Chicago at Boston Game Seven: Celtics will Finish Feisty Bulls

Greg RiotAnalyst IMay 1, 2009

CHICAGO - APRIL 30: Glen Davis #11 of the Boston Celtics puts up a shot over Derrick Rose #1 of the Chicago Bulls in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2009 NBA Playoffs at the United Center on April 30, 2009 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bulls defeated the Celtics 128-127 in triple-overtime. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agreees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

The Boston Celtics (65-23 SU, 45-42-1 ATS, 46-41-1 O/U) and feisty Chicago Bulls (44-44 SU, 45-41-2 ATS, 48-38-2 O/U) will both be looking to pick up an SU and ATS win in the BetUS Sportsbook and advance to the second round when they square off in Game 7 of their thrilling first-round playoff series tonight at 8 PM ET.

The Bulls beat the Celtics 128-127 in an exciting triple overtime contest on Thursday, but failed to cover the spread as I predicted in the BetUS Locker Room that day.

Chicago got a team-high 35 points from John Salmons, 28 points from rookie point guard Derrick Rose and 23 points from reserve center Brad Miller as the final score played well Over the 195.5-point O/U total.

The Celtics got a jaw-dropping 51 points from all-star shooting guard Ray Allen, 23 points from blossoming forward Glen Davis and 22 points from all-star forward Paul Pierce in a losing effort.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one day's rest.

The Celtics are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 Saturday games.

The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Boston.

The Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

The Bulls are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

The Underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

The Road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

NBA Odds

Chicago Bulls +6½ -110

Boston Celtics -6½ -110

Over 196½ -110

Under 196½ -110

Analysis: While the Bulls have gone a solid 3-2-1 ATS in this evenly matched series, the Celtics did record the only rout in the series, winning 107-86 at home as 3.5-point home favorites in Game Three.

Take note BetUS NBA sports betting backers as this game will go either one of two ways. The Celtics will walk away as winners in another thrilling last-second matchup—or blowout the Bulls and cover the spread with room to spare as their boisterous fans go wild at home in Game Seven.

Personally, I choose the former as I just don’t see the Bulls going away quietly after giving the Celtics everything they could handle through six games in this series.

While I’m not necessarily predicting a last-second finish, I do like the Bulls to keep it close throughout while covering the spread as 6.5-point road underdogs.

I also like the Over to play out for the fourth consecutive game and sixth time in the series overall.

NBA Free Picks: Chicago Bulls +6½ Points/Over 196½ Total Points