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Breaking Down the Odds on Latest Chelsea Transfer Rumours

Kevin StottSenior Analyst IDecember 12, 2016

Breaking Down the Odds on Latest Chelsea Transfer Rumours

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    So many names. So many rumors. So many odds.

    Why it's enough to make a girl dizzy, Bubba. Really dizzy.

    But luckily for you lot, I have been appointed by none other than Her Majesty the Queen herself to try to make some sense for you on who may and who may not end up wearing a royal blue kit at Stamford Bridge later this summer for Chelsea.

    And with manager José Mourinho having flown into West London on his magic carpet and already started the rebuilding with the confirmation of a deal to sign winger André Schürrle from Bayer Leverkusen last week, "The Special One's" work for the Blues has officially begun.

    It's safe to say several members of the current Europa League champions roster will be headed out the door with as many, if not more, new players coming to SW6 in an effort to return the team to the stellar form it enjoyed from 2004 to 2007, when the 50-year-old Portuguese legend was last Chelsea's manager.

    And seeing as how English Premier League play starts exactly two months from today, on Saturday, August 17, then the number of deals we can expect to see over the next 10 weeks should be mind-boggling and possibly even set a new league summer transfer period spending record.

    So here are 26 select players I have chosen to examine who have—at some point or another—been rumored as either Blues targets or players said to be leaving (with the exception of Michael Essien, who was loaned out to Real Madrid last season). I have divided them by these distinctions.

    There are several others, including Kaká (16-1, Sky Bet), Kevin Prince-Boateng (5-2) and Hatem Ben Arfa (20-1), who have also been the subjects of rumors, but this started out as a 10-player slideshow and grew to 20 before bulging to its current 26.

    So I figured it was best to stop there before J.K. Rowling gives me a telephone call and tells me my stuff's too long.


    Writer's note: The actual Sky Bet odds (to sign before Sept. 1) in the slideshow were current as of June 16 and are obviously subject to change. If you read this story from its publishing date (June 17) on, please be aware the odds in the link will possibly and probably have changed due to the nature of gambling and potential bets made on (or against in theory) these specific listed players. If players end up staying with their current clubs, then the bets lose.

Potential Arrival: Edinson Cavani

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: Even (Click here for odds link) (Bet $1, win $1)

    Current Club: Napoli

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Chelsea (Even)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Hopefully. I say 71 percent yes, 29 percent no.

    The Skinny: The 26-year-old Uruguayan is a hot commodity this summer and is currently favored by Sky Bet to land at Chelsea (even odds) with Real Madrid (3-2) and Manchester City (3-1) also pursuing him.

    Cavani, is now basically being held hostage by Napoli by his monster buyout clause. It seems the club is using the richest suitors to extract as much money as possible for the coveted striker.

    Well, business is business.

    On Friday, both Sky Italia and Tancredi Palmeri reported that Chelsea's €52 million bid for Cavani was rejected, with Napoli allegedly holding out for the full €63 million release clause.

    Cavani—who is also being targeted by Paris Saint-Germain (40-1), among others—has apparently made it clear to his family that he would really like to play for Real Madrid, according to the Sun.  With his price being so steep and several much more cost-effective options out there, the Blues may be wise to look elsewhere for a new striker.

    After splashing out so much cash to get Fernando Torres, Blues owner Roman Abramovich and management may be leery about overpaying for another big-name guy—although we're all familiar with the Russian oligarch's penchant for ultimately getting all of the toys he wants at Chelsea.

Potential Arrival: Robert Lewandowski

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 6-1

    Current Club: Borussia Dortmund

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Bayern Munich (8-13)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? No.

    The Skinny: Robert Lewandowski helped Borussia Dortmund get to the UEFA Champions League final, where they lost to Bundesliga rival Bayern Munich, the oddsmakers' favorites to land the talented striker this summer.

    The 24-year-old Polish national would fit in great up top for Chelsea and would likely be an instant starter at Stamford Bridge under Mourinho, but with Manchester United (5-2) and Real Madrid (5-1) also in the hunt with Bayern, it seems unlikely Lewandowski will be wearing royal blue.

    As the 8-13 odds reveal, Lewandowski will likely end up on the European champions Bayern with former teammate Mario Götze. The rich get really richer in this case, or simply end up staying put at Dortmund.

Potential Arrival: Gonzalo Higuaín

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 25-1

    Current Club: Real Madrid

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Juventus (10-11)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Possibly, if offers for all other strikers fall through.

    The Skinny: Chelsea is presently tied for fourth of all clubs in the Sky Bet futures book to land Real Madrid's Gonzalo Higuaín behind Juventus (10-11), Arsenal (11-10), AS Monaco (20-1) and Napoli (25-1).

    The 25-year-old Argentinian may be swayed to head to West London by former manager Mourinho if all other attempts to land a big-name scorer come up dry.

    At 25-1, a bet on Higuaín may hold the best value in the end.

    But landing him with so many perceived better options out there would surely seem like a loss to most diehard Chelsea fans, who have had visions of Cavani and Radamel Falcao in a Blues uniform dancing through their heads these last two years.

Potential Arrival: Edin Dzeko

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 2-1

    Current Club: Manchester City

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Chelsea

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Quite possibly, depending on moves of other clubs.

    The Skinny: Often overlooked with so many bigger names constantly being parroted in the press, Edin Džeko would be a wonderful fit for Chelsea. He probably wouldn't bring the ego of a guy who thinks he has to start, which would give Romelu Lukaku a chance to strut his stuff at striker in the Blues starting XI if Cavani isn't signed.

    The 6'4", 27-year-old Bosnian is favored by oddsmakers at Sky Bet to come to Stamford Bridge with Dortmund (5-1), Napoli (6-1) and Atlético Madrid (16-1) following.

    However, new Manchester City manager Manuel Pellegrini said to the Daily Mirror that he would really like to keep Džeko—who holds the Sky Blues club record with 40 goals in 109 appearances—at the Etihad.

    Funny how so many of these potential deals are connected like some massive worldwide spider web which will become nonexistent come Sept. 1.

Potential Arrival: Cristiano Ronaldo

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 6-1

    Current Club: Real Madrid

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Manchester United (5-6)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? No way. Maybe a 1-2 percent chance.

    The Skinny: The biggest name to be had or kept this summer, Cristiano Ronaldo, like Lionel Messi, is simply a living legend.

    Talk of CR7 potentially landing in West London to be with his old manager Mourinho, to me, seems just like sensationalistic cow crap. But what big-name player isn't ultimately linked to Chelsea somehow?

    Premier League champions Manchester United are the favorites (5-6) to sign Ronaldo should he ultimately leave Santiago Bernabéu with the Blues (6-1), PSG (6-1) and Monaco (25-1) following.

    But in my opinion, Ronaldo either stays with Madrid or heads back to the Red Devils.

    And with so much angst at the club last season and so many of his teammates possibly on the way out, I actually think the 27-year-old Portuguese striker ends up at Old Trafford and teams up with Robin van Persie to form what will possibly be the greatest scoring tandem in English top flight history.

    And should that eventually happen, both Madrid and Chelsea fans will really be in a world of hurt for the coming league and Champions League seasons, no matter whom they end up signing this summer.

Potential Arrival: Mario Gomez

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 8-1

    Current Club: Bayern Munich

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Fiorentina (1-3)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Very doubtful.

    The Skinny: With Lewandowski likely coming to the European champions and Mario Mandžukić already on the roster, Mario Gómez suddenly becomes expendable. Right now, it looks the 27-year-old German is headed to Serie A.

    But here, for gamblers (or punters in Europe), it seems to me the wisest play is taking a chance on Gómez actually heading to Napoli (6-1) over heavy favorite Fiorentina (1-3).

    Chelsea (8-1) is third in the oddsmakers' pecking order with Arsenal (16-1) and Barcelona (16-1) tied for fourth.

    Getting Gómez would be a nice addition for the Blues not only for the potential 20 goals he could score, but also for the fact the man comes with his own funky button. But logic dictates he ends up playing his football in Italy next season.

Potential Arrival: Stevan Jovetic

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 6-1

    Current Club: Fiorentina

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Juventus (3-2)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Guessing 15 percent yes, 85 percent no.

    The Skinny: The 23-year-old has a bright future ahead of him, but I don't think that immediate future is with Chelsea.

    Serie A heavies Juventus are the favorites to land the young striker (3-2), with Real Madrid (3-1), City (4-1) Chelsea and Arsenal (both 6-1) and United (25-1) following in that order at this particular point in time.

    Matt Law of the Daily Mirror reported on Saturday that City think they will be given first ­refusal on Jovetić, possibly giving them an inside track to land the Montenegrin. But in my opinion, from Chelsea's point of view, getting either Cavani or Džeko to go with Lukaku and Demba Ba at the position seems more logical and probable.

Potential Arrival: Wayne Rooney

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 4-1

    Current Club: Manchester United

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Arsenal (3-2)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Tough call. Unlikely. Maybe a 20 percent chance.

    The Skinny: The 4-1 odds suggest that Wayne Rooney may be Stamford Bridge-bound. But it is important to remember these odds are often skewed Chelsea's way with the club being so popular, situated in London and having so many Blues fans and bettors likely to blindly back their team no matter what.

    These factors are all "baked" into these numbers by the bookmakers.

    After the Gunners (3-2) and Chelsea (4-1), PSG (7-1), Bayern (25-1), Monaco and Madrid (both 33-1) are the next favorites to sign the 27-year-old striker/forward.

    Last week, Mourinho talked about a potential Rooney acquisition in the Independent. But to me it seems the new Blues manager was simply offering a vote of confidence to the Red Devils stalwart for whatever decision he, his agent and United will soon be making.

    Also worth noting here, Sky Bet has a separate bet for Rooney as to whether the Englishman stays at United (8-13) or leaves (6-5). To me, backing Rooney to stay at Old Trafford seems like the smartest angle at this point in time.

Potential Arrival: Hulk

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 10-11

    Current Club: Zenit Saint Petersburg

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Chelsea

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? I really think so; 77 percent yes, 23 percent no.

    The Skinny: The Blues were hot and heavy on Hulk's trail last year, but it seems the passion from Chelsea fans to get the 26-year-old Brazilian winger waned over the past year. But now it seems interest from Blues management and fans has returned for the football player whose mother named him Givanildo Vieira de Souza.

    An attacking midfield of Juan Mata, Eden Hazard and Hulk almost seems unfair at first blush. But having guys like Schürrle, Oscar, Kevin De Bruyne and Victor Moses as backups is an even scarier proposition.

    Behind Chelsea, Monaco and Madrid (both 6-1) and City and PSG (both 20-1) are Sky Bet's next favorites to land Hulk. I think he ends up joining Chelsea in the next month or so.

Potential Arrival: Wesley Sneijder

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 7-4

    Current Club: Galatasaray

    Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Chelsea

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Sixty percent yes, 40 percent no.

    The Skinny: Already loaded in the attacking midfield, the Blues definitely do not need the 29-year-old Dutchman, especially if they do end up singing Hulk.

    But Tom Hopkinson of the Daily Mirror has reported that a source close to the Special One said, "Mourinho has asked Abramovich to get him Sneijder."

    If so, and if it ends up happening, this would certainly not be good news—at least in the immediate future—for players like Moses, Marko Marin and Lucas Piazón. But the vast majority of Chelsea fans fawned for Mourinho to return, and now that he's back at the helm, it's probably best to let him steer the ship.

Potential Arrival: Marouane Fellaini

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 8-1

    Current Club: Everton

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Arsenal (4-5)

    Will He Be On Chelsea in September? Most likely not.

    The Skinny: The fuzziest player in the Premier League would look great in the central midfield next to David Luiz. Should Marouane Fellaini end up in West London, the Belgian connection of Hazard, Lukaku, De Bruyne, himself and future Blues goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois would create an interesting dynamic.

    But EPL rivals Arsenal (4-5) and United (3-2) are the favorites to land the 6'4" 25-year-old. Juventus, PSG and Madrid are all currently listed at 20-1 odds at Sky Bet, and City (22-1) and AC Milan (25-1) are also theoretically in the running to get Fellaini.

    It sounds like a great idea. Fellaini would bring with him an ability to score, but with all the potential goal scorers currently on the roster along with those who will join this summer, it's best to aim for a more defensive talent, especially considering that David Luiz has shown he can play a central defensive midfield role now and score a couple goals himself.

Potential Arrival: Xabi Alonso

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 6-1

    Current Club: Real Madrid

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Liverpool (3-1)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Probably not. Fifteen percent yes, 85 percent no.

    The Skinny: Xabi Alonso is no spring chicken at 31. My guess is he either stays with Madrid or heads to Anfield and his old club Liverpool, where he plied his trade from 2004 to 2009.

    Chelsea is the No. 2 favorite at Sky Bet at 6-1 with Arsenal (12-1), Bayern and Galatasaray (both 12-1) and Anzhi Makhachkala, City and Zenit (all 16-1) as possible destinations for the Spanish midfielder.

    Mourinho's relationship with Alonso may be a factor in possibly signing him. But at his age and at 6-1, both the club and gamblers can probably do better.

Potential Arrival: Marco Van Ginkel

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: None

    Current Club: Vitesse

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: N/A (No odds)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? 50/50.

    The Skinny: The 20-year-old Dutch midfielder—who joined the Vitesse Academy at age seven in 1999—is currently being linked by Jon Holmes of Sky Sports with both Chelsea and United.

    Although Sky Bet doesn't have a specific bet listed for van Ginkel's potential destination by summer's end, it's likely the Blues and Red Devils would be co-favorites.

    Van Ginkel could stay at Vitesse or possibly even go elsewhere. But my gut tells me he ends up at Stamford Bridge and gets stashed away this season for future use along with guys like Piazón, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Nathan Aké, Wallace, Josh McEachran, Andreas Christensen and Nathaniel Chalobah, among others.

Potential Arrival: Ezequiel Garay

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 25-1

    Current Club: Benfica

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Manchester United 1-6

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? No.

    The Skinny: The bottom line is Ezequiel Garay is a prohibitive favorite to end up at Old Trafford (1-6), and United could probably use his help on defense more than all of the 26-year-old Argentinian's other suitors.

    Madrid (8-1) is the second favorite. La Liga champs Barcelona are next at 12-1, followed by Monaco and PSG (16-1) and the Blues and City (25-1).

    Chelsea could definitely use a proven center-back like Garay but will probably have to look elsewhere if they want to fill that need this summer.

Potential Arrival: Isco

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 16-1

    Current Club: Málaga

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Manchester City (1-5)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Probably not.

    The Skinny: Already having a glut in the advanced/attacking midfield, Chelsea would be wise to spend their money elsewhere, although any club in the world would be really smart to sign this guy.

    The odds here reveal Isco will likely end up at the Etihad. The thought of he and Yaya Touré in the sky Blues midfield is downright scary and a big reason City should be the club to beat in the league unless United nabs Ronaldo.

    Madrid (7-2), Chelsea (16-1) and Barcelona, Bayern and PSG (all 25-1) are the other favorites to sign the 21-year-old Spaniard. But logic, as well as the odds, dictate he will likely be playing for Pellegrini and Co. in August.

Potential Arrival: Angel Di Maria

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: 16-1

    Current Club: Real Madrid

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: AS Monaco (7-4)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Most likely not.

    The Skinny: Another guy Mourinho is familiar with and would love to have at Chelsea, 25-year-old midfielder/winger Ángel di María will be a nice addition to whichever club lands him, although staying at Madrid is a distinct possibility.

    After odds favorite Monaco (7-4), fellow Ligue 1 club PSG is next at 3-1. City (5-1), Juventus and United (both 12-1), and Chelsea, Arsenal and Napoli (16-1) follow at Sky Bet.

    Again, with so many players already in the fold and Schürrle having already been signed, di Maria will probably not be wearing a Blues jersey this season.

Potential Arrival: Eliaquim Mangala

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: None

    Current Club: Porto

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: N/A

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? 50/50.

    The Skinny: As it stands right now, the £30 million buyout clause in Eliaquim Mangala's contract with Porto is too steep for Chelsea's blood (via the Sun). Although he would be an ideal signing for the Blues, it seems closer to £20 million would be a fairer number for the young French defender.

    The 22-year-old Mangala, also linked with City and PSG, would be an ideal addition for Chelsea this summer but is not preoccupied with all the transfer talks, according to Sky Sports.

    In the end, it seems Porto's willingness to budge on the buyout clause amount will ultimately be the difference. If the Portistas come down significantly, then Chelsea could snatch him; if not, Mangala may go to a willing higher bidder or just stay put at Estádio do Dragão.

Potential Arrival: Diego Lopez

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    Sky Bet Odds to Come to Chelsea: None

    Current Club: Real Madrid

    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: N/A

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? 50/50, but I'm leaning yes from this distance.

    The Skinny: With backup goalkeepers Ross Turnbull and Henrique Hilário having been released, Chelsea is definitely in the market for a new backup. The way Jamal Blackman looked against City in the friendly against City in the U.S. proves he's not even close to ready.

    It seems three guys would be ideal backups to veteran stud Petr Čech this season—Júlio César (QPR), Mark Schwarzer (former Fulham GK, now free agent) and Diego López (Madrid).

    According to a report last month in the London Evening Standard, new Chelsea manager Mourinho is considering bringing his former player López in from Madrid.

    Getting any one of these three, in my opinion, would be better than deciding to offer the released Turnbull some kind of extension. I can see the 31-year-old López as a logical fit and solid backup for Čech as Courtois waits in the wings on loan at Atlético for his time to shine.

Potential Departure: John Obi Mikel

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Galatasaray 11-8

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Tough call, depends on a summer purchase and/or Michael Essien's possible return. I say no.

    The Skinny: Mysteriously maligned by so many Chelsea fans, John Obi Mikel is deserving of much more respect than some Blues fans have shown over the past couple of years.

    The 26-year-old Nigerian central defensive midfielder's chances of staying on at Stamford Bridge were really hurt lately with Luiz's semi-transformation to a defensive midfield role and the re-signing of Frank Lampard, who was moved back from the attacking midfield this past season.

    Toss in the possibility of an expensive signing, the possibility Chelsea brings back Essien from loan at Madrid and Ramires likely having to be featured more at the position with so many attacking midfielders, and Mikel's days may be numbered.

    Talk of him heading to Turkey and Galatasaray to join Didier Drogba has been making the rounds, and oddsmakers favor that move (11-8) over other potential moves. PSG (4-1), Monaco (6-1), Juventus (14-1) and Inter Milan and Madrid (20-1) are also possibilities.

Potential Departures: Demba Ba

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: West Ham 6-1

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Really another tough call. 50/50. Will likely be dependent on whether or not Torres is eventually sold.

    The Skinny: The Senegalese striker was pretty disappointing for Chelsea after being bought from Newcastle United last season, but he would potentially be an incredible third striker should the Blues sign a guy like Cavani and have Lukaku getting his chance.

    After odds favorites West Ham—who are also targeting Wilfried Bony and former Blues Florent Malouda and Salomon Kalou, according to Jason Burt of the Telegraph—Newcastle and Everton (7-1) are the second favorites, followed by PSG and Monaco (both 8-1) and Liverpool and Sunderland (both 16-1).

Potential Departure: Fernando Torres

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Barcelona and Napoli (5-2)

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? This will probably be dependent on another club's willingness to pay what Chelsea deems "enough" for the Spanish striker. I say he's gone.

    The Skinny: If the Blues land a big-name striker, Torres will probably be gone seeing how Mourinho seems keen to give Lukaku his chance and minutes.

    The London Evening Standard reported that Spanish media report Barcelona is interested in the £50 million man but want him at a cut-rate price of around £17 million.

    To me, Torres and Barça are a match made in heaven. What better place for El Niño to have a chance at renewal than in his home country with players like Messi, Andrés Iniesta and Xavi feeding him?

    Mourinho has promised to hear Torres out and give him his chance. In a recent story by Matt Law of the Daily Mirror, he tried to soften some of the 29-year-old's critics.

    "Torres so far is so-so," Mourinho said. ­"Somebody could expect more because of his potential, because of what he did before. But not so bad as people sometimes try to say."

    If Torres does stay and Cavani and Lukaku are both on the roster, it seems Mourinho is smart enough to give the new guys a chance considering Torres's multiple scoring droughts in Premier League play.

Potential Departure: Victor Moses

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Everton 3-1

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Probably.

    The Skinny: The Nigerian winger has honestly not gotten enough playing time to pass judgment on him since coming over from Wigan Athletic in last summer's transfer period.

    With so many attacking midfielders and Hulk and Sneijder possibly joining Uncle Roman's Flying Circus, Moses may be sold. But I think Mourinho will like what he sees in practice and find a way to get the most out of the 22-year-old.

    Everton (3-1) is Sky Bet's favorite to land Moses should he leave West London, with a bevy of Premier League clubs following: Liverpool (8-1), Newcastle (10-1), Swansea City (12-1) and Tottenham Hotspur (15-1).

Potential Departure: Juan Mata

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: N/A

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Really, sister? Is water wet?

    The Skinny: The only reason Juan Mata even made this slideshow is because of the sensationalistic nature of some media outlets who even threw it out there that the Chelsea playmaker extraordinaire would be sold.


    If any team in any sport rid themselves of a guy who won their Player of the Year two straight years, well, then they deserve whatever fate lies in front of them.

    Mata made it clear to Miguel Angel Lara of the Spanish sports publication Marca that the silly departure rumors are simply false.

    "Nobody at Chelsea has told me that Mourinho wants me out," Mata said. "When I finished the season I was told that they were very happy with my performances and with the two years I've spent with the club."

    Chelsea selling Mata would be like selling their soul. And equally worse are rumors of the Blues considering selling their heart. Which leads us to...

Potential Departure: David Luiz

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Barcelona 5-2

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? Most likely.

    The Skinny: David Luiz basically "arrived" at Chelsea last season and showed a number of things. First, he showed he is the new heart of the Blues and could be an eventual successor John Terry as the club's captain.

    Second, the Sideshow Bob lookalike proved he could pop a free kick Drogba-style, making the ball dip like a contestant bending desperately to get under a limbo stick.

    And third, Luiz showed his versatility. He was often moved up to central defensive midfield from his familiar center-back position.

    What more do we need from him? To cook the team meals?

    Barcelona (5-2) wanted him last year and appears to want him again, and lord knows his value is at its zenith right now. But to sell him?

    After the La Liga champions, Sky Bet has PSG (4-1), Monaco (8-1), Madrid (14-1), City and United (both 20-1) and Juventus (25/1) as the favorites to sign Luiz by Sept. 1. Or, the usual suspects.

    This is not a threat, but if Chelsea sells Luiz, I will really contemplate becoming a West Ham fan. A man can only take so much.

Potential Departure: John Terry

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    Outside Club with Best Odds of Landing Him: Galatasaray

    Will He Be on Chelsea in September? What's Chelsea without John Terry? I'd say there's only a slight possibility (11 percent) he leaves, depending on a summer center-back signing only.

    The Skinny: There are two good things to know for Blues fans hoping captain and legend John Terry stays at Stamford Bridge.

    First, Sky Bet is currently not offering a bet for his departure.

    And second, the one media source I could find with a recent report of a rumor he may head to Galatasaray is so suspect that I have chosen to keep all reports from it out of my stories.

    Now that's not saying even the shadiest source can't be right, but having Terry is like having a second coach out there. It seems he and Mourinho have patched up their differences. Whether the 32-year-old Englishman is used in a starting or reserve role at center-back, his presence on the Chelsea roster is simply gold.

Possible Arrival: Michael Essien

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    Michael Essien gets his own little niche at the end here. The 30-year-old Ghanaian defensive midfielder has been out on loan at Madrid the last year.

    Like the Torres-Ba situation, Chelsea will be in a similar position with Mikel and Essien, with likely just one of them making the team.

    My thought is that Mourinho liked what he saw out of Essien at the Santiago Bernabéu and will bring him back to SW6, meaning Mikel will likely be heading out.

    Both players are wonderful options to have at the position, despite what the never-happy critics parrot over and over and over.

    All the Blues did in the last two years with Mikel and Essien officially theirs was win the FA Cup, their first Champions League crown and the Europa League.

    You know, nothing big.


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    Three players I left out of this exercise on purpose who sometimes are also the subject of rumors to Chelsea are midfielders Luka Modrić and Gareth Bale and defender Fábio Coentrão.

    For me, Modrić (Real Madrid) is vastly overrated. Bale is way overvalued at this point in time and, in my opinion, will probably stay with Spurs (8-13; 6-5 to leave).

    Sky Bet currently has Bale a 20-1 bet to come to Stamford Bridge with Madrid (5-4), United (10-1) and PSG (16-1) following in that order.

    Coentrão (Real Madrid) was left out as there are no odds for him to land at Chelsea at Sky Bet right now. He might come, but I think Chelsea are absolutely fine at left-back with Ashley Cole and Ryan Bertrand.

    Also, to make things easier for the slideshow skaters who peel through the slides without really reading the content, I have made an easy-to-read list of what I think will ultimately happen with some of the key players in the next two months:


    Already Expected to Sign: André Schürrle.

    Predicted Arrivals: Cavani, Hulk, Sneijder, López, van Ginkel, Essien.

    Predicted Departures: Torres, Mikel, Oriol Romeu, Marko Marin.

    Predicted to Stay: Mata, Luiz, Moses, Terry.

    Too Tough to Call: Ba, Dzeko, Mangala, Coentrão.

    Favorite Value Bets: Higuain to Chelsea (25-1); Mario Gómez to Napoli (6-1); Rooney to stay at Manchester United (8-13); Bale to stay at Tottenham (8-13).


    As always, I am interested in who you readers think may come and go, so feel free to make your own lists of arrivals and departures or ideal starting XIs for the coming season in the comment section below.



    Follow me on Twitter: @KevinStott11

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