.

    Caldwell-Pope is one of the better two-way prospects in the field and should carve out a career as a successful shooter, slasher and defender.

    And Ford's:

    It sounds as if the Timberwolves have narrowed things down to Caldwell-Pope and Shabazz Muhammad. Although Muhammad is more of a natural scorer, it's hard to believe the Wolves will pass on Caldwell-Pope's shooting abilities. The team really needs shooters and Caldwell-Pope has a chance to be one of the two or three best shooters in the draft.

    Contrary to what six of our mock drafts say, there isn't much of a reason to believe Minnesota will pass up on him unless someone like Ben McLemore or Victor Oladipo inexplicably drops to No. 9. 

13. Steven Adams (166)

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    Wasserman: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Ford: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    DraftExpress: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers) No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Moore: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Parrish: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Mannix: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Koutroupis: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Kyler: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Kennedy: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Parrish and the HOOPSWORLD guys (Koutroupis, Kyler and Kennedy) are dragging Steven Adams' stock down here. The rest of the panel seems to believe that Adams will be a double-digit lottery pick, and for good reason. 

    Although Adams is incredibly raw and will take a long time to make an impact in the Association, he's an impressive physical specimen. A true 7-footer with his level of athleticism is tough to come by. 

    I have a difficult time believing he'll fall past the gauntlet of center-hungry teams picking at No. 10, 11 and 12. The Portland Trail Blazers, Philadelphia 76ers and Oklahoma City Thunder could all use some help at the 5, and that's exactly what Adams would provide. 

14. Kelly Olynyk (158)

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    Wasserman: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Ford: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    DraftExpress: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder) No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Moore: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Parrish: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Mannix: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Koutroupis: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Kyler: No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Kennedy: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    The opinions about Kelly Olynyk vary quite dramatically. Let's take a look at what Ford and Mannix have to say, because they represent two of the extreme opinions about the long-haired Gonzaga center. 

    Ford has Olynyk falling to the Indiana Pacers at No. 23 (subscription required): 

    The Pacers are hoping someone in the top 15 or 20 on our Big Board slides to them. In this scenario, their wish is granted. Olynyk is getting looks as high as the 76ers at No. 11, the Jazz at No. 14, the Celtics at No. 16. But if he slides past those teams, he'd be welcomed with open arms in Indy. The team needs depth everywhere, and Olynyk's ability to play a stretch 4 would offer another weapon off the bench.

    At least he acknowledges that the highly skilled big man could be taken as early as No. 11. Mannix doesn't quite have him that high, but he's only falling one spot down on the SI guru's mock draft

    The Thunder need low-post scoring and Olynyk is the most accomplished scoring big man in the draft. There are questions about Olynyk's strength and concerns about how he will match up with bigger, more physical defenders after three years at Gonzaga. But there is no denying Olynyk's offensive skills. He has a variety of moves in the post and showcased guard-like perimeter shooting at the combine.

    I fall in line with Mannix more than Ford here, as I can see Olynyk's varied set of offensive skills helping out the Thunder greatly. After Serge Ibaka's failure to step up as a scorer in Russell Westbrook's absence, it's clear the frontcourt needs some offensive energy. 

15. Shane Larkin (147)

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    Wasserman: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Ford: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    DraftExpress: No. 16 (Boston Celtics) No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Moore: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Parrish: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Mannix: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Koutroupis:  No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Kyler: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Kennedy: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Contrary to what Mannix and Koutroupis believe (and why exactly is drafting a small point guard a priority for the Brooklyn Nets?), Shane Larkin isn't slipping past the point guard-hungry teams at No. 13, 14 and 15. 

    Larkin isn't talented enough in most scouts' minds to supplant Michael Carter-Williams and go to the Dallas Mavericks at No. 13, but he's not going to fall past both the Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks after that. If he somehow does, the Boston Celtics wouldn't mind adding a talented offensive player like the Miami floor general.

    Larkin might be tiny, but he's quick and athletic, and he has a fantastic ability to shoot off the dribble. He's also run pick-and-roll sets with great frequency under Jim Larranaga, so he's not going to experience too steep of a learning curve at the next level.

    I have questions about his long-term upside, but Larkin is drawing a lot of interest right near the end of the lottery. 

16. Dennis Schroeder (140)

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    Wasserman: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Ford: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    DraftExpress: No. 21 (Utah Jazz) No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Moore: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Parrish: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Mannix: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Koutroupis: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    Kyler: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Kennedy: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    There's not a great deal of variety, as most analysts have Dennis Schroeder going within seven picks. For a foreign prospect, that's remarkable, as they generally promote much more of a difference in opinion.

    Let's see what our resident NBA Draft Lead Writer has to say about the German point guard:

    Whether the Hawks are looking for a backup or possibly the best player available, Schroeder might be the answer to both. 

    He's an NBA-caliber player with the quickness, athleticism and talent to run an offense.

    Seeing as the Atlanta Hawks are my team of choice and Schroeder is my second-favorite point guard in this draft class (behind Trey Burke), I wouldn't mind this at all. However, I have trouble seeing him slip past the Dallas Mavericks, Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks, which would be necessary in order to make that a realistic possibility. 

    Whenever I've watched Schroeder, he's reminded me of a more athletic version of Rajon Rondo, so see if you notice that comparison the next time you watch some of his highlights. 

17. Gorgui Dieng (132)

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    Wasserman: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    Ford: No. 28 (San Antonio Spurs)

    DraftExpress: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets) No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    Moore: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Parrish: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Mannix: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Koutroupis:  No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Kyler: No. 10 (Portland Trail Blazers)

    Kennedy: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    After scanning this list of possible destinations for Gorgui Dieng, I think it's safe to say that there's not much of a consensus. 

    According to our 10-man panel, the Louisville shot-blocker is going to either the Chicago Bulls, San Antonio Spurs, Brooklyn Nets, Atlanta Hawks (in two different spots), Oklahoma City Thunder, Portland Trail Blazers or Cleveland Cavaliers. 

    If clarity is what you're seeking, I can't help you here. Dieng is an intriguing fit with the Hawks and Thunder, but there's been no obvious indication that he'll end up in any one spot yet. 

    Dieng can't actually be drafted in two different places, but you wouldn't know it yet. 

18. Mason Plumlee (121)

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    Wasserman: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Ford: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    DraftExpress: No. 14 (Utah Jazz) No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Moore: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Parrish: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Mannix: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Koutroupis: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Kyler: No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    Kennedy: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    As is typically the case with these middle-of-the-first-round prospects, there's a lot of variety. 

    According to our panel, Mason Plumlee could be going as high as No. 14 to the Utah Jazz or as low as No. 24 to the New York Knicks. 

    Only Mannix has the Duke big man going to the Boston Celtics, but that's quite the intriguing landing spot for him: 

    With or without the core of Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce -- two players who may not be in Boston when training camp opens -- the Celtics need size. Plumlee is an athletic 7-footer with good hands who should be more effective offensively playing alongside Rondo, who can get him plenty of open looks around the rim. He's also considered a highly intelligent big man, and if Garnett stays, Plumlee would benefit from playing a season (or more) with one of the best defensive bigs in the game.

    Wasserman has him falling six sports further, but he still suggests that Plumlee will carve out a nice role for himself at the professional level: 

    Still, Plumlee would add something to Brooklyn's rotation that it doesn't currently have. After Cody Zeller, Plumlee is the most athletic, coordinated center in the field. He can get you easy buckets all day by catching lobs above the rim. 

    The Nets lack depth up front and could use Plumlee's physical tools in both the half court and in transition.

    Wherever he goes, don't expect Plumlee to join a bunch of other Duke alums in the "draft bust" category.

19. Sergey Karasev (114)

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    Wasserman: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Ford: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    DraftExpress: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks) No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Moore: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Parrish: Not in the first round

    Mannix: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Koutroupis: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Kyler: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Kennedy: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    The second international prospect to appear in the Meta Big Board, Serge Karasev has the typical variation that you might expect from draft analysts who don't all get a chance to see him as often as they do the collegiate guys. 

    ESPN's Chad Ford is the most aggressive with Karasev, predicting that he'll go to the Dallas Mavericks at No. 13 (subscription required): 

    The Mavericks continue to lean heavily toward trading the pick (if they haven't already). Multiple sources say it's unlikely the Mavs will be selecting for themselves when they make this pick on draft night. However, if they do keep the pick, selecting an international player that the Mavs can stash in Europe offers the cap flexibility Dallas is seeking. With their favorite, Dario Saric, out of the draft, a player such as Karasev seems like a great fit. His ability to shoot and his experience playing at a high level in Russia put him ahead of the curve. He'd be a great fit in Dallas whenever he comes over (either this season or next), and at this point his draft stock looks high enough to justify the pick.

    On the opposite end of the spectrum is Parrish, who doesn't even have Karasev in the first round. The CBS draft analyst often shows a lack of affinity for foreign prospects, though, so take that with a major grain of salt. 

    A more realistic floor for Karasev's draft stock is what Moore suggests: going to the Minnesota Timberwolves at No. 26. 

20. Giannis Adetokunbo (111)

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    Wasserman: No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Ford: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    DraftExpress: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks) No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Moore: Not in the first round

    Parrish: Not in the first round

    Mannix: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    Koutroupis: No. 16 (Boston Celtics)

    Kyler: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Kennedy: No. 12 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    See what I mean about Mr. Parrish? 

    He's now left two of our top three international prospects out of the first round, and he'll end up doing so with three of the first five. 

    Giannis Adetokunbo is one of the more intriguing players in this draft class because he's so new on the scene that we don't know all that much about him. He could sit at the end of the bench all season, or he could thrive and win Rookie of the Year. 

    In fact, he's such an unknown that we don't even have a consistent spelling yet. Some people refer to him as Giannis Antetokounmpo, so don't be confused when you see that name appear. Antetokounmpo and Adetokunbo are one and the same player.

    The Greek forward has so much raw potential that he should be drafted in the top 20, and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him rise into the lottery within the next week. 

21. Rudy Gobert (93)

21 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Ford: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    DraftExpress: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers) No. 23 (Indiana Pacers

    Moore: No. 7 (Sacramento Kings)

    Parrish: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    Mannix: No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    Koutroupis:  No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    Kyler: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    Kennedy: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    I'd love to know what CBS' Matt Moore was thinking when he pegged Rudy Gobert as going to the Sacramento Kings at No. 7. That's a massive outlier, given that our other nine draft analysts have him going between No. 21 and No. 26. 

    Gobert has nearly unheard of length, which makes Wasserman's projection quite sensible: 

    It's hard to ignore his 7'2'' size and 7'8.5'' wingspan if you're looking for some added rim protection. His physical tools alone could be useful, whether he develops as a ballplayer or not.

    For a team in jeopardy of losing its top-two frontcourt players, Gobert makes sense at No. 21.

    That said, I could also see Gobert rise up the boards right before the draft. He has that many physical tools. 

22. Lucas Nogueira (86)

22 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 13 (Dallas Mavericks)

    Ford: No. 14 (Utah Jazz)

    DraftExpress: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves) No. 11 (Philadelphia 76ers)

    Moore: Not in the first round

    Parrish: Not in the first round

    Mannix: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Koutroupis: No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    Kyler: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets

    Kennedy: No. 29 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Lucas Nogueira ties Sergey Karasev for having the dubious distinction of promoting the largest spread between their top and bottom projections. 

    Parrish—surprise, surprise—and Moore have the Brazilian big man falling out of the first round entirely, despite the fact that his overall stock is supposedly on the rise, while Wasserman has Bebe as the No. 13 pick. 

    Let's see what our resident B/R writer has to say about Nogueira: 

    Lucas Nogueira did what he had to do at this year's Adidas Eurocamp. He showed up for one day, dominated and then shut it down.

    He's an exceptional athlete for a center, with the ability to protect the rim and finish above it. The Nerlens Noel comparisons are inevitable based on their similar physical tools.

    He's been on NBA radars for the past two years, even entering the draft in 2011 before withdrawing.

    The Mavericks have made it known that they're uninterested in taking on salary in an attempt to increase their flexibility on the free-agent market.

    With Dario Saric looking like he will be withdrawing from this year's draft, Nogueira could take his spot as Dallas' draft-and-stash prospect.

    Sounds good to me, although I still think point guard is Dallas' position du jour. Still, having Nogueira falling out of the first round is...umm...interesting?

23. Jamaal Franklin (80)

23 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Ford: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    DraftExpress: No. 24 (New York Knicks) No. 30 (Phoenix Suns)

    Moore: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    Parrish: No. 28 (San Antonio Spurs)

    Mannix: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets)

    Koutroupis:  No. 15 (Milwaukee Bucks)

    Kyler: No. 17 (Atlanta Hawks)

    Kennedy: No. 18 (Atlanta Hawks)

    The HOOPSWORLD team seems to be particularly high on Jamaal Franklin, possibly captivated by his long-sleeved shirt. One has to wonder if he'll manage to put that on at the next level. 

    Aside from Koutroupis, Kyler and Kennedy, the rest of our panel has more realistic expectations for the athletic San Diego State product. Ford is the most aggressive there, so let's turn to him for the analysis (subscription required): 

    He's had just one workout, with the Knicks, though that's about to change. The Bulls really need a shooter, and that isn't exactly Franklin's forté. However, his jumper has improved considerably. What coach Tom Thibodeau will love immediately is Franklin's defensive presence on the floor. This is one of the toughest players in the draft and a kid who should contribute immediately—a smaller version of Kawhi Leonard.

    Leonard seems like a lazy comparison here, forced by the fact that the two prospects went to the same school, but the point still stands. Franklin, thanks to his improved jumper, is a nice, well-rounded prospect, just one who won't really blow people away. 

    I wouldn't be shocked to see the wing-happy Atlanta Hawks take a flier on him, but it's more likely that Franklin falls into the 20s. 

24. Tony Mitchell (67)

24 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    Ford: No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    DraftExpress: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets) No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Moore: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Parrish: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Mannix: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    Koutroupis: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    Kyler: Not in the first round

    Kennedy: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Other than Kyler, our panelists pretty much agree on where Tony Mitchell's stock lands him. There's not much of a disparity between the top prediction (Moore saying he'll go at No. 19) and the bottom (DraftExpress pegging him at No. 27). 

    That would be a world of difference for a lottery prospect, but not for a guy near the bottom of the first round. 

    Mitchell's stock has plummeted since his inexplicable decision to return to school for his sophomore season. He was a potential top-five pick last season, and now there's a chance that he could drop out of the first round entirely. 

    It makes sense too.

    If Mitchell couldn't dominate the Sun Belt, how can he be reasonably expected to thrive in the Association?

25. Tim Hardaway Jr. (61)

25 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    Ford: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets)

    DraftExpress: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls) No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    Moore: Not in the first round

    Parrish: Not in the first round

    Mannix: No. 28 (San Antonio Spurs)

    Koutroupis: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    Kyler: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    Kennedy: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    The CBS team strikes again, as both Moore and Parrish are depressing Tim Hardaway Jr.'s stock by having him fall out of the first round. 

    DraftExpress, Koutroupis and Kyler are the most aggressive here, having the Michigan scorer rising all the way up to No. 20. Interestingly enough, they also provide the majority here, as the Chicago Bulls are the most frequently occurring landing spot. 

    It's an interesting pick for Tom Thibodeau's squad, as Hardaway Jr. and Jimmy Butler would form a two-headed monster at shooting guard. Between the Michigan product's offense and the former Golden Eagle's defense, the Bulls would suddenly be dangerous at the 2 again. 

26. Allen Crabbe (54)

26 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    Ford: Not in the first round

    DraftExpress: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers) No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    Moore: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    Parrish: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    Mannix: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls)

    Koutroupis: No. 29 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Kyler: Not in the first round 

    Kennedy: Not in the first round

    I've liked Allen Crabbe's game for a while now, and having him go to the Los Angeles Clippers makes a lot of sense. 

    L.A. could use some help on the wing, and Crabbe would provide an immediate scoring boost. It might not be enough to convince Chris Paul to stay, but it's at least a nice start. 

    Here's what Wasserman has to say about the shooting guard from California: 

    However, his name has been hot over the past month after turning heads at the NBA combine, and his stock has already elevated. 

    As far as shooting guards go, Crabbe is tough to pass on given his size and scoring ability. He would be a nice half-court option for the Clippers to work into their offensive sets, as he is a phenomenal catch-and-shoot weapon, and makes good cuts off the ball as well. 

    At 6'6", Crabbe could also slide over and play small forward for Doc Rivers’ team the Clippers when they choose to run out a smaller five-man unit. 

27. Reggie Bullock (53)

27 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets)

    Ford: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

    DraftExpress: No. 19 (Cleveland Cavaliers) Not in the first round

    Moore: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Parrish: No. 20 (Chicago Bulls

    Mannix: No. 30 (Phoenix Suns)

    Koutroupis: No. 28 (San Antonio Spurs)

    Kyler: Not in the first round

    Kennedy: Not in the first round

    Reggie Bullock, formerly thought of as a mid-second-round prospect, has been steadily rising up the draft boards, and I don't expect that to change anytime soon. He should continue elevating until he's ultimately drafted in the high teens or low 20s. 

    Ford, DraftExpress, Moore and Parrish are the only ones who already have him in that range, and ESPN's draft guru (subscription required) says that he has some inside info about the Cleveland Cavaliers' intentions: 

    If the Cavs grab Noel at No. 1, look for them to add a small forward or shooter with the second first-round pick. They would love to get their hands on Karasev, but I'm told they believe Bullock wouldn't be a bad consolation prize. Bullock shot 44 percent from 3-point range this season and has the size to play both wing positions.

    Assuming the Cavs do indeed select Noel with the first pick of the 2013 NBA draft, Bullock would indeed make a lot of sense here. The more Cleveland can do to spread out the court for Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters, the better. 

28. Ricky Ledo (38)

28 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 30 (Phoenix Suns)

    Ford: No. 25 (Los Angeles Clippers)

    DraftExpress: No. 30 (Phoenix Suns) No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Moore: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    Parrish: No. 29 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

    Mannix: No. 21 (Utah Jazz)

    Koutroupis: Not in the first round

    Kyler: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Kennedy: Not in the first round

    Ricky Ledo (or Ricardo, depending on where you look) is another one of those mysterious prospects. He's technically associated with Providence, but unlike MarShon Brooks, the last prospect actually drafted out of the school, he never played a single game at the collegiate level. 

    A raw player, Ledo has a lot of upside, which seems to be pushing him into the first round more often than not. 

    Mannix is the highest on this potential high-scorer: 

    Ledo missed all of last season because of academic issues after bouncing around several high schools. There are legitimate concerns about Ledo's maturity, and several executives have told me that they fear how outside influences will affect his career. But the kid can shoot. Utah isn't in win-now mode, so they can afford to wait for Ledo to develop.

    Because you probably need as much information as you can get about Ledo, seeing as few have actually spent time watching him play, here are some quotes from the other two analysts with descriptions in their mock drafts. 

    First, Ford (subscription required): 

    Ledo continues to draw praise from every team for which he works out. The Clippers appear to be especially high on him. I think Ledo could end up going higher (maybe even much higher) on draft night. A few teams in the late lottery and mid-first round are taking a look. But if he lands here, it's a steal for the Clippers, who have a track record of taking young players later in the draft and developing them.

    Our own Jonathan Wasserman is less aggressive in his mock draft, but he also praises Ledo: 

    As a high school standout, Ledo was considered one of the top scorers in the country, and at 6'6'' with NBA-level athleticism, there's no reason his skills can't translate.

    He's a high-risk, high-reward option, but at No. 30, the gamble is worth it.

29. Tony Snell (35)

29 of 30

    Wasserman: No. 28 (San Antonio Spurs)

    Ford: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    DraftExpress: Not in the first round No. 27 (Denver Nuggets)

    Moore: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets)

    Parrish: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Mannix: Not in the first round

    Koutroupis: Not in the first round

    Kyler: No. 22 (Brooklyn Nets)

    Kennedy: No. 30 (Phoenix Suns)

    It seems like only yesterday that Tony Snell was hovering around in the middle of the second round. Now, he's well within the first round for most of the draft analysts on our panel. 

    DraftExpress, Mannix and Koutroupis all have him slipping into the second, but Ford (subscription required) has the highest hopes for Snell's draft stock right now: 

    Snell quietly is flying up the draft boards after a series of terrific workouts. He's in play now with Chicago, Utah, Brooklyn and Indiana. The appeal? He's a super athletic wing with NBA length and defensive abilities. He was very inconsistent at New Mexico, but I'm told numerous NBA teams love the talent. 

    I have trouble envisioning Snell rising all the way to No. 22, but he should absolutely be one of the first 30 players off the board come June 27. 

30. Jeff Withey (28)

30 of 30

    Wasserman: Not in the first round

    Ford: Not in the first round

    DraftExpress: No. 29 (Oklahoma City Thunder) Not in the first round

    Moore: No. 30 (Phoenix Suns)

    Parrish: No. 24 (New York Knicks)

    Mannix: No. 26 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

    Koutroupis: No. 27 (Denver Nuggets)

    Kyler: No. 30 (Phoenix Suns)

    Kennedy: No. 23 (Indiana Pacers)

    Jeff Withey fell out of the first round for three of our analysts (Wasserman, Ford and, but he rose as high as No. 23 for others. Kennedy had him going to the Indiana Pacers, which is a bit too aggressive for my liking. 

    Although Withey is a tremendous shot-blocker, he's a very one-dimensional player. 

    His offense lags well behind his defense, and it's unlikely that it'll ever catch up. Let's see what Mannix has to say about the former Jayhawk: 

    Withey is a skilled defender who is athletic enough to play either power spot. He doesn't create much offense for himself, but he can finish around the rim and should get some easy looks playing with Rubio.

    Even though it would indeed be a nice fit in theory, when would Withey play? Presumably, the Minnesota Timberwolves will be re-signing Nikola Pekovic, and it's tough to justify playing the Kansas product over either Pek or Kevin Love. 

    If Withey does get drafted in the first round, it will be at the very end. 

    Other Players Who Received Points

    Glen Rice Jr. (19 points, highest for Kennedy at No. 24)

    Archie Goodwin (15, highest for Parrish at No. 18)

    Lorenzo Brown (11, highest for Moore at No. 24)

    Isaiah Canaan (11, highest for Parrish at No. 25)

    Erick Green (8, highest for Kyler at 23)

    Nate Wolters (7, highest for Kennedy at No. 27)

    Livio Jean-Charles (6, highest for Kyler and Kennedy at No. 28)

    Alex Abrines (2, highest for Ford at No. 29)

    C.J. Leslie (2, highest for Kyler at No. 29)

    Mike Muscala (2, highest for Mannix at No. 29)

    Colton Iverson (1, highest for Koutroupis at No. 30)