Belmont Stakes Odds: Most Overrated and Underrated Horses at Belmont

Kyle Newport@@KyleNewportFeatured ColumnistJune 8, 2013

Will Take Charge has been underrated at the Belmont Stakes.
Will Take Charge has been underrated at the Belmont Stakes.Rob Carr/Getty Images

The 2013 Belmont Stakes has finally arrived, and there are several horses that have been either overrated or underrated heading into the race.

Horse racing is tough to predict as anything can happen, and the field is filled with inconsistent horses. The horses that won the first two legs of the Triple Crown are obviously going to be favored in the final leg, and deservedly so. 

However, those horses are poised for a letdown with such high expectations.

Below are the odds for the 14-horse field that will run at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York on Saturday.

2013 Belmont Stakes Odds

Post Horse Trainer Jockey Odds
1 Frac Daddy Kenneth McPeek Alan Garcia 30-1
2 Freedom Child Thomas Albertrani Luis Saez 8-1
3 Overanalyze Todd Pletcher John Velazquez 12-1
4 Giant Finish Anthony Durrow Edgar Prado  30-1
5 Orb Shug McGaughey Joel Rosario 3-1
6 Incognito Kiaran McLaughlin Irad Ortiz, Jr. 20-1
7 Oxbow D. Wayne Lukas Gary Stevens 5-1
8 Midnight Taboo  Todd Pletcher Garrett Gomez 30-1
9 Revolutionary Todd Pletcher  Javier Castellano 9-2
10 Will Take Charge D. Wayne Lukas Jon Court 20-1
11 Vyjack Rudy Rodriguez Julien Leparoux 20-1
12 Palace Malice Todd Pletcher Mike Smith 15-1
13 Unlimited Budget Todd Pletcher Rosie Napravnik 8-1
14 Golden Soul Dallas Stewart Robby Albarado 10-1

*All information is via the race's official website.


Oxbow (5-1)

After coming away with a surprising win at the Preakness Stakes, Oxbow is projected to be in the top three.

Oxbow came in sixth at the Kentucky Derby, so the win at the Preakness was a shocking. He has finished better than fourth only twice in his last five races.

Orb and Revolutionary are going to be tough competition, and they deserve to have good odds. Oxbow has battled with trying to be consistent, so being one of the favorites is more of a formality.

A win at one leg of the Triple Crown has gotten the horse a lot of attention, but Oxbow is poised to disappoint now that everyone is watching him.

Overanalyze (12-1)

One of Todd Pletcher's five horses in the field is among the most overrated ones. At 12-to-1 odds, that puts the horse in the top half of the field.

Overanalyze has done well in his career. He has won four of his nine races and has never finished lower than fifth before his last race. Unfortunately for him, that last race was the Kentucky Derby.

The colt finished 11th at Churchill Downs, so these odds seem to be a little high.

Pletcher has a group of horses that may finish high, but Overanalyze is the most overrated of his group.


Palace Malice (15-1)

Pletcher does have one horse that his underrated. That would be Palace Malice.

At 15-to-1 odds, the colt is under-the-radar and could surprise some people with a high finish.

For starters, Palace Malice has finished third or higher in five of his seven career races. Like Overanalyze, a disappointing race at the Kentucky Derby. He finished 12th, but he has been more consistent than Overanalyze. 

Palace Malice had only one disappointing race entering the Derby. The low finish came as a surprise to many, and he is looking for a nice rebound.

After not running in the Preakness, Palace Malice should be ready to prove that the Derby was a fluke.

Will Take Charge (20-1)

This horse likely won't be able to pull off the upset, but he should be able to stay in contention.

Will Take Charge's odds have been hurt because of his lack of consistency. He has done well one race and then taken a step back in the next race for most of his career.

He has finished second or better in four of his nine races, but he has dropped back to the rest of the pack in the other races. He has placed fifth through eighth in four other races, so he's always usually staying with most of the horses.

The horse finished eighth in the Kentucky Derby and seventh at the Preakness. Those aren't great results, but he has at least stayed in the top half of the field.

Will Take Charge did beat Oxbow earlier this year in the Grade II Rebel Stakes.

*All information is courtesy of


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