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There's a chance this guy won't be in a Bucks jersey much longer.
Brandon Jennings' free agency is going to be very interesting.
Jennings is a scoring guard who can essentially only score from one area—beyond the arc. The Milwaukee Bucks guard hit 38 percent of his threes last year, but if you look at this NBA.com shot chart, you can see that he could hit little else. That's true especially in the paint, where he hit a putrid 43 percent of shots.
However, Jennings is still very young, should improve and occasionally wows everyone with a game like this. Which means someone's going to pay him (or at least try to). And that's where things get interesting.
The Bucks tried to lock Jennings up with a four year, $40 million deal last offseason, and he promptly turned it down (via Yahoo! Sports' Marc J. Spears). Jennings could sign a one-year qualifying offer with the Bucks (worth about $4.5 million) this offseason and told Yahoo! Sports:
If I take the qualifying offer and become an [unrestricted] free agent there is no way I am coming back. There is no way.
Jennings isn't a max player (or even close) because of the flaws I noted earlier, and it's unlikely that anyone offers him much more than what the Bucks already did. But Jennings seems to be enamored with big-market teams (per ESPN's Chris Broussard) and has spoken at length about how great the Dallas Mavericks are, telling ESPN's Tim MacMahon:
Who wouldn’t want to play in an environment like this every night? You’ve got an owner who’s so into his team and everything like that. Every time you see the Mavs, you see him cheering or going crazy. They won a championship. They’re about winning.
So here's the prediction: The Mavericks float Jennings an offer of slightly over $40 million, the Bucks—who favor Monta Ellis over Jennings according to ESPN's Marc Stein—don't choose to match it and Jennings accepts because he dreams of playing in a bigger market.
Like I said though, it's definitely going to be interesting.
Prediction: four years, $44 million