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Jerry Hollendorfer's trained Sahara Sky will Run Down Flat Out
Flat Out will be denied in the $750,000 Grade One Met Mile, despite being undefeated in four career starts over the main track at Belmont.
Cross Traffic, who ran the race of his life in his last start, a loss to Flat Out, will again be the early pace setter. In that loss, Cross Traffic was edged at the wire by Flat Out, despite running an amazing 1:32.4 for eight furlongs.
There is other speed in the race as Fort Loudon and Discreet Dancer are both horses that prefer to have or be near the lead.
Swagger Jack will be nowhere to be seen early but should be coming late, if at all. In his last race, he came from well off the pace to win the Grade One Carter in 1.21.2 for seven furlongs. The added furlong should only help his chances.
Sahara Sky actually ran second to Swagger Jack in the Carter, but he had his course altered deep in the stretch. At first glance, this horse has just six wins in 16 career starts, but on conventional dirt, he has three wins in six starts, with three second-place finishes.
Sahara Sky and Swagger Jack are going to be at least five lengths behind Flat Out and Cross Traffic—possibly more. The early pace should be sizzling, as I expect the six-furlong time to be 1:08.
As Flat Out finally wears down Cross Traffic, Sahara Sky will catch Flat Out and wear him down right before the wire in 1:33.1.