Orb didn't produce the performance many had hoped and predicted he would at the Preakness Stakes, but he will deliver the goods at the Belmont Stakes in Elmont, N.Y.
Shug McGaughey's colt isn't the biggest horse, but he has a solid combination of speed and power. With the Belmont measuring 1.5 miles, the balanced skill set is a definite advantage.
Front-runners and late starters could be at a disadvantage. If a horse is unable to recover from a slow start or runs out of gas after overextending themselves early, they could fade early or run out of gas late.
Orb is neither and he proved that in defeat at the Preakness Stakes. Had he not gotten caught up in congestion midway through the race, he would have been in the top three.
As it was, he produced a respectable fourth-place finish.
At the Belmont, Orb will benefit from a favorable post position. He'll again start close to the middle of the pack at the fifth spot. However, the fifth post position has been great for success in the Belmont.
Only the first position (23) has produced more winners than the fifth (13), per Belmont-Stakes Info. With 30-1 underdog Frac Daddy in the first spot, it would be a shock to see that starting position produce another winner this year.
What horse will win Belmont Stakes?
Because the Belmont is a longer race, it allots time for the horses that start in the middle to find a lane to make a move. With experienced and solid Joel Rosario in the saddle for Orb, the longer run gives him an opportunity to make adjustments.
Per Weather.com, the conditions should be optimal. The temperature around race time should be 78 degrees with a moderate wind of about 14 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain, but if the track stays dry, Orb should be able to show his superiority.
He won't win the Triple Crown, but Orb is my choice to win the Belmont Stakes. I suppose two out of three isn't bad.
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