Belmont 2013: Top Contenders Affected by Poor Post Position

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Belmont 2013: Top Contenders Affected by Poor Post Position
Rob Carr/Getty Images

The Belmont Stakes is the third leg of the illustrious horse-racing Triple Crown, but with no stallion able to win the coveted prize in 2013, the focus has shifted purely to the racing and which top contenders would be affected most by their poor post positions.

All of the following horses drew the short end of the post-draw straw earlier this week, and that will hurt them when the race begins and throughout the final leg of the Triple Crown from Belmont Park.

 

Updated Odds and Entrants

Rob Carr/Getty Images

Post

Horse

Trainer

Jockey

Watchmaker Odds

ML Odds

1

Frac Daddy

K. McPeek

A. Garcia

30-1

30-1

2

Freedom Child

T. Albertrani

L. Saez

8-1

8-1

3

Overanalyze

T. Pletcher

J. Velazquez

15-1

12-1

4

Giant Finish

A. Dutrow

E. Prado

30-1

30-1

5

Orb

C. McGaughey III

J. Rosario

5-2

3-1

6

Incognito

K. McLaughlin

I. Ortiz Jr.

20-1

20-1

7

Oxbow

D.W. Lukas

G. Stevens

6-1

5-1

8

Midnight Taboo

T. Pletcher

G. Gomez

30-1

30-1

9

Revolutionary

T. Pletcher

J. Castellano

5-1

9-2

10

Will Take Charge

D.W. Lukas

J. Court

20-1

20-1

11

Vyjack

R. Rodriguez

J. Leparoux

15-1

20-1

12

Palace Malice

T. Pletcher

M. Smith

15-1

15-1

13

Unlimited Budget (f)

T. Pletcher

R. Napravnik

12-1

8-1

14

Golden Soul

D. Stewart

R. Albarado

12-1

10-1

*Table via Daily Racing Form. Updated through June 7.

 

Golden Soul: Post Position 14

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

One of the betting favorites coming into the Belmont race has been the second-place finisher at the Kentucky Derby, Golden Soul. The horse was hard-charging at the end and many fans are betting the horse to succeed on the 1.5-mile course.

While the longer track may be a benefit to Golden Soul, the fact that he will have to break from the very last post position and maneuver through traffic from the outside (No. 14) will doom his chances of replicating his success from the Derby.

Golden Soul will need his best out of the gates in order to get ahead of the pack, but with consistent struggles at the start of races for the horse, the poor post position will deflate his chances of stealing the win.

 

Palace Malice: Post Position 12

Rob Carr/Getty Images

As seen in the 2013 Kentucky Derby, when Palace Malice took an early lead and held on to it for a long chunk of the race, this is a horse that can get out of the gates fast and use its acceleration to charge to the front.

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That won’t happen at the Belmont Stakes.

Stuck in the 12th post position will force Palace Malice to charge hard out of the gates to avoid getting stuck in traffic behind a strong pack of horses coming from the middle posts. That early push will use much of this horse’s energy and force him to drop off the pace at the end.

While Palace Malice led for awhile in the Derby, he fell off the pace and ended up finishing in 12th place. With Belmont Park running at 1.5 miles, Palace Malice won’t have the stamina to finish well after starting from post 12.

 

Freedom Child: Post Position 2

Al Bello/Getty Images

While the No. 2 post position is typically not a horrible starting spot in the Belmont Stakes, Freedom Child is a slow starter and will be forced to the back as the entire field will shuffle down toward the rail off the start.

If Freedom Child doesn’t get the best start of his life and take the early lead along the inside, the horse will have to slide to the outside and work all the way around the field while making up time to catch the leader.

Having to cover so much ground would be a bad omen for Freedom Child, and with a lack of elite break-away speed, this will be a wager not worth taking on Saturday.

 

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