The Miami Heat are 4-7 against the spread as road favorites of three points or less since the start of the regular season, which is important to consider when making your NBA picks Sunday, as they continue their best-of-seven series with the San Antonio Spurs at the AT&T Center.
Sports bettors will find that the Heat are laying one point in the pro basketball odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total has settled in at 188 in the market.
Let's take a closer look at Game 5 of the 2013 NBA Finals from a betting perspective while offering up a prediction on the total along the way.
The Miami Heat came away with an impressive 109-93 victory over the San Antonio Spurs as one-point road favorites in Game 4 Thursday, tying the series at two games apiece.
NBA handicappers will find that the Heat are 9-4 straight up and against the spread when tied in a playoff series over the last two-plus seasons.
The San Antonio Spurs committed 19 turnovers in Game 4 Thursday, and point guard Tony Parker is dealing with a hamstring injury.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the Spurs are 17-3 straight up and 16-4 against the spread when revenging a home loss, with the OVER going 12-8 in that situation.
I'm going to recommend that readers play the total as their NBA Finals pick Sunday, as the UNDER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these two teams in San Antonio.
NBA Pick: Under 188
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