NBA Draft Lottery 2012

# NBA Draft 2013: Is It Time to Change the Way the Draft Order Is Selected?

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Matthew WolfeCorrespondent IIIMay 22, 2013

Ever since the current lottery system was put into place in 1985, there has been speculation about whether or not it is the right way to decide the draft order.

The way the lottery works is confusing to some, and rightfully so.

The 14 teams that do not make the NBA Playoffs are ranked in reverse order of their regular season record and are assigned a certain number of chances to receive the first pick.

1000 different outcomes of the experiment exist and are equally likely to occur.

A certain number of outcomes are assigned to each non-playoff team.

The largest number of outcomes is assigned to the team with the worst regular season record (25 percent chance of winning the lottery).

The experiment is conducted until a team wins, giving that team the first pick in the NBA Draft.

The experiment is then conducted again until another team wins, and that team receives the second pick.  The same thing is done to decide who picks third.

After the first three picks are decided, the rest of the order is determined based on weakness of record.

The experiments are done off camera, and leave many people wondering about the accuracy of the results, thus putting the whole system into question.

A lot of sports fans prefer the way the NFL and MLB pick their draft order, which is decided based solely on the weakness of record with any ties being resolved by a coin-flip.

The Cleveland Cavaliers were the winners of last night's NBA Draft Lottery despite having only a 15.6 percent chance of receiving the first pick.

The Orlando Magic, the team that finished with the worst record in the NBA, having had a 25 percent chance of receiving the first pick, will pick second.

This marks the ninth year in a row that the team with the worst record in the NBA will not be picking first in the draft.

This begs the question, is it time for a new system to determine the draft order?

Or is it effective as it is?

Logically, it makes sense to give the team with the worst record the best pick in the draft so they have the best shot at improving their franchise.

The current system that the NBA has in place does make sense in it's own way, giving the league something unique to differentiate itself from the others.

It also prevents teams from throwing games at the end of the season to earn a higher pick, since nothing is guaranteed.

There are positives and negatives to the NBA Draft Lottery, and it is always something that will remain suspect as long as it exists.

It will be interesting to see whether the NBA looks to make a switch to a highly speculated new system under new commissioner Adam Silver.

Where can I comment?