There's a big risk that comes with draft Nerlens Noel. And not just his torn ACL. Noel played only 24 games last season, and although that's more than twice as many as Kyrie Irving did his lone season at Duke, it's still a pretty small sample. I think Noel proved enough to justify becoming the No. 1 pick if his injury checks out OK, but I'd be more confident if he had played more.