Belmont Stakes 2013: Latest Betting Lines and Predictions

Alex KayCorrespondent IJune 3, 2013

Belmont Stakes 2013: Latest Betting Lines and Predictions

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    The 2013 Belmont Stakes may not have the same excitement as it would with a Triple Crown hopeful participating, but the big field boasts a number of strong contenders looking to win this “Test of Champions.”

    As always, the winner will receive a majority of the $1 million purse and the horse will be adorned with a blanket of carnations.

    Fans hoping to cash in on the action would be wise to keep reading, as an updated list of participants, odds and information can be found, along with advice and a prediction on the winner.

Betting Lines, Field and Complete Race Information

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    2013 Belmont Stakes | Belmont Park, Elmont, NY | Purse: $1 Million | Grade I | Saturday, June 8 | Distance: 12 furlongs | Post Time: 6:20 p.m. ET | Watch Live on NBC | Live Stream on NBC Sports


    Post Positions, Complete Field and Updated Odds





    Morning Line


    Frac Daddy

    K. McPeek

    A. Garcia



    Freedom Child

    T. Albertrani

    L. Saez




    T. Pletcher

    J. Velazquez



    Giant Finish

    A. Dutrow

    E. Prado




    C. McGaughey III

    J. Rosario




    K. McLaughlin

    I. Ortiz Jr.




    D.W. Lukas

    G. Stevens



    Midnight Taboo

    T. Pletcher

    G. Gomez




    T. Pletcher

    J. Castellano



    Will Take Charge

    D.W. Lukas

    J. Court




    R. Rodriguez

    J. Lea



    Palace Malice

    T. Pletcher

    M. Smith



    Unlimited Budget (f)

    T. Pletcher

    R. Napravnik



    Golden Soul

    D. Stewart

    R. Albarado


    *Odds and post position courtesy of Nailah E.Timberlake of NYRA.

The Bad Bet: Palace Malice at 15-1

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    After setting the pace and falling well short (12th place) at the Kentucky Derby back in early May, Palace Malice has had his sights set on winning the Test of Champions.

    The colt skipped over the Preakness in order to train for this event and has been impressing trainer Todd Pletcher in his early workouts leading up to the race.

    According to the Associated Press via USA Today, Palace Malice breezed through a five-furlong workout in just over a minute—1:00.24—back on May 27. While those are nice figures, this is a 12-furlong endurance test and this colt simply doesn’t have the chops to hang with the contenders for the duration.

    Palace Malice may come out early and look strong for the initial furlongs, but he’s going to get smoked after the turn and down the long stretch at Belmont. It’s never really advisable to bet the pacesetter in longer races, so avoid this one at all costs on Saturday.

The Long Shot: Unlimited Budget at 8-1

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    This filly has a great story, as Rosie Napravnik is set to become the first female jockey to compete in all three Triple Crown races in one season just by riding her in the event.

    She finished fifth at the Kentucky Derby and third at the Preakness Stakes aboard Mylute.

    Should they cross the finish line in first, Napravnik and Unlimited Budget would become the first filly and female rider combination to win the Run for the Carnations in its long history.

    The jockey would also become only the second female to win a Triple Crown race—something that hasn’t happened since Julie Krone and Colonial Affair captured the Belmont back in 1993.

    Storylines aside, this is a smart bet that could wind up paying dividends.

    Unlimited Budget—another Pletcher horse—is a big, strong thoroughbred that will not look smaller compared to the rest of the field. Her speed figures match up with the best and she’s won up to a mile and an eighth in her maiden—finishing third at the same distance in the Kentucky Oaks.

    If she can stay in the middle of the pack and save her energy for after the turn, it’s completely plausible that one-loss Unlimited Budget makes history at the Belmont. 

Top Challenger: Revolutionary at 9-2

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    *Revolutionary is my pick to win.

    Since showing beneath the Twin Spires a month ago, Pletcher’s Revolutionary went dark and has been quietly training to win the August Belmont Trophy.

    It was likely a wise decision, as skipping the Preakness and the short-distance sprint may very well end up paying off for both the horse and its backers in New York this weekend.

    Considering that the favorite has finished an average of seventh—usually around 20 lengths back of the winner—since 2008, things are looking good for this top contender.

    The second-favorite horse has won six times since 1993, including as recently as last year with Union Rags.

    With his excellent speed and world-class stamina, there’s no reason to wager against Revolutionary in this race. He has a great chance to finish in first and well worth a bet across the board.

Opening Favorite: Orb at 3-1

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    Despite a disappointing finish at Pimlico in the Run for the Black-Eyed Susans, Orb has been installed as the favorite at the Belmont.

    It’s an understandable move by the oddsmakers, as the colt proved he could handle the longer distance in a winning Derby romp through Churchill Downs, but he ran out of track at the shorter Preakness.

    Given a few more furlongs, there’s no chance that Orb would have finished in fourth and could have easily overtaken Oxbow down the stretch. With 1.5 miles to work with on Saturday, expect Orb to make a strong push near the end with his second wind.

    Unfortunately, the favorites haven’t fared well since Big Brown’s failure in 2008 and that could be a bad omen for Shug McGaughey’s horse. The colt may be exhausted from all the moving from track to track and racing in high-pressure, high-publicity events.

    Regardless, Orb seems to have a strong disposition and should be able to handle the expectations of the third jewel of the Triple Crown.