There are two reasons why Tiger Woods won't win the 2013 U.S. Open.
One, he's coming off his worst performance of the year. Two, Merion Golf Club doesn't play to his strengths.
Woods was rolling before the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village. He had won three of his previous four tournaments and placed a respectable fourth at the Masters.
But that was then and this is now.
It's very likely that Woods' 65th-place finish at the Memorial—in which he shot an eight-over-par 296—will be his worst performance of the year when all is said and done. You can't expect him to replicate such a poor four rounds after what he has done overall this year.
That being said, that was a rough tournament for Tiger. He scored a 74 and a 79 in the second and third round respectively. For the tournament, he ranked 45th in the field in greens-in-regulation percentage, according to CBSSports.com. He also ranked 57th in putts per round. He collectively posted 11 bogeys and three double bogeys. It was his worst finish on the PGA Tour since the 2010 Bridgestone Invitational.
Tiger's putting was particularly troubling, seeing that his putting has regressed since winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March.
At the Masters, his putting was off. And even though he won the Players Championship, it wasn't mainly because of his putting—he ranked 35th in the field in putts per round, according to CBSSports.com.
Will Tiger play better at the U.S. Open than he did at the Memorial? Highly likely.
But will he do a complete 180? Highly unlikely.
And again, the Merion Golf Club doesn't suit him well.
Will Tiger Woods win the 2013 U.S. Open?
In fact, it is known—or should I say notorious—for being extremely difficult to conquer when you hit the rough. On some courses, you can get away with driving the ball off the fairway. At Merion, that isn't the case.
While Tiger has been better in terms of driving accuracy over the past two years, it's still his greatest weakness. He ranks 79th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy, according to PGATour.com.
Merion is also a par-70 course. That means only two of 18 holes are par fives. For a player like Tiger—who basically lives on par fives when he's hot—that's not exactly something that comforts you.
Perhaps Tiger wins the British Open or PGA Championship this year, but he won't win the 2013 U.S. Open.