NBA Mock Draft 2013: High Picks Who Will Be Huge Busts

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NBA Mock Draft 2013: High Picks Who Will Be Huge Busts
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While a number of superstars have come out of the NBA draft throughout the years, there are also plenty of high draft picks that have been labeled busts.

When you are a lottery pick, you are instantly expected to be great, which is rarely the case. Expectations are sky-high, and anything less than being a star is looked down upon.

There are several prospects that could be selected in the lottery in the 2013 NBA draft class that have the potential to be busts.

Here's my latest 2013 NBA mock draft, complete with future busts (in italics).

 

1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

While Nerlens Noel has the most long-term upside of any prospect in the draft, I don't know if Dan Gilbert and Co. want to wait. The Cavaliers already have an up-and-coming backcourt of Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters—a move for Porter, a do-it-all player, would allow them to make a push to the playoffs much sooner.

 

2. Orlando Magic: Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana

Beyond Victor Oladipo's defense and developing offensive game, he's a tough, sound-minded player, something a franchise in upheaval needs. 

 

3. Washington Wizards: Nerlens Noel, PF/C, Kentucky

With a need in the frontcourt, Nerlens Noel has too much upside to pass up at No. 3. There are concerns about his size (206 pounds) and durability (coming off a torn ACL), but he has the potential to be a monster on the glass and as a shot-blocker.

 

4. Charlotte Bobcats: Anthony Bennett, PF, UNLV

Anthony Bennett has an inside-outside game, attacks the glass and has the athleticism to translate nicely to the pros. The Bobcats could use some frontcourt help.

 

5. Phoenix Suns: Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas

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Ben McLemore is an explosive, athletic prospect with deep range who has the length and lateral agility to be disruptive on defense, too. Relative to his draft position, though, I could see him being labeled a bust down the road. Some prospects aren't able to turn that switch mentally, and I wonder about McLemore's inconsistency at Kansas.

 

6. New Orleans Pelicans: Alex Len, C, Maryland

While Noel may have more upside defensively than Alex Len, Len has already shown a wealth of skills at only 19 years of age. That includes an inside-outside offensive game, passing ability, shot-blocking and rebounding. He could develop next to Anthony Davis in New Orleans.

 

7. Sacramento Kings: Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

Trey Burke would be a dream come true for the Kings. He not only provides a lift offensively, he can be a true point guard, setting things up for Sacramento's wealth of shoot-first guards.

 

8. Detroit Pistons: Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse

The Pistons apparently see potential in Brandon Knight at shooting guard, according to Chad Ford of ESPN.com (subscription required). If that's true, drafting a pure point guard in Michael Carter-Williams is the obvious choice. Carter-Williams is a bit raw, but he has too much potential to pass up here.

 

9. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG, Georgia

This pick could come down to Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and C.J. McCollum, who are among the best shooters in the class. Caldwell-Pope owns the advantage as far as size at the shooting guard position, though. He shot 37 percent from beyond the arc last season at Georgia, as well as collecting 7.1 rebounds per game.

 

10. Portland Trail Blazers: C.J. McCollum, G, Lehigh

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C.J. McCollum, as a smaller shooting guard, makes a lot of sense as a high-scoring sixth man in the NBA. The Trail Blazers need shooting off the bench, and McCollum shot 52 percent from beyond the arc at Lehigh last season.

 

11. Philadelphia 76ers: Cody Zeller, PF/C, Indiana

Cody Zeller is similar to Alex Len in that he possesses a variety of skills, both offensively and defensively. I think questions about his strength and toughness at the next level push him down the board a bit, though. In fact, I think he could end up being a bust. Seeing him getting manhandled by physical Temple and Syracuse in the 2013 NCAA tournament gave me pause.

 

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Raptors): Mason Plumlee, C, Duke

Some people believe Mason Plumlee's ceiling has basically been reached, seeing that he is 23 years old. On the other hand, he exploded last season at Duke, and he has the explosiveness and athleticism to be a good one right off the bat for the Thunder. Bye, bye, Kendrick Perkins.

 

13. Dallas Mavericks: Shabazz Muhammad, SF, UCLA

I'm not as concerned about Shabazz Muhammad's character as some are. He's an incredibly hard worker and he only figures to get better. His jump shot, on the other hand, needs work, and he reminds me too much of those prospects who flash explosiveness, but don't have the overall offensive game to excel in the pros. I see him as a mid first-round pick. The Mavericks could trade this pick, though.

 

14. Utah Jazz: Dennis Schroeder, PG, Germany 

Dennis Schroeder has the quickness, athleticism and point guard skills to drive an offense in the NBA. He will need to work on his jump shot, but players like Rajon Rondo have shown you can still make a big impact early in your career without it. The Jazz need a true floor general.

 

15. Milwaukee Bucks: Jamaal Franklin, SG, San Diego State

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It appears the writing is on the wall in regard to Monta Ellis, as the electric shooting guard is expected to opt out of his deal with the Bucks, according to Chris Broussard of ESPN The Magazine. Jamaal Franklin continues to soar up draft boards. He's explosive offensively, incredibly disruptive defensively and crashes the glass. He needs to keep working on his jumper, but he has improved from the perimeter.

 

16. Boston Celtics: Steven Adams, C, Pittsburgh

First and foremost, Steven Adams' size and athleticism at center are what stand out. He's also known as a tough, physical player who will battle his heart out on the boards. That combination tends to get a lot of attention from NBA teams. He could be a solid replacement for Kevin Garnett.

 

17. Atlanta Hawks (via Rockets): Rudy Gobert, PF, France

At 7'1", Rudy Gobert has the height to make a difference in the NBA. He's also very athletic for his size—with the ability to run the floor and finish—and is a solid rebounder. The Hawks can afford to wait for the 20-year-old to develop in a rebuilding stage.

 

18. Atlanta Hawks: Giannis Antetokounmpo, SF, Greece

The Hawks would do well to add a big man and a small forward in the draft. Giannis Antetokounmpo is incredibly raw, but his potential has opened eyes in the NBA. He's been compared to Scottie Pippen due to his fluidity driving to the hoop, vision and passing skills. His competition in Greece has been a joke, but his skills point to the 18-year-old making the jump down the road.

Chad Ford of ESPN.com (subscription required) recently wrote on his big board:

Antetokounmpo clearly has tremendous upside, and based on the feedback I heard, really helped himself. Some scouts believe he won't get past the Hawks on draft night.

 

19. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Lakers): Sergey Karasev, SF, Russia

The Cavaliers could use some outside shooting off the bench. Sergey Karasev is widely considered to be one of the top shooters in the class. Beyond that, he's a crafty player.

 

20. Chicago Bulls: Allen Crabbe, SG, Cal

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The Bulls seems to always need outside shooting. With Derrick Rose due back next season (I'm not going to make a joke here, I'm not going to make a joke here), that places even more of a premium on finding him a deadly outside shooter to swing the ball to. Allen Crabbe certainly knows how to shoot the rock.

 

21. Utah Jazz (via Warriors): Kelly Olynyk, C, Gonzaga

Kelly Olynyk has the inside-outside offensive game and passing skills to fill a void for the Jazz with Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap headed to free agency. There are questions about his toughness, but his size and athleticism at the position are too hard to pass up here.

 

22. Brooklyn Nets: Reggie Bullock, SG/SF, North Carolina

Reggie Bullock gives the Nets one thing they desperately need: outside shooting. He's also a versatile player who can play both shooting guard and small forward. Bullock shot 44 percent from downtown at UNC last season.

 

23. Indiana Pacers: Shane Larkin, PG, Miami (FL)

Shane Larkin looks like a great fit as a backup point guard on a championship contender. In that regard, he makes sense in Indiana behind George Hill. His size is a bit of a concern, but he possesses the shooting range, quickness, vision and passing skills to surprise in the NBA.

 

24. New York Knicks: Jeff Withey, C, Kansas

I've pegged Jeff Withey to the Knicks for a while now and nothing has changed. He's a tough rebounder with great blocking skills. He could potentially be the successor to Tyson Chandler in New York and add depth right away to the Knicks' aging frontcourt.

 

25. Los Angeles Clippers: Pierre Jackson, PG, Baylor

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With Eric Bledsoe's name flying around the Internet machine in trade rumors, it seems like it's only a matter of time before he departs the Clippers. Pierre Jackson may be undersized, but he has incredible explosiveness, drawing comparisons to Nate Robinson. He would fit on the Clippers behind Chris Paul.

 

26. Minnesota Timberwolves: Gorgui Dieng, C, Lousville

Both center Nikola Pekovic and backup Greg Stiemsma are headed for free agency—the Timberwolves need depth in the frontcourt. I consider Gorgui Dieng to be one of the most underrated prospects in the class. He's already shown he can make an impact defensively and on the glass, but he also showed vast improvement in his mid-range game last season at Louisville.

 

27. Denver Nuggets: Ricardo Ledo, G, Providence

With no top shooters available at this spot, it would make sense for the Nuggets to go with Ricardo Ledo as a backup. The combo guard was considered to be one of the nation's top high school scorers in 2010-11. His quickness and athleticism jump out at you.

 

28. San Antonio Spurs: Lucas Noguiera, C, Brazil

Lucas Noguiera is being called the Brazilian Nerlens Noel, he has a fellow countryman in Tiago Splitter to help him get acquainted with the NBA and the Spurs have been known to develop high-quality international talent. The 20-year-old could surprise the NBA down the road.

 

29. Oklahoma City Thunder: Tony Mitchell, PF, North Texas 

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Teams are split on Tony Mitchell. His explosiveness, athleticism and rebounding ability stand out. Some even think he could become the next Kenneth Faried. That being said, he disappointed at North Texas, failing to display his skills consistently. Drafting him in the late first round is worth the risk, though.

 

30. Phoenix Suns (via Heat): Glen Rice, Jr., SG, Georgia Tech

Glen Rice Jr. is going to instantly give you defense, which the Suns certainly need. He's also a tough rebounder with a good motor. His jump shot is a concern, but, the fact of the matter is, he tore up the D-League last season. He should be a first-round pick.

 

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