Player: Casey Shane
Drafted by: Cleveland Indians (No. 171 overall)
Height/Weight: 6’4”/205 lbs.
School: Centennial High School (TX)
Previously Drafted: N/A
Shane is a projectable right-hander who has been rising up draft boards since a bunch of impressive performances late last summer and into the fall.
While there's some debate as to where he stacks up against his peers, there's no denying that Shane has plenty of potential. He has great size, a solid low-90s fastball and an above-average changeup.
He doesn't really have a third pitch, hence BA's low ranking, but he has thrown a curveball and slider in the past. If he can develop one of those offerings, he could be a real interesting prospect to watch.
Full Scouting Report
Note: Numerical scores are on the conventional 80-point scouting scale, with the current score first and projected score second.
At 6'4'', 205 lbs., Shane is well-built. He's a big, strong, physical pitcher who has a balanced, low-effort delivery. His mechanics look great and, by all accounts, he repeats his delivery well. As noted in just about every scouting report on him, he gets knocked for turning his back completely to the plate during his delivery. While it may add some deception, it has caused him to lose focus and control during games. He also lands in different spots nearly every time he throws a pitch.
Shane's fastball is a solid pitch, but his velocity is nothing special; he throws it in the 91-94 mph range, but it sometimes dips back into the high 80s; his saving grace is the above-average movement he can get on the pitch; when his mechanics are clean and his command is on, the pitch is an above-average offering, showing incredible sink; whether or not he can clean up the back-turn in his delivery will determine how effective his fastball can be.
Shane has tinkered with both a curveball and slider, but has yet to commit to either; showed good rotation on his curve at the World Wood Bat Association World Championship last fall; showed good feel for a slider during his junior season in 2012; will have a hard time making the jump to pro ball without a third pitch.
What Shane lacks in his curveball/slider, he more than makes up for with his changeup; one of the better offerings in this year's high school class; throws it with good arm speed; pitch has a ton of movement; he can get by for a while in the lower levels of the minors with his fastball and change, but he'll need more to make it to the majors.
Control of both fastball and changeup are a touch above average; lack of third pitch, and therefore control of it, brings down grade drastically; throws fastball pretty much wherever he wants, although he could use some more sharpening; changeup command is solid and still improving.
Fastball command is strong; even with heavy sinking action on the pitch, he's shown ability to direct pitch anywhere in strike zone; changeup command is improving, but still needs some work; if he ever develops a third pitch, that too will need a ton of work to become a usable pitch.
MLB Player Comparison: Josh Collmenter
Projection: No. 3 or 4 starter on a second-division team; possibly an effective late-inning reliever.
MLB ETA: 2018
Chances of Signing: 65%
Shane is the kind of player that teams love to find in the third or fourth round, possibly even later. He'll be especially sought after by teams who are looking to save some money on their first-rounder and allocate that money later in the draft.
He shouldn't be too hard to sway from a commitment to Texas A&M.