Stat Predictions for Each Chicago Bulls Starter in 2013-14
Carlos Boozer improved his numbers from the previous season and carried the team offensively for a few stretches.
One of the biggest stories, however, was Jimmy Butler's performance toward the end of the season and throughout the playoffs, where he averaged 13 points and five rebounds per game.
With Rose returning for the 2013-14 season, some players will surely benefit from his ability to create offense. The Bulls are much better with Rose around, posting an offensive efficiency of 104.5 last season, good for fifth in the league.
The Bulls are expected to contend for the title next year, so let's take a look at how each player will contribute.
Note: Numbers inside parentheses indicate field-goal makes and attempts.
Percentages: 48.5% FG (8.1-of-16.7), 37.8% 3PT (1.4-of-3.7), 83.6% FT (5.1-of-6.1)
Basic Stats: 34.4 MPG, 22.7 PPG, 8.6 APG, 3.6 RPG, 2.7 TO
Games Played: 78
Rose's jump shot is said to have improved, and according to Ric Bucher, he's added a lot of new moves to his repertoire. That is why next season, he'll have the second-highest field-goal percentage of his career.
More importantly, his three-point shooting will increase. Bucher stated that his shot had a higher arch, which was a problem for Rose as a lot of the threes he missed would be line-drive shots.
While we don't know how effective Rose will be at the start of the season, he'll more than likely be in rhythm after a few weeks. Due to a slightly slow start, his scoring might not be as high as his MVP campaign.
His assist total will increase, though, mainly due to Butler playing at the 2. His shot will only improve over the summer, and he will get a lot of open looks since Rose can command double-teams on a consistent basis.
Rose probably won't win league MVP, but he'll be the Bulls' leading scorer once again, and he'll be more efficient than ever.
Percentages: 47.6% FG (3.1-of-6.5), 41.1% 3PT (1.4-of-3.4), 81.3% FT (3.5-of-4.3)
Basic Stats: 35.3 MPG, 11.1 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 1.8 APG, 1.5 SPG, 0.9 TO
Games Played: 82
Butler showed he is a true iron man during the playoffs, playing five full games, including a three-game stretch where he played all 48 minutes.
Not only can he play a large bulk of minutes, but he makes the most of them as well. His offense got better as the season progressed, and he made his mark as one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA.
Butler will benefit from having Rose in the lineup. He'll be able to get some open looks from downtown, and if he can shoot the three like he did in the tail end of 2012-13, he'll be a scoring threat every night.
Add in his ability to attack the rim and get to the line, and he should get to double digits on a nightly basis.
He's also shown a knack for rebounding, averaging four per game with a great balance between offensive and defensive rebounds. While Noah and Boozer (and to a certain extent Deng) will be getting most of the rebounds, Butler should be able to grab anywhere between five and six rebounds per game
Butler should get the starting job next year, and he will show how much better he got offensively during the summer and preseason.
Percentages: 44.8% FG (6.1-of-13.6), 33.3% 3PT (1.2-of-3.6), 77.5% FT (3.1-of-4)
Basic Stats: 37.6 MPG, 16.5 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 2.4 APG, 1.8 TO
Games Played: 76
Deng has probably been the most consistent Bull over the last four years. He's posted solid numbers in the scoring and rebounding categories, not to mention his top-notch defensive work over the years.
That consistency should continue alongside Rose, as he'll be able to get Deng better looks; that's the main reason behind the increase in his percentages.
Deng has missed some games over the past two seasons due to various injuries, so there may be a few bumps along the road but hopefully nothing major.
No significant changes for Deng, but that's not exactly a bad thing.
Percentages: 53.3% FG (6.4-of-12.0), 74.3% FT (2.9-of-3.9)
Basic Stats: 30.5 MPG, 15.7 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 2.0 APG, 2.1 TO
Games Played: 78
Boozer's attempts will go down a bit since Rose will be back and Butler will play a bigger role.
However, with two more threats on offense, Boozer will have more one-on-one opportunities, which will hopefully lead to a more efficient season.
His rebounding has always been solid, so expect him to be right around his career average.
One of the biggest issues with Boozer this past season was his inconsistent free-throw shooting. He finished 2012-13 at 73 percent, but had two months in which he shot 65 percent or below.
His final percentage will be somewhere in the low-to-mid 70s, but expect some of those same poor stretches.
Another solid season from the Booze Cruise.
Percentages: 53.9% FG (4.1-of-7.6), 75.7% FT (2.5-of-3.3)
Basic Stats: 30.5 MPG, 10.7 PPG, 12.1 RPG, 3.4 APG, 2.5 BPG, 1.8 TO
Games Played: 69
Noah's another player whose scoring will be affected by Rose and Butler, but—similar to Boozer—his shooting percentage should go back up to over 50 percent.
His rebounding numbers will also be affected by Rose's presence, this time in a good way. Rose will take more shots than Kirk Hinrich did as a starter, so Noah could have more chances at grabbing offensive rebounds.
As far as his defense, Noah's shot blocking will increase. His per-game average in 18 games after the All-Star break was at 2.4. If he can stay healthy and play with his usual intensity, that production should continue.
Health will be a concern, however.
Noah missed 16 games after his plantar fasciitis issues resurfaced. For that reason, his minutes could be lowered back to around 30, which is how much he played the three previous seasons.
Predicting injuries is impossible, but Noah has missed a lot of time before, and it could happen again this upcoming season.
Regardless, Noah's hustle and determination should give him another All-Star-caliber season.
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