Breaking Down Every Phillies' Odds of Being Moved at the Deadline

Alec SnyderContributor IIIJune 21, 2013

Breaking Down Every Phillies' Odds of Being Moved at the Deadline

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    40 days. That's how long the Philadelphia Phillies have before they have to decide whether to go for it all one last time or build anew.

    The only question remaining: which route will they choose?

    Given their 35-38 record and relative inability to get any sort of hot streak going (at least without a cold streak immediately afterward), chances are that the Phillies are primed to be sellers at the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline. While there's still hope that the Phils can turn things around—fortunately, they're not in the cellar of the division—their position at the All-Star Break in a few weeks will be very telling.

    In the meantime, rumors and speculation have continued to pile up all around baseball, and the Phillies are not excluded from that distinction. While seasoned veterans and players with All-Star pedigree are most likely to be discussed publicly, any player has a chance of being moved, even if those chances are slim to none.

    With a month and a half to go before it either all begins or all ends, here's a mid-June prediction of each Phillies' odds of being moved by July 31.

    *This slideshow will include all Phillies on the active roster and disabled list. Players on the 40-man roster who are not at the major-league level as of June 21, 2013 will not be included.

Mike Adams

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    Personally, I don't see Mike Adams going anywhere. However, the argument has been raised in the past, so I figure it's worth exploring.

    MLBTradeRumors.com's Steve Adams speculated in late April that the Phillies could consider trading Mike Adams. Adams (the writer) wrote his piece back before Adams (the pitcher) had hit the DL and had posted a respectable stat line early in the season. He also claimed that Adams (the pitcher) could have even more trade value than he did when the San Diego Padres dealt him to the Texas Rangers thanks to his potential to be under contract for two and a half years, and that netted them a nice prospect return in pitchers Joe Weiland and Robbie Erlin.

    However, times have since changed, and Adams may not carry as much trade value as he did early on in the season. He hit the DL due to back spasms, and while it's not nearly as disconcerting as his now-corrected Thoracic Outlet Syndrome, anything following such a procedure automatically raises some eyebrows.

    Adams' performance since coming off the DL has also declined. After allowing an earned run against the Washington Nationals on June 17, Adams' season ERA stands at an ugly (for him) 3.96, while his WHIP is a below expectations at 1.36. And while his K/9 rate is up to 8.3 from 7.7 last year, so are his BB/9 (4.0 compared to 2.9) and HR/9 (1.8 compared to 0.7) rates. That's not so good.

    Based on both his lowly performance yet sky-high potential, the Phillies aren't likely to shop him nor find many interested suitors. But if anything's appealing about Adams, it's his potential and his contract. And that may result in some phone calls to the Phillies' front office at the bare minimum.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 10%

Antonio Bastardo

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    The Phillies have long hoped that Antonio Bastardo would become their setup man of the future. And while he's done little to suggest that he can't become that, he's still better suited as a lefty specialist with a setup role available on occasion.

    While his ERA is down from a year ago (2.96 compared to 4.33 in 2012), that's really all Bastardo's got going for him. His WHIP is up to 1.52, his K/9 is down immensely to 8.1, and his BB/9 is way up to 5.2. What's worse is that Bastardo is also worse against lefties than righties—compare a .256 batting average against (BAA) and .802 OPS-against on left-handed hitters to a .255 BAA and .730 OPS-against against right-handed batters.

    Bastardo's availability isn't necessarily what the problem is, as the Phillies would at least consider listening to an offer from a team in need of a solid left-hander. However, chances are that few teams, if any, will be interested in the continually-declining Bastardo, and he may even wind up a non-tender candidate this offseason if his woes persist.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 5%

Domonic Brown

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    This is an easy one.

    Not even a year ago, Phillies fans would have liked to see Domonic Brown out of town. With rumors flying over the winter from Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com of a possible swap for Chicago Cubs outfielder Alfonso Soriano, there was some hope that the Phillies would at least consider pulling the trigger.

    Now, the opposite reaction would be the norm. Brown has been the Phillies' bright spot offensively this season and has garnered All-Star consideration. Although he's not having the best start to June, May's NL Player of the Month and two-time NL Player of the Week to end May has a .271 batting average along with 19 home runs and 49 RBI to his name. His OPS stands at .854 and he was also the hero in a Monday night ninth-inning victory over the Washington Nationals, driving in Ben Revere for the winning run.

    Brown would have been considered to headline a trade package for an All-Star as recently as this past offseason. Now, if he were to be dealt at all, teams would be calling with superstar prospects of their own fronting proposed offers. While anything's possible, Domonic Brown is here to stay.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 0%

Justin De Fratus

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    Truth be told, Justin De Fratus isn't really going to go anywhere. He's been a serviceable right-handed reliever for the Phillies and has been their best overall relief option aside from Jonathan Papelbon in recent weeks.

    Funny to say that about someone who didn't even crack the Phillies' Opening Day roster.

    On the season, De Fratus has a 2.92 ERA and a fantastic 0.97 WHIP. Of all Phillies relievers who have pitched in at least 10 games, De Fratus is second in ERA and WHIP. Up the qualifier to at least 15 appearances and De Fratus remains second only to Jonathan Papelbon for both.

    De Fratus is a control-oriented pitcher and has done well in maintaining that distinction. He won't wow you with velocity or any significant offspeed offerings, but on a team that's struggled to get the job done, control is the best attribute to have. Unless the Phillies make a surprise acquisition, De Fratus is here for the long haul in the Phillies bullpen. If he's dealt at all, he'd likely be a throw-in, but what a heck of a throw-in would he be.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Jake Diekman

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    Another reliever who failed to crack the Opening Day roster, Jake Diekman has tons of potential. Although his unorthodox sidearm-ish delivery isn't easy to coach, Diekman's offerings will serve him well as a reliever for the Phillies.

    Due to his odd delivery, Diekman has had control issues for quite some time. Last season, Diekman issued 20 walks in just 27.1 innings and 32 appearances, good for a 6.6 BB/9 rate. While he's yet to walk a batter in 2013 nor allow a run, it's only come in two appearances. Given his rough start in Triple-A despite a hot streak before his recent promotion, it's more likely than not that Diekman will issue some walks here and there.

    The Phillies probably see Diekman as a guy with lefty specialist talent and the potential to be an effective middle reliever. Like De Fratus, he's more likely to be included in a trade as a throw-in as opposed to a centerpiece. But with his left handedness, Diekman's odds for remaining a Phillie for the next several years are in his favor.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Kevin Frandsen

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    Kevin Frandsen was quite the find for the Phillies. After a career that looked like he would be stranded in the minors across various organizations, Frandsen's found a welcome home as a terrific bench player for the Phillies.

    He's played in 43 games for the Phils and has the second-best batting average on the team at .274. His OBP of .384 is incredibly encouraging for a Phillies team that struggles to get on base, and his .425 SLG is respectable.

    Add in five doubles, two home runs and 10 RBI to someone who really isn't much of a power hitter, and you've got yourself a backup infielder who's done a great job and has exceeded expectations. Frandsen's not going to be traded. If he is, it's going to be by a team in need of a reliable bench option, but even then the Phillies would be hard-pressed to trade him away.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Freddy Galvis

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    Freddy Galvis is a fantastic defender. If not for an inability to hit, Galvis would be an everyday player and a future Gold Glove recipient.

    Sadly, though, Galvis really doesn't have a lot to offer on the offensive side of the ball. Even though he's got some pop, as he's hit four home runs, his batting average hovers around the Mendoza line at .208 and his OBP is well below .300. His OPS is.641 on the season. And this is all in 52 games, meaning he's had the chance to prove what he has (or doesn't have) to offer.

    Galvis could be a throw-in in a trade, but his glove is too valuable as a backup shortstop and third baseman. If another team that can offer Galvis more playing time sees enough in him to do so, maybe the Phillies would bite. But until Galvis hits more often, he isn't going to be trade-worthy.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Roy Halladay

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    As we've all come to know, Roy Halladay isn't the pitcher he once was. Ever since his disastrous spring training before the 2012 season, Doc has dealt with a myriad of issues, whether velocity or injury related. He hit the DL last year from May through July, and after finding some small tears and a bone spur in May of 2013, Doc received surgery and will be out at least through mid-August.

    For an ace to fall as far as Halladay has, it's a sad thing to watch. There's hope that, after he fully recovers from his surgery, he can pitch well again. How well is anyone's guess, but hope is what keeps Roy Halladay chugging along.

    On a separate note, Halladay is in the final guaranteed year of the three-year, $60 million contract extension he signed after he was traded to Philadelphia before the 2010 season. Although he has a vesting option for 2014 worth $20 million, due to his injuries, it's unlikely he'll reach the innings threshold he needs. Halladay will become a free agent for the first time in his career after the season.

    Had Halladay even pitched somewhat effectively before his injury, he may have had some value. However, an 8.65 ERA, 2-4 record and 1.46 WHIP and a risky injury dropped any trade value Doc may have had to none. There is absolutely no chance Halladay gets traded at this point, due to the money owed to him, his health issues, and declining (and soon-to-be unproven) performance.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 0%

Cole Hamels

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    Cole Hamels has forcibly been reverted to his 2009 ways. Either he pitches poorly enough to be given the loss, or he pitches incredibly well but the offense can't provide the run support to boot.

    Last year, it was the 6-9 Cliff Lee. This year, it's Hamels, who's sporting a 2-10 record and leads the majors in losses. His ERA isn't great at 4.40 nor is his 1.27 WHIP, but neither warrant such a disastrous record.

    The Phillies had probably hoped Hamels would lead the league in something. I doubt it was losses.

    Now that Hamels is in the midst of a six-year, $144 million contract and has performed below expectations, not even the Dodgers are likely to sniff him on the trade market. Unless Hamels goes on a hot streak between now and July 31, he's not going anywhere thanks to performance alone. But along with his contract in addition to the Phillies' hope that he'll anchor the future rotations, Hamels is a mainstay on the Phillies roster.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 0%

Jeremy Horst

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    Injuries often derail a player's trade value. In Jeremy Horst's case, too little is known as of yet, and it's unclear whether his recent faltering has anything to do with his elbow strain.

    In the case of a reliever, though, sometimes the player can come back soon enough to reestablish his market and value. However, this tends to happen only with the most elite relievers, which Horst is not.

    Last year though, Horst was as close to elite as they come. He registered a 1.15 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and 40 strikeouts in 31.1 innings within 32 appearances. Horst was practically untouchable.

    But in 2013, he started off with a bang in a negative sense, and prior to his DL placement on June 17, he had a 6.23 ERA with a 1.81 WHIP and just 21 strikeouts in 26.0 innings within 28 appearances. Everything that could have gone wrong for Horst in 2013 did, and it's still in the air as to whether he'll be effective upon his return from injury.

    Horst could have been an attractive trade target with continued success in 2013, but like he was when the Phillies acquired him from the Cincinnati Reds for Wilson Valdez, he'd be nothing more than a throw-in in any potential trade. Given his injury and lackluster performance, Horst is going to stay in Philadelphia for now.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Ryan Howard

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    Ryan Howard will always be that one player about whom Phillies fans complain. It's not out of line to do so—the now oft-injured Howard has not been the same hitter he was prior to his torn Achilles at the conclusion of the 2011 NLDS, and he's dealt with a nagging knee injury this year which will likely result in a DL stint at some point.

    And let's not forget about that monstrosity of a contract amounting to five years and $125 million, of which Howard's only in the second year.

    Because of the contract alone, Howard won't be dealt, plain and simple. However, he's hit rather well recently. Over the last 30 days, The Big Piece has batted .299 with an .884 OPS along with two home runs and 12 RBI. He may not be the power hitter he once was, but if Howard can hit for average, the Phillies will gladly take it.

    Again, though, that contract makes Howard immovable.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 0%

Kyle Kendrick

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    For years and years, Kyle Kendrick was another Phillie whom fans wanted ousted. He never seemed to get the job done when the team needed him to most, and his constant switching between the rotation and bullpen was agonizing to follow.

    Fortunately for all parties involved, Kendrick cemented himself as worthy of the rotation in 2012 with an above-average stat line. Despite an 11-12 record, Kendrick posted a serviceable 3.90 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. And on a Phillies team short on starting pitching candidates following Vance Worley's trade for Ben Revere, Kendrick was certainly welcome back to the rotation in 2013.

    Now with a 6-4 record, 3.56 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, Kendrick has done a solid job in the rotation, enough to ensure that he'll be a Phillie at least through 2014, after which he becomes a free agent. That's a discussion that'll come about in the future. For now, Kendrick remains a key contributor among the Phillies' starting staff.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Erik Kratz

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    Poor Erik Kratz. After a horrible April, Kratz was given another chance to shine as the Phillies' starting catcher following a second prolonged absence of Carlos Ruiz. It looked like this time, Kratz was going to make it happen.

    Kratz had started off June with a bang after a hot May, belting two home runs along with eight RBI and p a .533 SLG in eight games. While his .233 batting average and .258 OBP weren't spectacular by any means, the other production made up for his inconsistency.

    However, Kratz injured his knee in a game against the Milwaukee Brewers back on June 8 running past first base, and a day later, an MRI revealed that Kratz had torn the meniscus in his left knee. With his eight home runs on the year, Kratz was fifth among all catchers in baseball.

    With Ruiz's status after 2013 up in the air, Kratz will be invaluable to the Phillies in the future, whether as a starter or backup. Although his injury eliminates any trade value Kratz may have had, chances are that he wouldn't have been available anyway.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 0%

John Lannan

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    John Lannan hasn't really had a chance to prove himself as a Phillie just yet. After two relatively successful April starts, Lannan was removed early from his third start of the season on April 17 against the Cincinnati Reds with what was determined to be a knee tendon strain. As a result, he missed exactly two months of the season and made his fourth start of the year on June 17 against his former team, the Washington Nationals.

    In his most recent start, Lannan fared well, surrendering just two runs on six hits in five innings with four strikeouts and no walks. While the Phillies won, Lannan was given a no-decision due to the team's comeback victory in the ninth inning following closer Jonathan Papelbon's first blown save of 2013.

    Thanks to his ill-fated start against the Reds on April 17, Lannan still has a 5.49 ERA on the year with a 1.27 WHIP and is 0-1 with just 11 strikeouts. What makes him possibly appealing on the trade market, though, is his contract situation.

    Since he was non-tendered by Washington this past offseason, Lannan was not technically a free agent as he has yet to accumulate six years of major league service time. He's still under team control through 2014 regardless of the money he makes or his performance, so any team that was to take him on would be guaranteed to have the lefty through next year.

    Lannan has high upside and while he's not the most dominating pitcher, he's not terrible, either. If the Phillies received a decent offer for him, they could trade him while using Tyler Cloyd for the remainder of the season.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 10%

Cliff Lee

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    What hasn't been said about Cliff Lee? The guy's been one of the NL's top pitchers in 2013, yet he was denounced of his "ace-hood" after his dismal 6-9 finish last year. Critics have taken a 180-degree turn, though, as Lee was considered the consensus top available player on the trade block at this year's trade deadline, per Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe.

    MLB Network insider Peter Gammons also tweeted about Lee's league-leading stats; however, he also mentioned that neither Lee nor closer Jonathan Papelbon are likely to be traded due to the Phillies' impending TV deal after the 2015 season.

    The point is that Lee is an appealing target, and in the aforementioned article by Cafardo, as many as 20 teams could be salivating over the potential to nab him in a trade. If the Phillies wanted to make a deal, they could get a nice return for their lefty ace despite over $75 million owed to him over the next three-plus years.

    On the season, Lee has been brilliant, posting a 2.53 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 9-2 record and has struck out 98 batters. He's among the best pitchers in the NL, if not baseball, and should be not only an all-star lock but, at his current rate, a potential Cy Young Award contender as well.

    According to Bob Brookover and Matt Gelb of philly.com, Lee wants to stay in Philadelphia, and GM Ruben Amaro wants him to stay, too, per ESPN's Jayson Stark. But Lee also wants to win, per CSNPhilly.com's Jim Salisbury, and he wants to win enough that he'd consider playing most anywhere with such an opportunity. Maybe that'll drive Lee to ask for a trade at some point. But if Amaro receives an organization-changing deal, both in shedding cash and acquiring top prospects, it'll be difficult to refuse it.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 40%

Michael Martinez

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    There's little to say about Michael Martinez. He was a Rule 5 pick by the Phillies from the Washington Nationals before the 2010 season and he didn't pan out then. By my count, he still has yet to prove why he has any business being on a major league roster.

    Sure, the guy provides positional ability, but at what cost? His defense is terrible most anywhere he plays, and his lack of hitting doesn't make up for it. It's not even worth mentioning his nonexistent stats (literally, he doesn't have a hit in six games this year). Martinez is a waste on the Phillies' roster, and it's time to consider him a lost cause.

    I'd be shocked if someone else even fathomed the thought of taking Martinez off the Phillies' hands. Anything can happen though. The chances he goes anywhere are minuscule, microscopic even. But he'll either find himself in Triple-A or on the waiver wire if he continues his current rate of mediocrity. 

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

John Mayberry, Jr.

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    Throughout his Phillies career, John Mayberry, Jr. has been an enigma, to say the least. He's a confusing piece of the puzzle that's very volatile—he's either very up or very down.

    While the early part of the month was better to him than the last week or so, Mayberry has had a solid June. He's batted .250  with an .828 OPS, though his OBP in the month is a lowly .283. On the season, Mayberry's only marginally better, hitting .256 with a .310 OBP, though his .752 OPS is far inferior to his mark in June. He's also got five home runs and 18 RBI on the year.

    Mayberry will never be more than a fourth outfielder. He's past the point where he could break out into something more. But will he be worth a roster spot when all's said and done? That's another debate in and of itself. For now, he's a good backup option to have, but if he falls any further, he may find himself off the roster after the season at the latest.

    He's got no trade value unless a team wants to exchange broken parts with the Phillies.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Laynce Nix

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    Laynce Nix hasn't been the player the Phillies had hoped he'd be. Signed to a cheap two-year contract before the 2012 season, Nix has either been injured or ineffective.

    While 2012 was more of the former, 2013 has definitely been the latter. Nix is batting just .218  with two homers and six RBI and a .598 OPS in 56 games. He's supposed to be able to hit right-handed pitching, yet he's hit just .225 with a .625 OPS against them. And lefties? You don't even want to go there.

    Nix has been a bust in Philadelphia, and he should already be gone. Somehow, though, he remains. And if another team of some sort sees some value in his pop potential, they could strike a deal of small proportions with the Phillies. I wouldn't put it past the Phils to explore that possibility either.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 5%

Jonathan Papelbon

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    Oh, boy. Here we go.

    Jonathan Papelbon has been the closer of the Phillies' dreams. Two blown saves in the last week aside, Papelbon has been lights-out and has given the Phillies the ninth inning stability they lacked since Brad Lidge went perfect on the year in saves during their World Series-winning 2008 season.

    However, such strength comes at a hefty price. Papelbon is due at least $32.5 million before his contract expires, and with a $13 million vesting option potentially tacked on to the current deal, Papelbon is no cheap commodity.

    The good news is that there may be a market for Papelbon. Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe reports that the Phillies see the Boston Red Sox, Detroit Tigers and St. Louis Cardinals as potential suitors for Papelbon (the Detroit Free Press refutes the Tigers' interest in Papelbon as of now though). While Edward Mujica's emergence in St. Louis may rule the Cardinals out, the Tigers and Red Sox are both perfect fits.

    Papelbon also became the latest Phillies pitcher vocal about the team's struggles, noting their issues with fundamentals, per philly.com. Whether or not that should be interpreted as an anger vent or a true assessment of the team's struggles, there's a good chance that Papelbon calling out his teammates didn't go over so well in the Phillies' clubhouse.

    Bleacher Report Lead Writer Jason Martinez recently explored potential trade packages the Phillies could get for Papelbon. While I think they're all deals that would heavily favor the Phils and are unrealistic, I wouldn't rule out a Papelbon trade. Out of any Phillie, I feel he's most likely to be dealt, though it's still too early to send him off for sure.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 45%

Jonathan Pettibone

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    Jonathan Pettibone entered the season as the Phillies' prospect with the most control and best changeup, according to Baseball America. He also ranked fourth overall among the organization's prospects. If anyone was deserving of a call-up to the majors when the Phillies needed a fill-in, it was Pettibone. The only thing is that he's served as a permanent piece in the Phillies rotation due to Roy Halladay's injury.

    Early on, Pettibone looked fantastic, and until recently, he still posted great numbers. In his last four starts, though, he's allowed four or more runs in three of them and six runs on 10 hits against the Colorado Rockies on June 15.

    Consequently, Pettibone's ERA has jumped to that of Cole Hamels at 4.40 and his WHIP has escalated to 1.52. With a 3-3 record that has succeeded a streak of unbeaten starts, Pettibone is definitely in a bit of a funk right now, one he needs to get out of before Carlos Zambrano takes his place.

    Pettibone's worry shouldn't be whether or not he'll be traded, because he won't. He needs to worry about keeping his rotation spot. If he doesn't fix his issues, the minors will present themselves back to Pettibone, and it's safe to say that's the last thing anyone wants.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Humberto Quintero

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    While mentioning Humberto Quintero in this slideshow is more of a formality than it is a reality, he is a nice option the Phillies have in an emergency. And at the moment, they sure need this guy.

    Quintero was inked over the offseason as likely minor league depth, coincidentally on the same day that Carlos Ruiz's 25-game Adderall suspension became public knowledge. While Quintero had the ability to opt out of his contract after being demoted to Triple-A upon Ruiz's return from suspension, he chose to stay, and after going unclaimed on waivers, stay he did.

    In recent years, the Phillies' backup catcher situation has been a nightmare, Nowadays, even the backup to the backup catcher isn't the worst option to have. Quintero's defense is a nice thing to have when he's needed, and with both the suspension and injury to Chooch and now Kratz's injury, Quintero's more important than the Phillies may have ever imagined.

    He's not going anywhere as long as Kratz is hurt, but even if Kratz was all well and good, Quintero's value to the Phillies organization (in addition to disinterest by other teams when they had the chance to claim him) will result in him lasting out the season at the minimum.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Ben Revere

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    Even if Ben Revere had continued to struggle, he wouldn't be dealt since he's now part of the Phillies' long-term plans. Needless to say, though, his recent uptick in playing time and performance hasn't hurt his favor within the organization.

    After being acquired from the Minnesota Twins in exchange for Vance Worley and Trevor May at the Winter Meetings in December, Revere was expected to bat close to his .294 average in 2012 and steal 40 bases. Although both remain possible, those lofty expectations were a bit much. He may be able to steal the bags and provide the defense he was also expected to possess, but the average may not be attainable just yet.

    In June, though, Revere's played at another level. He's batting .324 this month with a surprisingly high .711 OPS and an astounding seven stolen bases, with only one caught stealing to his credit. He's now upped his previously-Mendoza line-esque batting average to .272 and horrendous OBP to a gradually-improving .308.

    Revere will get to where he needs to be in time. Fortunately, that time may be sooner than the organization had thought following a slow start. Patience is a virtue, and as is the case with the Phillies' long-term plans (or potential lack thereof, according to philly.com), it will hopefully pay off in the long run.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Jimmy Rollins

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    Jimmy Rollins has been the quintessential Phillie since 2000 if anyone has been. He's casually been dubbed the "sparkplug" of the team on numerous occasions. Yet is he also future trade bait?

    Shortstop is as weak of a position in the majors as they come today, and Rollins still remains in the upper tier of those at his position throughout baseball. He won his fourth Gold Glove following the 2012 season, and even if his offense sits in the middle of the pack, Rollins' defense will always be outstanding.

    While batting in the .270 range isn't possible for Rollins anymore, he's settled in a tolerable .250s range. This year, J-Roll has batted .259 with four home runs, 24 RBI, and has posted a .701 OPS. While moving him to the three-hole in Charlie Manuel's lineup hasn't exactly done him wonders, it hasn't detracted from his ability for once either.

    Rollins would probably only accept a trade to a West Coast contender, an ability he has because of his 10-and-5 rights. That limits his trade market by itself. But if the offer was appealing enough, both for the Phillies and J-Roll, it wouldn't be a huge surprise to see him consider taking the bait. It's highly unlikely any sort of offer falls into the Phillies' lap, though.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 15%

Carlos Ruiz

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    Carlos Ruiz. Chooch. One of the most recognizable players on the Phillies, Ruiz has become a fan favorite over the years thanks to his incredible and previously underrated defense and game-calling skills. While he had a breakout season in 2012 that saw him earn an All-Star nod, all credibility went out the window when Ruiz was slapped with a 25-game suspension soon after the season due to unauthorized Adderall use.

    When Ruiz returned from his suspension at the end of April, he only lasted 16 games before hitting the DL for a Grade 2 hamstring strain. After missing just under a month, Ruiz returned on June 18, but his sample size of 18 games on the season remains rather small.

    Barring any other injuries or suspensions, Chooch will likely improve his stock for both trades and free agency after the season as well. He's only batting .241 right now with a measly .562 OPS, but he should be able to raise those numbers to some degree. If not, any trade value he may have had left following his lack of play will cease to exist.

    When examining the percentage below, consider it the maximum percentage Ruiz will be dealt. He still could be traded, but unless the Phillies will settle for a minimal return—and they won't—the team will refuse to swallow its pride and hold onto their aging, injury-prone catcher for at least the home stretch.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 20%

Joe Savery

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    There's very little to say about Joe Savery. He's spent minimal time on the major league roster in 2013 and has been given few opportunities to pitch.

    In just four appearances in 2013, Savery has pitched to a 1.80 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and two strikeouts. He's a left-handed option the Phillies have, though with a 4.41 career ERA in the majors, his inability to impress in previous opportunities may be why Savery has been given a much tighter leash.

    The Phillies' 2007 first-round draft pick bust may find himself as a decent middle reliever, but if he's traded, it'll be nothing more than as a throw-in, and an insignificant one at that.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Michael Stutes

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    Michael Stutes has been given a slight of hand since his rookie season. In 2012, he had to deal with shoulder fraying and had a lot to prove in spring training leading up to the 2013 season. He apparently didn't prove enough and started the season in the minors. And even though a midseason promotion gave Stutes the chance to show he had the stuff it takes to succeed, his most recent outing—surrendering a go-ahead grand slam to Ian Desmond of the Washington Nationals and suffering the 6-2 loss in extra innings—may have slumped Stutes farther down the pedestal.

    Stutes' sparkling ERA sadly climbed to 3.68 and his WHIP to 1.16. Given that its been 12 outings and his ERA isn't worse, though, it's an encouraging sign that Stutes may be able to pitch as well as he did prior to his shoulder surgery.

    The grand slam aside, Stutes has been among the Phillies' most reliable relievers in 2013. There's little to no chance he gets traded.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 1%

Chase Utley

27 of 29

    Coming into the 2013 season, the concern on everyone's mind was Chase Utley's knees. Truth be told, his knees have been great. To everyone's surprise, it's been Utley's oblique that's caused him some trouble this year.

    Utley hasn't played in a major league game since May 20 due to a burning sensation in his abdominal area upon taking some practice swings before a game. He immediately hit the DL and while the diagnosis was nothing more than an oblique strain, it was an injury in an area at which Utley had not previously dealt with a problem.

    Now on a rehab assignment, Utley—also an impending free agent—has hit .272 in 2012 with seven home runs, 25 RBI, five steals, and an .814 OPS. He's in line to be the second-best second baseman on the free agent market only to Robinson Cano, and likely the best second baseman potentially available on the trade market.

    Utley has a partial no-trade clause and should stick around at least through the season's end. But if the price is right and to a team Utley would consider, the player whom Harry Kalas dubbed "the MAN" could find himself away from the only team he's known as a professional baseball player.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 20%

Delmon Young

28 of 29

    Based upon how things are going with Delmon Young, he's more likely to be released than traded.

    Young was brought in on a one-year, $750,000 contract with hitting and weight incentives. He does seem slimmer than he did as a Detroit Tiger. But that's all Young's got going for him.

    On the season, Young is batting just .222 with six home runs and 17 RBI. His OPS stands at .677, but his OBP is just .277. Although his defense hasn't been a black hole, it hasn't been far from it.

    Young's had 42 games to prove his worth and he hasn't. A team looking for right-handed power potential could seek out Young's services, but since that didn't work out for the Phillies, chances are other teams won't bite should Young be released (which he should be sooner or later).

    Again, keep the number below as the maximum percentage Young's traded. I'd put his chances of being cut by July 31 much higher.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 5%

Michael Young

29 of 29

    Michael Young waived his 10-and-5 rights with the Texas Rangers in the offseason, leaving the only team he'd ever known in the majors and was the face of for a chance at everyday playing time. Fortunately for Young, he's gotten that from the Phillies, but they haven't provided him with much else.

    Accustomed to winning ways in recent years in Texas, Young now finds himself as the starting third baseman for a Phillies team that's unable to keep pace with the big dogs of the weak NL East. The last of the Phillies' soon-to-be free agents; Young has primed himself for a nice contract, as he's batting .290 with three home runs and 17 RBI along with a .357 OBP and .402 SLG. The home runs, RBI and power numbers aren't all that appealing, but .290 certainly doesn't hurt his chances, nor does his not-too-bad defense at the hot corner.

    Upon being dealt to Philadelphia, Young was guaranteed a full no-trade clause as a result of waiving his 10-and-5 rights. The only way he goes elsewhere at the trade deadline is if it's on his terms. Frankly, it wouldn't be a shock to see Young ask for a trade to a contender, as he is one of many veterans on the Phillies without a World Series ring.

    Would he be worth a ton? No. But he could get a solid prospect back for the Phillies, assuming they deem him unnecessary for the second half if they fall out of contention.

    Chances of Being Dealt: 10%